Articles | Volume 14, issue 9
https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-14-3155-2020
© Author(s) 2020. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-14-3155-2020
© Author(s) 2020. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Evaluating permafrost physics in the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project 6 (CMIP6) models and their sensitivity to climate change
Eleanor J. Burke
CORRESPONDING AUTHOR
Met Office Hadley Centre, FitzRoy Road, Exeter, EX1 3PB, UK
Canada Centre for Mapping and Earth Observation, Natural Resources Canada, Ottawa, Ontario, Canada
Gerhard Krinner
Institut des Géosciences de l'Environnement, CNRS, Université Grenoble Alpes, Grenoble, France
Viewed
Total article views: 9,209 (including HTML, PDF, and XML)
Cumulative views and downloads
(calculated since 07 Feb 2020)
HTML | XML | Total | Supplement | BibTeX | EndNote | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
6,780 | 2,296 | 133 | 9,209 | 532 | 113 | 153 |
- HTML: 6,780
- PDF: 2,296
- XML: 133
- Total: 9,209
- Supplement: 532
- BibTeX: 113
- EndNote: 153
Total article views: 7,732 (including HTML, PDF, and XML)
Cumulative views and downloads
(calculated since 16 Sep 2020)
HTML | XML | Total | Supplement | BibTeX | EndNote | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
6,069 | 1,572 | 91 | 7,732 | 307 | 75 | 111 |
- HTML: 6,069
- PDF: 1,572
- XML: 91
- Total: 7,732
- Supplement: 307
- BibTeX: 75
- EndNote: 111
Total article views: 1,477 (including HTML, PDF, and XML)
Cumulative views and downloads
(calculated since 07 Feb 2020)
HTML | XML | Total | Supplement | BibTeX | EndNote | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
711 | 724 | 42 | 1,477 | 225 | 38 | 42 |
- HTML: 711
- PDF: 724
- XML: 42
- Total: 1,477
- Supplement: 225
- BibTeX: 38
- EndNote: 42
Viewed (geographical distribution)
Total article views: 9,209 (including HTML, PDF, and XML)
Thereof 8,483 with geography defined
and 726 with unknown origin.
Total article views: 7,732 (including HTML, PDF, and XML)
Thereof 7,290 with geography defined
and 442 with unknown origin.
Total article views: 1,477 (including HTML, PDF, and XML)
Thereof 1,193 with geography defined
and 284 with unknown origin.
Country | # | Views | % |
---|
Country | # | Views | % |
---|
Country | # | Views | % |
---|
Total: | 0 |
HTML: | 0 |
PDF: | 0 |
XML: | 0 |
- 1
1
Total: | 0 |
HTML: | 0 |
PDF: | 0 |
XML: | 0 |
- 1
1
Total: | 0 |
HTML: | 0 |
PDF: | 0 |
XML: | 0 |
- 1
1
Cited
94 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Effects of land surface model resolution on fluxes and soil state in the Arctic M. Schickhoff et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/ad6019
- No respite from permafrost-thaw impacts in the absence of a global tipping point J. Nitzbon et al. 10.1038/s41558-024-02011-4
- Solar Geoengineering in the Polar Regions: A Review A. Duffey et al. 10.1029/2023EF003679
- The thermal effect of snow cover on ground surface temperature in the Northern Hemisphere X. Peng et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/ad30a5
- Global evaluation of the “dry gets drier, and wet gets wetter” paradigm from a terrestrial water storage change perspective J. Xiong et al. 10.5194/hess-26-6457-2022
- A newly integrated ground temperature dataset of permafrost along the China–Russia crude oil pipeline route in Northeast China G. Li et al. 10.5194/essd-14-5093-2022
- Permafrost carbon emissions in a changing Arctic K. Miner et al. 10.1038/s43017-021-00230-3
- Mechanisms and Impacts of Earth System Tipping Elements S. Wang et al. 10.1029/2021RG000757
- Impact of measured and simulated tundra snowpack properties on heat transfer V. Dutch et al. 10.5194/tc-16-4201-2022
- Evaluating permafrost definitions for global permafrost area estimates in CMIP6 climate models N. Steinert et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/ad10d7
