Articles | Volume 14, issue 7
https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-14-2495-2020
© Author(s) 2020. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-14-2495-2020
© Author(s) 2020. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Historical Northern Hemisphere snow cover trends and projected changes in the CMIP6 multi-model ensemble
Lawrence Mudryk
CORRESPONDING AUTHOR
Climate Research Division, Environment and Climate Change Canada,
Toronto, M3H 5T4, Canada
María Santolaria-Otín
Univ. Grenoble Alpes, CNRS, IGE, 38000, Grenoble, France
Gerhard Krinner
Univ. Grenoble Alpes, CNRS, IGE, 38000, Grenoble, France
Martin Ménégoz
Univ. Grenoble Alpes, CNRS, IGE, 38000, Grenoble, France
Chris Derksen
Climate Research Division, Environment and Climate Change Canada,
Toronto, M3H 5T4, Canada
Claire Brutel-Vuilmet
Univ. Grenoble Alpes, CNRS, IGE, 38000, Grenoble, France
Mike Brady
Climate Research Division, Environment and Climate Change Canada,
Toronto, M3H 5T4, Canada
Richard Essery
School of GeoSciences, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, EH9 3FF, UK
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180 citations as recorded by crossref.
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- Snow Water Equivalent from airborne Ku-band data: the Trail Valley Creek 2018/19 snow experiment B. Montpetit et al.
- A seasonal algorithm of the snow-covered area fraction for mountainous terrain N. Helbig et al.
- Future Changes of Snow in Alaska and the Arctic under Stabilized Global Warming Scenarios S. Bigalke & J. Walsh
- Asymmetry in snow-water nexus in mountain areas mainly governed by meteorological seasonal changes R. Pimentel & C. Notarnicola
- Seasonal CO2 amplitude in northern high latitudes Z. Liu et al.
- Landsat‐based greening trends in alpine ecosystems are inflated by multidecadal increases in summer observations A. Bayle et al.
- Demography of lemmings in response to changing snow conditions in the High Arctic M. Poirier et al.
- Snow thermal conductivity controls future winter carbon emissions in shrub–tundra J. Rutherford et al.
- Evidence of human influence on Northern Hemisphere snow loss A. Gottlieb & J. Mankin
- 基于卫星遥感<bold>、</bold>大气再分析及气候模式数据的北半球春季积雪反照率反馈评估研究 辉. 郭 & 雨. 杨
- Measuring the spatiotemporal variability in snow depth in subarctic environments using UASs – Part 2: Snow processes and snow–canopy interactions L. Meriö et al.
- Impacts of Changing Winters on Lake Ecosystems Will Increase With Latitude T. Ozersky et al.
- Historical Trends and Projections of Snow Cover over the High Arctic: A Review H. Mohammadzadeh Khani et al.
- Winter snow cover influences growing-season vegetation productivity non-uniformly in the Northern Hemisphere H. Liu et al.
- Snowpack Dynamics Influence Tree Growth and Signals in Tree Rings of Tianshan Mountain, Central Asia Y. Fan et al.
- Assessment and projection of elevation-dependent warming over the Tibetan Plateau by CMIP6 models L. Zhu & G. Fan
- Global reduction of snow cover in ski areas under climate change V. Mitterwallner et al.
- Demystifying the drivers of the spring warming asymmetry between Eurasia and North America X. Ding et al.
- Projected Changes and Uncertainty of Cold Surges Over Northern China Using the Cmip6 Weighted Multi-Model Ensemble S. Song & X. Yan
- Evaluation of Historical Snow Cover over the Tibetan Plateau in CMIP6 F. Liu et al.
- Snow Depth Trends from CMIP6 Models Conflict with Observational Evidence X. Zhong et al.
- Predicting snow structures relevant to reindeer husbandry E. Perkins et al.
- Pervasive alterations to snow-dominated ecosystem functions under climate change W. Wieder et al.
- Assessing climate change impact on glacier runoff in the Upper Yukon Watershed: A Comparative study of CMIP5 and CMIP6 projections C. Doumbia et al.
- Impact of climate change on snowpack dynamics in coastal Central-Western Greenland J. Bonsoms et al.
- Hydrometeorology and landscapes control sediment and dissolved organic carbon mobility across a diverse and changing glacier-sourced river basin C. Emmerton et al.
- Climate change: Strategies for mitigation and adaptation F. Wang et al.
- Insight into historical and future spring snow cover from satellite observation and model simulations over the Northern Hemisphere H. Guo et al.
- Characteristics of the spatiotemporal differences in snowmelt phenology in the Northern Hemisphere X. Li & H. Fan
- Evaluating permafrost definitions for global permafrost area estimates in CMIP6 climate models N. Steinert et al.
- Past and future change in global river flows L. Gudmundsson et al.
- Changes in river ice cover in the context of climate change and dam impacts: a review M. Fukś
- Snow redistribution decreases winter soil carbon loss in the Arctic dry heath tundra Y. Liu et al.
- NH-SWE: Northern Hemisphere Snow Water Equivalent dataset based on in situ snow depth time series A. Fontrodona-Bach et al.
- Inter‐Model Differences in Future Summer Onset Over the Northern High Latitudes B. Park et al.
- 降水形态转变及其影响研究进展与展望 雪. 李 et al.
- Snow cover loss compounding the future economic vulnerability of western China X. Wu et al.
- Snow–vegetation–atmosphere interactions in alpine tundra N. Pirk et al.
- A new Monte Carlo Feature Selection (MCFS) algorithm-based weighting scheme for multi-model ensemble of precipitation A. Baseer et al.
- Combination of Snow Process Model Priors and Site Representativeness Evaluation to Improve the Global Snow Depth Retrieval Based on Passive Microwaves J. Pan et al.
- Warming-induced contrasts in snow depth drive the future trajectory of soil carbon loss across the Arctic-Boreal region A. Pongracz et al.
- Estimation of Snow Depth from AMSR2 and MODIS Data based on Deep Residual Learning Network D. Xing et al.
- Characteristics of the Northern Hemisphere cold regions changes from 1901 to 2019 Y. Huang et al.
- Latitude/elevation-dependent response of snow phenology to climate change in the Northern Hemisphere from 1972 to 2022 H. Guo et al.
- Changes in snow cover extent in the Central Taurus Mountains from 1981 to 2021 in relation to temperature, precipitation, and atmospheric teleconnections E. Erlat & F. Aydin-Kandemir
- An integrated index of cryospheric change in the Northern Hemisphere X. Peng et al.
- Changes in March mean snow water equivalent since the mid-20th century and the contributing factors in reanalyses and CMIP6 climate models J. Räisänen
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Saved (final revised paper)
Latest update: 11 May 2026
Short summary
We analyze how well updated state-of-the-art climate models reproduce observed historical snow cover extent and snow mass and how they project that these quantities will change up to the year 2100. Overall the updated models better represent historical snow extent than previous models, and they simulate stronger historical trends in snow extent and snow mass. They project that spring snow extent will decrease by 8 % for each degree Celsius that the global surface air temperature increases.
We analyze how well updated state-of-the-art climate models reproduce observed historical snow...