Articles | Volume 20, issue 1
https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-20-97-2026
© Author(s) 2026. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-20-97-2026
© Author(s) 2026. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Research article
| 
07 Jan 2026
Research article |
| 07 Jan 2026
| 07 Jan 2026
Simple analytical–statistical models (ASMs) for mean annual permafrost table temperature and active-layer thickness estimates
Tomáš Uxa
CORRESPONDING AUTHOR
Institute of Geophysics, Czech Academy of Sciences, Prague, Czech Republic
Polar-Geo-Lab, Department of Geography, Faculty of Science, Masaryk University, Brno, Czech Republic
Filip Hrbáček
Polar-Geo-Lab, Department of Geography, Faculty of Science, Masaryk University, Brno, Czech Republic
Michaela Kňažková
Polar-Geo-Lab, Department of Geography, Faculty of Science, Masaryk University, Brno, Czech Republic
Related authors
Tomáš Uxa, Marek Křížek, and Filip Hrbáček
Geosci. Model Dev., 14, 1865–1884, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-14-1865-2021, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-14-1865-2021, 2021
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We present a simple model that derives palaeo-air temperature characteristics related to the palaeo-active-layer thickness, which can be recognized using many relict periglacial features found in past permafrost regions. Its evaluation against modern temperature records and an experimental palaeo-air temperature reconstruction showed relatively high model accuracy, which suggests that it could become a useful tool for reconstructing Quaternary palaeo-environments.
Tomáš Uxa, Marek Křížek, and Filip Hrbáček
Geosci. Model Dev., 14, 1865–1884, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-14-1865-2021, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-14-1865-2021, 2021
Short summary
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We present a simple model that derives palaeo-air temperature characteristics related to the palaeo-active-layer thickness, which can be recognized using many relict periglacial features found in past permafrost regions. Its evaluation against modern temperature records and an experimental palaeo-air temperature reconstruction showed relatively high model accuracy, which suggests that it could become a useful tool for reconstructing Quaternary palaeo-environments.
Filip Hrbáček, Zbyněk Engel, Michaela Kňažková, and Jana Smolíková
The Cryosphere Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-2021-5, https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-2021-5, 2021
Preprint withdrawn
Short summary
Short summary
This manuscript assesses the effect of the ephemeral snow cover occurring during high summer on ground thermal regime and active layer thickness in the cold environment of James Ross Island on Antarctic Peninsula region. We found that even short-term occurrence of relatively thick snow (> 20 cm) can significantly affect ground thermal conditions and consequently reduce the active layer thaw depth by ca 10 % when compare to snow-free conditions.
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Short summary
We devised two simple models for estimating the mean annual permafrost table temperature and active-layer thickness, which are driven solely by temperatures measured in the active layer; no ground physical properties are required. The models showed deviations of less than 0.05 °C and 9 %, and can therefore be useful tools for permafrost modelling under a wide range of environmental conditions.
We devised two simple models for estimating the mean annual permafrost table temperature and...