- Response of atmospheric pCO$$_2$$ to a strong AMOC weakening under low and high emission scenarios A. Boot et al. 10.1007/s00382-024-07295-y
- Preconditioning of mountain permafrost towards degradation detected by electrical resistivity C. Hauck & C. Hilbich 10.1088/1748-9326/ad3c55
- A decline in atmospheric CO2 levels under negative emissions may enhance carbon retention in the terrestrial biosphere S. Park & J. Kug 10.1038/s43247-022-00621-4
- Assessment of a hydrologic-land surface model to simulate thermo-hydrologic evolution of permafrost regions M. Abdelhamed et al. 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2024.132161
- Northern-high-latitude permafrost and terrestrial carbon response to two solar geoengineering scenarios Y. Chen et al. 10.5194/esd-14-55-2023
- Dynamics of the freeze–thaw front of active layer on the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau G. Hu et al. 10.1016/j.geoderma.2023.116353
- An intensification of surface Earth’s energy imbalance since the late 20th century X. Li et al. 10.1038/s43247-024-01802-z
- Permafrost dynamics and their hydrologic impacts over the Russian Arctic drainage basin K. Wang et al. 10.1016/j.accre.2021.03.014
- Future Rainfall Erosivity over Iran Based on CMIP5 Climate Models B. Farokhzadeh et al. 10.3390/w14233861
- Damage characteristics of the Qinghai-Tibet Highway in permafrost regions based on UAV imagery M. Chai et al. 10.1080/10298436.2022.2038381
- Advances in modelling large river basins in cold regions with Modélisation Environmentale Communautaire—Surface and Hydrology (MESH), the Canadian hydrological land surface scheme H. Wheater et al. 10.1002/hyp.14557
- Effects of different soil thermal conductivity schemes on the simulation of permafrost on the Tibetan Plateau Y. Pan et al. 10.1016/j.geoderma.2024.116789
- Bringing it all together: science priorities for improved understanding of Earth system change and to support international climate policy C. Jones et al. 10.5194/esd-15-1319-2024
- Climatic assessment of circum-Arctic permafrost zonation over the last 122 kyr K. Saito et al. 10.1016/j.polar.2021.100765
- Utilizing Earth Observations of Soil Freeze/Thaw Data and Atmospheric Concentrations to Estimate Cold Season Methane Emissions in the Northern High Latitudes M. Tenkanen et al. 10.3390/rs13245059
- Defrosting northern catchments: Fluvial effects of permafrost degradation N. Tananaev & E. Lotsari 10.1016/j.earscirev.2022.103996
- PInc-PanTher estimates of Arctic permafrost soil carbon under the GeoMIP G6solar and G6sulfur experiments A. Liu et al. 10.5194/esd-14-39-2023
- Active Layer Thickness and Permafrost Area Projections for the 21st Century X. Peng et al. 10.1029/2023EF003573
- Thermodynamic and hydrological drivers of the soil and bedrock thermal regimes in central Spain F. García-Pereira et al. 10.5194/soil-10-1-2024
- Atmosphere circulation patterns synchronize pan-Arctic glacier melt and permafrost thaw I. Sasgen et al. 10.1038/s43247-024-01548-8
- Pervasive Permafrost Thaw Exacerbates Future Risk of Water Shortage Across the Tibetan Plateau T. Wang et al. 10.1029/2022EF003463
- Regime shifts in Arctic terrestrial hydrology manifested from impacts of climate warming M. Rawlins & A. Karmalkar 10.5194/tc-18-1033-2024
- Projection and Uncertainty Analysis of Future Temperature Change over the Yarlung Tsangpo-Brahmaputra River Basin Based on CMIP6 Z. Xu et al. 10.3390/w15203595
- Limited reversal of regional climate signals in overshoot scenarios P. Pfleiderer et al. 10.1088/2752-5295/ad1c45
- Impacts of permafrost degradation on infrastructure J. Hjort et al. 10.1038/s43017-021-00247-8
- Research progress on hydrological effects of permafrost degradation in the Northern Hemisphere W. Li et al. 10.1016/j.geoderma.2023.116629
