Articles | Volume 20, issue 1
https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-20-737-2026
© Author(s) 2026. This work is distributed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Ensemble-based snow depth data assimilation for a multi-layer snow scheme over the European Arctic
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- Final revised paper (published on 28 Jan 2026)
- Preprint (discussion started on 09 May 2025)
Interactive discussion
Status: closed
Comment types: AC – author | RC – referee | CC – community | EC – editor | CEC – chief editor
| : Report abuse
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CC1: 'Comment on egusphere-2025-1693', Nima Zafarmomen, 15 May 2025
- AC3: 'Reply on CC1', Åsmund Bakketun, 13 Oct 2025
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RC1: 'Comment on egusphere-2025-1693', Matthieu Lafaysse, 24 Jul 2025
- AC2: 'Reply on RC1', Åsmund Bakketun, 13 Oct 2025
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RC2: 'Comment on egusphere-2025-1693', Anonymous Referee #2, 12 Sep 2025
- AC1: 'Reply on RC2', Åsmund Bakketun, 13 Oct 2025
Peer review completion
AR – Author's response | RR – Referee report | ED – Editor decision | EF – Editorial file upload
ED: Reconsider after major revisions (further review by editor and referees) (16 Oct 2025) by Johannes J. Fürst
AR by Åsmund Bakketun on behalf of the Authors (18 Nov 2025)
Author's response
Author's tracked changes
Manuscript
ED: Referee Nomination & Report Request started (19 Nov 2025) by Johannes J. Fürst
RR by Matthieu Lafaysse (17 Dec 2025)
ED: Publish subject to technical corrections (14 Jan 2026) by Johannes J. Fürst
AR by Åsmund Bakketun on behalf of the Authors (20 Jan 2026)
Manuscript
The paper addresses an important gap: bringing a flow-dependent ensemble Kalman framework to a multi-layer snow scheme for a high‐latitude regional reanalysis. The topic is timely and the modelling chain (SURFEX–ISBA explicit snow + LETKF, driven by CARRA) is potentially valuable for cryospheric and hydrologic communities.
Forcing and domain
The manuscript states that CARRA forcing is “interpolated to the model grid” but omits grid spacing for both driver and land model. Domain limits are described in text but not in coordinates; include bounding box and spatial resolution.
Ensemble generation
Only perturbing atmospheric forcing inevitably under-represents uncertainty in snow compaction, albedo metamorphism, and interception. You should quantify how ensemble spread compares to innovation statistics (e.g., spread-skill ratio) to demonstrate sufficiency of the perturbation strategy. If spread is systematically low, adding multiplicative inflation alone is insufficient; process perturbations or parameter perturbations may be needed.
The “remapping” approach for precipitation displacement is innovative, yet Appendix A lacks diagnostic evidence that the scheme produces realistic error structures. Provide at minimum a variogram or visual comparison between perturbed and reference precipitation fields.
Ensemble size
Ten members is very small for a 36-variable profile. You report that 20 members offered “no considerable degradation”, but give no metrics. Include a sensitivity figure (e.g., CRPS vs. ensemble size) to justify the final choice.
Increment analysis (Sect. 3.1)
Figure 4 shows domain-mean increments of several millimetres water equivalent per day—this is large. Provide histograms or spatial standard deviations to make clear whether these increments are isolated to specific subregions or pervasive. Without that context, the reader cannot judge if the LETKF is “adding missing precipitation” or merely compensating biased forcing.
Skill metrics
– CRPS and MAE are reported, but no sampling uncertainty is provided. Bootstrap confidence intervals would show whether the apparent improvements are statistically robust.
– Station splits (OBS-ONLY-Pv1, etc.) prove useful, yet the sample sizes differ dramatically. Present RMSE normalised by climatological variance to avoid overweighting dense station clusters.
SWE validation
Only six pillow sites are available, but you can still compute Kling-Gupta or Nash–Sutcliffe across time to give hydrologists a sense of hydro-logical skill. Also, the negative bias at one degraded site coincides with orographic precipitation maxima; examine whether forcing under-catch is the root cause.
I strongly recommend that the authors expand their discussion, as data assimilation is not only applicable to snow schemes but is also widely used in other areas such as streamflow prediction. I also recommend citing the following papers: Optimising ensemble streamflow predictions with bias correction and data assimilation techniques; Assimilation of Sentinel-Based Leaf Area Index for Modeling Surface-Ground Water Interactions in Irrigation Districts