Articles | Volume 14, issue 2
https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-14-445-2020
https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-14-445-2020
Research article
 | 
05 Feb 2020
Research article |  | 05 Feb 2020

Soil moisture and hydrology projections of the permafrost region – a model intercomparison

Christian G. Andresen, David M. Lawrence, Cathy J. Wilson, A. David McGuire, Charles Koven, Kevin Schaefer, Elchin Jafarov, Shushi Peng, Xiaodong Chen, Isabelle Gouttevin, Eleanor Burke, Sarah Chadburn, Duoying Ji, Guangsheng Chen, Daniel Hayes, and Wenxin Zhang

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Interactive discussion

Status: closed
Status: closed
AC: Author comment | RC: Referee comment | SC: Short comment | EC: Editor comment
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Peer-review completion

AR: Author's response | RR: Referee report | ED: Editor decision
ED: Reconsider after major revisions (further review by editor and referees) (13 Sep 2019) by Ylva Sjöberg
AR by Christian Andresen on behalf of the Authors (15 Oct 2019)  Author's response    Manuscript
ED: Referee Nomination & Report Request started (17 Oct 2019) by Ylva Sjöberg
RR by Anonymous Referee #1 (28 Oct 2019)
RR by Anonymous Referee #2 (03 Nov 2019)
ED: Publish subject to minor revisions (review by editor) (15 Nov 2019) by Ylva Sjöberg
AR by Christian Andresen on behalf of the Authors (24 Nov 2019)  Author's response    Manuscript
ED: Publish subject to technical corrections (13 Dec 2019) by Ylva Sjöberg
AR by Christian Andresen on behalf of the Authors (18 Dec 2019)  Author's response    Manuscript
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Short summary
Widely-used land models project near-surface drying of the terrestrial Arctic despite increases in the net water balance driven by climate change. Drying was generally associated with increases of active-layer depth and permafrost thaw in a warming climate. However, models lack important mechanisms such as thermokarst and soil subsidence that will change the hydrological regime and add to the large uncertainty in the future Arctic hydrological state and the associated permafrost carbon feedback.