- Simulated responses of soil carbon to climate change in CMIP6 Earth system models: the role of false priming R. Varney et al. 10.5194/bg-20-3767-2023
- Earth system models must include permafrost carbon processes C. Schädel et al. 10.1038/s41558-023-01909-9
- Spatiotemporal evolution of the maximum freezing depth of seasonally frozen ground and permafrost continuity in historical and future periods in Heilongjiang Province, China S. Xu et al. 10.1016/j.atmosres.2022.106195
- First Quantification of the Permafrost Heat Sink in the Earth's Climate System J. Nitzbon et al. 10.1029/2022GL102053
- Future climate imposes pressure on vulnerable ecological regions in China X. Lian et al. 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2022.159995
- Increasing the Depth of a Land Surface Model. Part II: Temperature Sensitivity to Improved Subsurface Thermodynamics and Associated Permafrost Response N. Steinert et al. 10.1175/JHM-D-21-0023.1
- Permafrost thawing caused by the China-Russia Crude oil pipeline based on multi-type data and its impacts on geomorphological reshaping and water erosion K. Gao et al. 10.1016/j.catena.2024.108134
- Model improvement and future projection of permafrost processes in a global land surface model T. Yokohata et al. 10.1186/s40645-020-00380-w
- Linkage between anomalies of pre-summer thawing of frozen soil over the Tibetan Plateau and summer precipitation in East Asia Y. Li et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/ac2f1c
- Contrasting characteristics, changes, and linkages of permafrost between the Arctic and the Third Pole X. Wang et al. 10.1016/j.earscirev.2022.104042
- Validation of pan-Arctic soil temperatures in modern reanalysis and data assimilation systems T. Herrington et al. 10.5194/tc-18-1835-2024
- An effective medium theory-based unified model for estimating thermal conductivity of unfrozen and frozen soils H. Ji et al. 10.1016/j.catena.2024.107942
- Hysteresis of Northern Hemisphere permafrost to carbon dioxide emissions T. Wei et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/ad69a6
- Evaluation of soil temperature in CMIP6 multimodel simulations J. Zhou et al. 10.1016/j.agrformet.2024.110039
- Permafrost thaw drives surface water decline across lake-rich regions of the Arctic E. Webb et al. 10.1038/s41558-022-01455-w
- A new 2010 permafrost distribution map over the Qinghai–Tibet Plateau based on subregion survey maps: a benchmark for regional permafrost modeling Z. Cao et al. 10.5194/essd-15-3905-2023
- Hector V3.2.0: functionality and performance of a reduced-complexity climate model K. Dorheim et al. 10.5194/gmd-17-4855-2024
- Consequences of permafrost degradation for Arctic infrastructure – bridging the model gap between regional and engineering scales T. Schneider von Deimling et al. 10.5194/tc-15-2451-2021
- Organic carbon and mercury exports from pan-Arctic rivers in a thawing permafrost context – A review C. Fabre et al. 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.176713
- Elevation dependency of future degradation of permafrost over the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau G. Zhang et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/ace0d1
- Continental heat storage: contributions from the ground, inland waters, and permafrost thawing F. Cuesta-Valero et al. 10.5194/esd-14-609-2023
- A prototype field-to-publication data system for a multi-variable permafrost observation network N. Brown et al. 10.1016/j.envsoft.2024.106006
- Increasing the Depth of a Land Surface Model. Part I: Impacts on the Subsurface Thermal Regime and Energy Storage J. González-Rouco et al. 10.1175/JHM-D-21-0024.1
- Landscape‐scale variations in near‐surface soil temperature and active‐layer thickness: Implications for high‐resolution permafrost mapping Y. Zhang et al. 10.1002/ppp.2104
