Articles | Volume 14, issue 7
https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-14-2495-2020
© Author(s) 2020. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-14-2495-2020
© Author(s) 2020. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Historical Northern Hemisphere snow cover trends and projected changes in the CMIP6 multi-model ensemble
Lawrence Mudryk
CORRESPONDING AUTHOR
Climate Research Division, Environment and Climate Change Canada,
Toronto, M3H 5T4, Canada
María Santolaria-Otín
Univ. Grenoble Alpes, CNRS, IGE, 38000, Grenoble, France
Gerhard Krinner
Univ. Grenoble Alpes, CNRS, IGE, 38000, Grenoble, France
Martin Ménégoz
Univ. Grenoble Alpes, CNRS, IGE, 38000, Grenoble, France
Chris Derksen
Climate Research Division, Environment and Climate Change Canada,
Toronto, M3H 5T4, Canada
Claire Brutel-Vuilmet
Univ. Grenoble Alpes, CNRS, IGE, 38000, Grenoble, France
Mike Brady
Climate Research Division, Environment and Climate Change Canada,
Toronto, M3H 5T4, Canada
Richard Essery
School of GeoSciences, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, EH9 3FF, UK
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- Warming-induced contrasts in snow depth drive the future trajectory of soil carbon loss across the Arctic-Boreal region A. Pongracz et al. 10.1038/s43247-024-01838-1
- Estimation of Snow Depth from AMSR2 and MODIS Data based on Deep Residual Learning Network D. Xing et al. 10.3390/rs14205089
- Characteristics of the Northern Hemisphere cold regions changes from 1901 to 2019 Y. Huang et al. 10.1038/s41598-023-30263-1
- Changes in snow cover extent in the Central Taurus Mountains from 1981 to 2021 in relation to temperature, precipitation, and atmospheric teleconnections E. Erlat & F. Aydin-Kandemir 10.1007/s11629-023-8109-3
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- Future Changes in Snowpack, Snowmelt, and Runoff Potential Extremes Over North America E. Cho et al. 10.1029/2021GL094985
- Projected changes to Northern Hemisphere snow conditions over the period 1950–2100, given two emission scenarios D. Eythorsson et al. 10.1016/j.rsase.2023.100954
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Latest update: 13 Dec 2024
Short summary
We analyze how well updated state-of-the-art climate models reproduce observed historical snow cover extent and snow mass and how they project that these quantities will change up to the year 2100. Overall the updated models better represent historical snow extent than previous models, and they simulate stronger historical trends in snow extent and snow mass. They project that spring snow extent will decrease by 8 % for each degree Celsius that the global surface air temperature increases.
We analyze how well updated state-of-the-art climate models reproduce observed historical snow...