Articles | Volume 14, issue 12
https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-14-4719-2020
https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-14-4719-2020
Research article
 | 
23 Dec 2020
Research article |  | 23 Dec 2020

Scoring Antarctic surface mass balance in climate models to refine future projections

Tessa Gorte, Jan T. M. Lenaerts, and Brooke Medley

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Latest update: 12 Apr 2024
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Short summary
In this paper, we analyze several spatial and temporal criteria to assess the ability of models in the CMIP5 and CMIP6 frameworks to recreate past Antarctic surface mass balance. We then compared a subset of the top performing models to all remaining models to refine future surface mass balance predictions under different forcing scenarios. We found that the top performing models predict lower surface mass balance by 2100, indicating less buffering than otherwise expected of sea level rise.