- Qinghai‐Tibet Plateau Permafrost at Risk in the Late 21st Century G. Zhang et al. 10.1029/2022EF002652
- Continued Warming of the Permafrost Regions Over the Northern Hemisphere Under Future Climate Change G. Hu et al. 10.1029/2022EF002835
- Permafrost on the Tibetan Plateau is degrading: Historical and projected trends T. Shen et al. 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2023.130501
- A permafrost implementation in the simple carbon–climate model Hector v.2.3pf D. Woodard et al. 10.5194/gmd-14-4751-2021
- Changes in the ground surface temperature in permafrost regions along the Qinghai–Tibet engineering corridor from 1900 to 2014: A modified assessment of CMIP6 Z. Xing et al. 10.1016/j.accre.2023.01.007
- Hydrologic‐land surface modelling of the Canadian sporadic‐discontinuous permafrost: Initialization and uncertainty propagation M. Abdelhamed et al. 10.1002/hyp.14509
- Impacts of spatially inconsistent permafrost degradation on streamflow in the Lena River Basin Z. Xue et al. 10.1007/s11431-023-2757-2
- Increase in Arctic coastal erosion and its sensitivity to warming in the twenty-first century D. Nielsen et al. 10.1038/s41558-022-01281-0
- Effective climate sensitivity distributions from a 1D model of global ocean and land temperature trends, 1970–2021 R. Spencer & J. Christy 10.1007/s00704-023-04634-7
- The changing thermal state of permafrost S. Smith et al. 10.1038/s43017-021-00240-1
- Landsat-Based Monitoring of Landscape Dynamics in Arctic Permafrost Region Y. Chen et al. 10.34133/2022/9765087
- Limited control of microtopography evolution on ground subsidence in polygonal tundra landscapes A. Khattak & A. Hamm 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.174741
- Numerical assessment of morphological and hydraulic properties of moss, lichen and peat from a permafrost peatland S. Cazaurang et al. 10.5194/hess-27-431-2023
- Abrupt increase in Arctic-Subarctic wildfires caused by future permafrost thaw I. Kim et al. 10.1038/s41467-024-51471-x
- Challenges in Hydrologic‐Land Surface Modeling of Permafrost Signatures—A Canadian Perspective M. Abdelhamed et al. 10.1029/2022MS003013
- Effects of multi-scale heterogeneity on the simulated evolution of ice-rich permafrost lowlands under a warming climate J. Nitzbon et al. 10.5194/tc-15-1399-2021
- Soil carbon-concentration and carbon-climate feedbacks in CMIP6 Earth system models R. Varney et al. 10.5194/bg-21-2759-2024
- The Zero Emissions Commitment and climate stabilization S. Palazzo Corner et al. 10.3389/fsci.2023.1170744
- Permafrost Thawing and Estimates of Vulnerable Carbon in the Northern High Latitude I. Nadeem et al. 10.1007/s41748-024-00491-0
- Evaluation of soil carbon simulation in CMIP6 Earth system models R. Varney et al. 10.5194/bg-19-4671-2022
- Initialization of thermal models in cold and warm permafrost C. Ross et al. 10.1139/as-2021-0013
- Thawing Permafrost as a Nitrogen Fertiliser: Implications for Climate Feedbacks E. Burke et al. 10.3390/nitrogen3020023
- Quantifying Overestimated Permafrost Extent Driven by Rock Glacier Inventory B. Cao et al. 10.1029/2021GL092476
- Analysing Historical and Modelling Future Soil Temperature at Kuujjuaq, Quebec (Canada): Implications on Aviation Infrastructure A. Leung et al. 10.3390/forecast4010006
- Agreement of Analytical and Simulation‐Based Estimates of the Required Land Depth in Climate Models N. Steinert et al. 10.1029/2021GL094273
- Tipping point in North American Arctic-Boreal carbon sink persists in new generation Earth system models despite reduced uncertainty R. Braghiere et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/acb226
- SURFER v2.0: a flexible and simple model linking anthropogenic CO2 emissions and solar radiation modification to ocean acidification and sea level rise M. Martínez Montero et al. 10.5194/gmd-15-8059-2022
