Historical Northern Hemisphere snow cover trends and projected changes in the CMIP6 multi-model ensemble

Mudryk, Lawrence; Santolaria-Otín, María; Krinner, Gerhard; Ménégoz, Martin; Derksen, Chris; Brutel-Vuilmet, Claire; Brady, Mike; Essery, Richard

doi:https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-14-2495-2020

Articles | Volume 14, issue 7

https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-14-2495-2020

© Author(s) 2020. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.

https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-14-2495-2020

© Author(s) 2020. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.

Articles | Volume 14, issue 7

Research article

|

31 Jul 2020

Research article |

| 31 Jul 2020

Historical Northern Hemisphere snow cover trends and projected changes in the CMIP6 multi-model ensemble

Lawrence Mudryk, María Santolaria-Otín, Gerhard Krinner, Martin Ménégoz, Chris Derksen, Claire Brutel-Vuilmet, Mike Brady, and Richard Essery

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Final revised paper (published on 31 Jul 2020)
Preprint (discussion started on 23 Jan 2020)
Supplement to the preprint

Interactive discussion

Status: closed

AC: Author comment | RC: Referee comment | SC: Short comment | EC: Editor comment

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- Supplement

RC1: 'Review of "Historical Northern Hemisphere snow cover trends and projected changes in the CMIP-6 multi-model ensemble" by L. Mudryk et al.', Anonymous Referee #1, 11 Feb 2020
- AC1: 'Response to Referee 1', Lawrence Mudryk, 23 Apr 2020
RC2: 'Comments on "Historical Northern Hemisphere snow cover trends and projected changes in the CMIP-6 multi-model ensemble"', Anonymous Referee #2, 19 Feb 2020
- AC2: 'Response to Referee 2', Lawrence Mudryk, 24 Apr 2020

Peer-review completion

AR: Author's response | RR: Referee report | ED: Editor decision

ED: Publish subject to minor revisions (review by editor) (28 Apr 2020) by Mark Flanner

AR by Lawrence Mudryk on behalf of the Authors (07 May 2020) Author's response Manuscript

ED: Publish as is (19 May 2020) by Mark Flanner

Short summary

We analyze how well updated state-of-the-art climate models reproduce observed historical snow cover extent and snow mass and how they project that these quantities will change up to the year 2100. Overall the updated models better represent historical snow extent than previous models, and they simulate stronger historical trends in snow extent and snow mass. They project that spring snow extent will decrease by 8 % for each degree Celsius that the global surface air temperature increases.