Articles | Volume 14, issue 2
The Cryosphere, 14, 445–459, 2020
https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-14-445-2020
The Cryosphere, 14, 445–459, 2020
https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-14-445-2020

Research article 05 Feb 2020

Research article | 05 Feb 2020

Soil moisture and hydrology projections of the permafrost region – a model intercomparison

Christian G. Andresen et al.

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Latest update: 28 Jul 2021
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Short summary
Widely-used land models project near-surface drying of the terrestrial Arctic despite increases in the net water balance driven by climate change. Drying was generally associated with increases of active-layer depth and permafrost thaw in a warming climate. However, models lack important mechanisms such as thermokarst and soil subsidence that will change the hydrological regime and add to the large uncertainty in the future Arctic hydrological state and the associated permafrost carbon feedback.