- Arctic geohazard mapping tools for civil infrastructure planning: A systematic review Z. Wang et al. 10.1016/j.coldregions.2023.103969
- Improved Simulation of Arctic Circumpolar Land Area Snow Properties and Soil Temperatures A. Royer et al. 10.3389/feart.2021.685140
- Lateral thermokarst patterns in permafrost peat plateaus in northern Norway L. Martin et al. 10.5194/tc-15-3423-2021
- Advances in operational permafrost monitoring on Svalbard and in Norway K. Isaksen et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/ac8e1c
- Attributing observed permafrost warming in the northern hemisphere to anthropogenic climate change L. Gudmundsson et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/ac8ec2
- Characterizing the Changes in Permafrost Thickness across Tibetan Plateau Y. Zhao et al. 10.3390/rs15010206
- Historical Northern Hemisphere snow cover trends and projected changes in the CMIP6 multi-model ensemble L. Mudryk et al. 10.5194/tc-14-2495-2020
93 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Effects of land surface model resolution on fluxes and soil state in the Arctic M. Schickhoff et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/ad6019
- No respite from permafrost-thaw impacts in the absence of a global tipping point J. Nitzbon et al. 10.1038/s41558-024-02011-4
- Solar Geoengineering in the Polar Regions: A Review A. Duffey et al. 10.1029/2023EF003679
- The thermal effect of snow cover on ground surface temperature in the Northern Hemisphere X. Peng et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/ad30a5
- Global evaluation of the “dry gets drier, and wet gets wetter” paradigm from a terrestrial water storage change perspective J. Xiong et al. 10.5194/hess-26-6457-2022
- A newly integrated ground temperature dataset of permafrost along the China–Russia crude oil pipeline route in Northeast China G. Li et al. 10.5194/essd-14-5093-2022
- Permafrost carbon emissions in a changing Arctic K. Miner et al. 10.1038/s43017-021-00230-3
- Mechanisms and Impacts of Earth System Tipping Elements S. Wang et al. 10.1029/2021RG000757
- Impact of measured and simulated tundra snowpack properties on heat transfer V. Dutch et al. 10.5194/tc-16-4201-2022
- Evaluating permafrost definitions for global permafrost area estimates in CMIP6 climate models N. Steinert et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/ad10d7
- Response of atmospheric pCO$$_2$$ to a strong AMOC weakening under low and high emission scenarios A. Boot et al. 10.1007/s00382-024-07295-y
- Preconditioning of mountain permafrost towards degradation detected by electrical resistivity C. Hauck & C. Hilbich 10.1088/1748-9326/ad3c55
- A decline in atmospheric CO2 levels under negative emissions may enhance carbon retention in the terrestrial biosphere S. Park & J. Kug 10.1038/s43247-022-00621-4
- Assessment of a hydrologic-land surface model to simulate thermo-hydrologic evolution of permafrost regions M. Abdelhamed et al. 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2024.132161
- Northern-high-latitude permafrost and terrestrial carbon response to two solar geoengineering scenarios Y. Chen et al. 10.5194/esd-14-55-2023
- Dynamics of the freeze–thaw front of active layer on the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau G. Hu et al. 10.1016/j.geoderma.2023.116353
- An intensification of surface Earth’s energy imbalance since the late 20th century X. Li et al. 10.1038/s43247-024-01802-z
- Permafrost dynamics and their hydrologic impacts over the Russian Arctic drainage basin K. Wang et al. 10.1016/j.accre.2021.03.014
- Future Rainfall Erosivity over Iran Based on CMIP5 Climate Models B. Farokhzadeh et al. 10.3390/w14233861
- Damage characteristics of the Qinghai-Tibet Highway in permafrost regions based on UAV imagery M. Chai et al. 10.1080/10298436.2022.2038381
