Assessment of Arctic and Antarctic sea ice predictability in CMIP5 decadal hindcasts

Yang, Chao-Yuan; Liu, Jiping; Hu, Yongyun; Horton, Radley M.; Chen, Liqi; Cheng, Xiao

doi:https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-10-2429-2016

Articles | Volume 10, issue 5

https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-10-2429-2016

© Author(s) 2016. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.

https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-10-2429-2016

© Author(s) 2016. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.

Articles | Volume 10, issue 5

Research article

|

21 Oct 2016

Research article |

| 21 Oct 2016

Assessment of Arctic and Antarctic sea ice predictability in CMIP5 decadal hindcasts

Chao-Yuan Yang, Jiping Liu, Yongyun Hu, Radley M. Horton, Liqi Chen, and Xiao Cheng

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Final revised paper (published on 21 Oct 2016)
Preprint (discussion started on 10 May 2016)

Interactive discussion

Status: closed

AC: Author comment | RC: Referee comment | SC: Short comment | EC: Editor comment

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- Supplement

RC1: 'Review of manuscript by Yang and coauthors', Anonymous Referee #1, 18 Jun 2016
- AC1: 'Response to comments by Anonymous Referee #1', Chao-Yuan Yang, 13 Aug 2016
RC2: 'Review', Anonymous Referee #2, 22 Jun 2016
- AC2: 'Response to comments by Anonymous Referee #2', Chao-Yuan Yang, 13 Aug 2016

Peer-review completion

AR: Author's response | RR: Referee report | ED: Editor decision

AR by Chao-Yuan Yang on behalf of the Authors (13 Aug 2016) Author's response

ED: Publish as is (08 Sep 2016) by Julienne Stroeve

AR by Chao-Yuan Yang on behalf of the Authors (12 Sep 2016)

Short summary

The anomaly correlation analysis between the decadal hindcast and observed sea ice suggests that in the Arctic, the areas showing significant predictive skill become broader associated with increasing lead times. This area expansion is largely because nearly all the models are capable of predicting the observed decreasing Arctic sea ice cover. Antarctic sea ice decadal hindcasts do not show broad predictive skill at any timescales.