Articles | Volume 14, issue 9
https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-14-3155-2020
https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-14-3155-2020
Research article
 | 
16 Sep 2020
Research article |  | 16 Sep 2020

Evaluating permafrost physics in the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project 6 (CMIP6) models and their sensitivity to climate change

Eleanor J. Burke, Yu Zhang, and Gerhard Krinner

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Latest update: 23 May 2024
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Short summary
Permafrost will degrade under future climate change. This will have implications locally for the northern high-latitude regions and may well also amplify global climate change. There have been some recent improvements in the ability of earth system models to simulate the permafrost physical state, but further model developments are required. Models project the thawed volume of soil in the top 2 m of permafrost will increase by 10 %–40 % °C−1 of global mean surface air temperature increase.