- Advances in modelling large river basins in cold regions with Modélisation Environmentale Communautaire—Surface and Hydrology (MESH), the Canadian hydrological land surface scheme H. Wheater et al. 10.1002/hyp.14557
- Effects of different soil thermal conductivity schemes on the simulation of permafrost on the Tibetan Plateau Y. Pan et al. 10.1016/j.geoderma.2024.116789
- Bringing it all together: science priorities for improved understanding of Earth system change and to support international climate policy C. Jones et al. 10.5194/esd-15-1319-2024
- Climatic assessment of circum-Arctic permafrost zonation over the last 122 kyr K. Saito et al. 10.1016/j.polar.2021.100765
- Utilizing Earth Observations of Soil Freeze/Thaw Data and Atmospheric Concentrations to Estimate Cold Season Methane Emissions in the Northern High Latitudes M. Tenkanen et al. 10.3390/rs13245059
- Defrosting northern catchments: Fluvial effects of permafrost degradation N. Tananaev & E. Lotsari 10.1016/j.earscirev.2022.103996
- PInc-PanTher estimates of Arctic permafrost soil carbon under the GeoMIP G6solar and G6sulfur experiments A. Liu et al. 10.5194/esd-14-39-2023
- Active Layer Thickness and Permafrost Area Projections for the 21st Century X. Peng et al. 10.1029/2023EF003573
- Thermodynamic and hydrological drivers of the soil and bedrock thermal regimes in central Spain F. García-Pereira et al. 10.5194/soil-10-1-2024
- Atmosphere circulation patterns synchronize pan-Arctic glacier melt and permafrost thaw I. Sasgen et al. 10.1038/s43247-024-01548-8
- Pervasive Permafrost Thaw Exacerbates Future Risk of Water Shortage Across the Tibetan Plateau T. Wang et al. 10.1029/2022EF003463
- Regime shifts in Arctic terrestrial hydrology manifested from impacts of climate warming M. Rawlins & A. Karmalkar 10.5194/tc-18-1033-2024
- Projection and Uncertainty Analysis of Future Temperature Change over the Yarlung Tsangpo-Brahmaputra River Basin Based on CMIP6 Z. Xu et al. 10.3390/w15203595
- Limited reversal of regional climate signals in overshoot scenarios P. Pfleiderer et al. 10.1088/2752-5295/ad1c45
- Impacts of permafrost degradation on infrastructure J. Hjort et al. 10.1038/s43017-021-00247-8
- Research progress on hydrological effects of permafrost degradation in the Northern Hemisphere W. Li et al. 10.1016/j.geoderma.2023.116629
- Simulated responses of soil carbon to climate change in CMIP6 Earth system models: the role of false priming R. Varney et al. 10.5194/bg-20-3767-2023
- Earth system models must include permafrost carbon processes C. Schädel et al. 10.1038/s41558-023-01909-9
- Spatiotemporal evolution of the maximum freezing depth of seasonally frozen ground and permafrost continuity in historical and future periods in Heilongjiang Province, China S. Xu et al. 10.1016/j.atmosres.2022.106195
- First Quantification of the Permafrost Heat Sink in the Earth's Climate System J. Nitzbon et al. 10.1029/2022GL102053
- Future climate imposes pressure on vulnerable ecological regions in China X. Lian et al. 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2022.159995
- Increasing the Depth of a Land Surface Model. Part II: Temperature Sensitivity to Improved Subsurface Thermodynamics and Associated Permafrost Response N. Steinert et al. 10.1175/JHM-D-21-0023.1
- Permafrost thawing caused by the China-Russia Crude oil pipeline based on multi-type data and its impacts on geomorphological reshaping and water erosion K. Gao et al. 10.1016/j.catena.2024.108134
- Model improvement and future projection of permafrost processes in a global land surface model T. Yokohata et al. 10.1186/s40645-020-00380-w
- Linkage between anomalies of pre-summer thawing of frozen soil over the Tibetan Plateau and summer precipitation in East Asia Y. Li et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/ac2f1c
- Contrasting characteristics, changes, and linkages of permafrost between the Arctic and the Third Pole X. Wang et al. 10.1016/j.earscirev.2022.104042
- Validation of pan-Arctic soil temperatures in modern reanalysis and data assimilation systems T. Herrington et al. 10.5194/tc-18-1835-2024
- An effective medium theory-based unified model for estimating thermal conductivity of unfrozen and frozen soils H. Ji et al. 10.1016/j.catena.2024.107942
- Hysteresis of Northern Hemisphere permafrost to carbon dioxide emissions T. Wei et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/ad69a6
- Evaluation of soil temperature in CMIP6 multimodel simulations J. Zhou et al. 10.1016/j.agrformet.2024.110039
- Permafrost thaw drives surface water decline across lake-rich regions of the Arctic E. Webb et al. 10.1038/s41558-022-01455-w
- A new 2010 permafrost distribution map over the Qinghai–Tibet Plateau based on subregion survey maps: a benchmark for regional permafrost modeling Z. Cao et al. 10.5194/essd-15-3905-2023
- Hector V3.2.0: functionality and performance of a reduced-complexity climate model K. Dorheim et al. 10.5194/gmd-17-4855-2024
- Consequences of permafrost degradation for Arctic infrastructure – bridging the model gap between regional and engineering scales T. Schneider von Deimling et al. 10.5194/tc-15-2451-2021
- Organic carbon and mercury exports from pan-Arctic rivers in a thawing permafrost context – A review C. Fabre et al. 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.176713
- Elevation dependency of future degradation of permafrost over the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau G. Zhang et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/ace0d1
- Continental heat storage: contributions from the ground, inland waters, and permafrost thawing F. Cuesta-Valero et al. 10.5194/esd-14-609-2023
- A prototype field-to-publication data system for a multi-variable permafrost observation network N. Brown et al. 10.1016/j.envsoft.2024.106006
- Increasing the Depth of a Land Surface Model. Part I: Impacts on the Subsurface Thermal Regime and Energy Storage J. González-Rouco et al. 10.1175/JHM-D-21-0024.1
- Landscape‐scale variations in near‐surface soil temperature and active‐layer thickness: Implications for high‐resolution permafrost mapping Y. Zhang et al. 10.1002/ppp.2104
- Qinghai‐Tibet Plateau Permafrost at Risk in the Late 21st Century G. Zhang et al. 10.1029/2022EF002652
- Continued Warming of the Permafrost Regions Over the Northern Hemisphere Under Future Climate Change G. Hu et al. 10.1029/2022EF002835
- Permafrost on the Tibetan Plateau is degrading: Historical and projected trends T. Shen et al. 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2023.130501
- A permafrost implementation in the simple carbon–climate model Hector v.2.3pf D. Woodard et al. 10.5194/gmd-14-4751-2021
- Changes in the ground surface temperature in permafrost regions along the Qinghai–Tibet engineering corridor from 1900 to 2014: A modified assessment of CMIP6 Z. Xing et al. 10.1016/j.accre.2023.01.007
- Hydrologic‐land surface modelling of the Canadian sporadic‐discontinuous permafrost: Initialization and uncertainty propagation M. Abdelhamed et al. 10.1002/hyp.14509
- Impacts of spatially inconsistent permafrost degradation on streamflow in the Lena River Basin Z. Xue et al. 10.1007/s11431-023-2757-2
- Increase in Arctic coastal erosion and its sensitivity to warming in the twenty-first century D. Nielsen et al. 10.1038/s41558-022-01281-0
- Effective climate sensitivity distributions from a 1D model of global ocean and land temperature trends, 1970–2021 R. Spencer & J. Christy 10.1007/s00704-023-04634-7
- The changing thermal state of permafrost S. Smith et al. 10.1038/s43017-021-00240-1
- Landsat-Based Monitoring of Landscape Dynamics in Arctic Permafrost Region Y. Chen et al. 10.34133/2022/9765087
- Limited control of microtopography evolution on ground subsidence in polygonal tundra landscapes A. Khattak & A. Hamm 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.174741
- Numerical assessment of morphological and hydraulic properties of moss, lichen and peat from a permafrost peatland S. Cazaurang et al. 10.5194/hess-27-431-2023
- Abrupt increase in Arctic-Subarctic wildfires caused by future permafrost thaw I. Kim et al. 10.1038/s41467-024-51471-x
- Challenges in Hydrologic‐Land Surface Modeling of Permafrost Signatures—A Canadian Perspective M. Abdelhamed et al. 10.1029/2022MS003013
- Effects of multi-scale heterogeneity on the simulated evolution of ice-rich permafrost lowlands under a warming climate J. Nitzbon et al. 10.5194/tc-15-1399-2021
- Soil carbon-concentration and carbon-climate feedbacks in CMIP6 Earth system models R. Varney et al. 10.5194/bg-21-2759-2024
- The Zero Emissions Commitment and climate stabilization S. Palazzo Corner et al. 10.3389/fsci.2023.1170744
- Permafrost Thawing and Estimates of Vulnerable Carbon in the Northern High Latitude I. Nadeem et al. 10.1007/s41748-024-00491-0
- Evaluation of soil carbon simulation in CMIP6 Earth system models R. Varney et al. 10.5194/bg-19-4671-2022
- Initialization of thermal models in cold and warm permafrost C. Ross et al. 10.1139/as-2021-0013
- Thawing Permafrost as a Nitrogen Fertiliser: Implications for Climate Feedbacks E. Burke et al. 10.3390/nitrogen3020023
- Quantifying Overestimated Permafrost Extent Driven by Rock Glacier Inventory B. Cao et al. 10.1029/2021GL092476
- Analysing Historical and Modelling Future Soil Temperature at Kuujjuaq, Quebec (Canada): Implications on Aviation Infrastructure A. Leung et al. 10.3390/forecast4010006
- Agreement of Analytical and Simulation‐Based Estimates of the Required Land Depth in Climate Models N. Steinert et al. 10.1029/2021GL094273
- Tipping point in North American Arctic-Boreal carbon sink persists in new generation Earth system models despite reduced uncertainty R. Braghiere et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/acb226
- SURFER v2.0: a flexible and simple model linking anthropogenic CO2 emissions and solar radiation modification to ocean acidification and sea level rise M. Martínez Montero et al. 10.5194/gmd-15-8059-2022
- Arctic geohazard mapping tools for civil infrastructure planning: A systematic review Z. Wang et al. 10.1016/j.coldregions.2023.103969
- Improved Simulation of Arctic Circumpolar Land Area Snow Properties and Soil Temperatures A. Royer et al. 10.3389/feart.2021.685140
- Lateral thermokarst patterns in permafrost peat plateaus in northern Norway L. Martin et al. 10.5194/tc-15-3423-2021
- Advances in operational permafrost monitoring on Svalbard and in Norway K. Isaksen et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/ac8e1c
- Attributing observed permafrost warming in the northern hemisphere to anthropogenic climate change L. Gudmundsson et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/ac8ec2
- Characterizing the Changes in Permafrost Thickness across Tibetan Plateau Y. Zhao et al. 10.3390/rs15010206
1 citations as recorded by crossref.
Latest update: 13 Dec 2024
Short summary
Permafrost will degrade under future climate change. This will have implications locally for the northern high-latitude regions and may well also amplify global climate change. There have been some recent improvements in the ability of earth system models to simulate the permafrost physical state, but further model developments are required. Models project the thawed volume of soil in the top 2 m of permafrost will increase by 10 %–40 % °C−1 of global mean surface air temperature increase.
Permafrost will degrade under future climate change. This will have implications locally for the...