Articles | Volume 20, issue 8
https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-20-4747-2026
© Author(s) 2026. This work is distributed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
On the non-linear response of Antarctic ice shelf surface melt to warming
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- Final revised paper (published on 26 Aug 2026)
- Preprint (discussion started on 23 Sep 2025)
Interactive discussion
Status: closed
Comment types: AC – author | RC – referee | CC – community | EC – editor | CEC – chief editor
| : Report abuse
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RC1: 'Comment on egusphere-2025-4176', Anonymous Referee #1, 21 Oct 2025
- AC1: 'Reply on RC1', Marte Hofsteenge, 21 Jan 2026
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RC2: 'Comment on egusphere-2025-4176', Anonymous Referee #2, 17 Nov 2025
- AC2: 'Reply on RC2', Marte Hofsteenge, 21 Jan 2026
Peer review completion
AR – Author's response | RR – Referee report | ED – Editor decision | EF – Editorial file upload
ED: Reconsider after major revisions (further review by editor and referees) (22 Jan 2026) by Christian Haas
AR by Marte Hofsteenge on behalf of the Authors (28 Jan 2026)
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ED: Referee Nomination & Report Request started (09 Feb 2026) by Christian Haas
RR by Anonymous Referee #1 (22 Mar 2026)
RR by Anonymous Referee #3 (22 Jul 2026)
ED: Publish subject to minor revisions (review by editor) (01 Aug 2026) by Christian Haas
AR by Marte Hofsteenge on behalf of the Authors (13 Aug 2026)
Author's response
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ED: Publish as is (16 Aug 2026) by Christian Haas
AR by Marte Hofsteenge on behalf of the Authors (21 Aug 2026)
This manuscript provided a spatially informed comparison of the mechanisms which dictate differences in the relationship between rising air temperature and meltwater production over the ice shelves of Antarctica. The results represent a novel and potentially important contribution to the literature pending suitable revisions. I have included some general feedback followed by a list of specific recommendations below.
General comments
The authors briefly state that RACMO may struggle to accurately represent longwave radiation and turbulent heat fluxes in the opening paragraph of section 3.1. This deserves more discussion. How does RACMO struggle to represent these variables? Are the biases in these variables uniform across antarctica or regionally dependent? How does RACMO accurately resolve surface air temperature and SMB if these important surface energy balance components are not resolved accurately in the model? What implications, if any, do these shortcomings have for the results of the study?
One of the strengths of this study is the detailed consideration in climate-driven spatial differences in SMB response between the various ice shelves. Some of the results presented in section 3.1 worked counter to this strength. For example, spatial averages in Table 1 could obscure biases that are locally relevant to a specific ice shelf. Furthermore, I did not see how this examination of biases was considered in the interpretation of rest of the results. Do these biases have any implications for the conclusions of the study? Here again, spatial averaging makes it difficult to answer this question.
I often found it difficult to see from where the authors were basing their claims. I believe the manuscript would benefit from more detailed explanations of how the figures support their claims. This is particularly true for the discussion of figures 4-6.
Specific comments
L13: delete the s from “becomes”
L74: I would suggest rewriting as “…and therefore provide a better representation of areas such as…”
L79: delete “in” from “penetrate in the snowpack”
L103: It can be assumed from the description that ER>0 for erosion and ER<0 for deposition, but it would not hurt to state this explicitly.
L109: A citation is needed for the ERA5 reanalysis dataset
L111: “Future projection simulations” is a bit redundant. I would suggest “Projections spanning 2015 to 2099 were forced using…”
L114: A short rationale for why SSP3-7.0 was chosen could be included here.
L117-120: This information would fit better in the previous paragraph, which is where you first introduce the future period simulations.
L124: Is this calculation of sea ice temperature performed within RACMO? Also, a citation is needed for this slab model.
L130: Can you clarify what is meant by “average climate in the historical simulation…”? As written, I would assume that RACMO(ERA5) is the historical simulation, since it is forced by an observationally constrained dataset. From what is written in the remainder of the paragraph, it seems the comparison referenced here is between RACMO(ERA5) and RACMO forced by the ESM’s representation of historical conditions. It is also not clear what the “average climate” is here. Perhaps long-term mean would be more accurate?
L132: Is this statement summarizing your own attempts at validating RACMO against in situ data? If so, where is this data presented? If not, a citation is needed.
L138: The word “significant” is usually reserved for instances of statistical significance. Was a statistical analysis performed here? If so, what method was used and where are these results presented?
Figure 1: It is somewhat unusual in my experience to use hatching to highlight areas of small differences relative to internal variability. This is also a bit confusing in the context of the discussion, where significant differences are emphasized (L138). This is related to my previous comment, but if a statistical significance test was conducted, I think it would make more sense to highlight areas of statistical significance.
Table 1: If the focus of this paper is on the Antarctic ice shelves, how relevant is a spatial average of model biases across the whole of the Antarctic Ice Sheet? It seems that spatially informed biases are of critical importance to the question at hand, and the information in Table 1 may mask some of these locally relevant biases by averaging biases of opposing sign in different regions (e.g., the strong negative precipitation bias over east Antarctica versus the strong positive bias over Dronning Maud Land in RACMO(MPI-ESM)).
Figure 2: Panels are referred to by letter in the figure caption, but there is no lettering on the figure.
L185: “consistently stronger” is a bit unclear. Perhaps something like “…21st century; however, output from RACMO(CESM2) consistently shows a greater rate of warming than RACMO(MPI-ESM).
Figure 3: The error bars in each panel can be hard to read. Would it be possible to spread them out more so as to avoid overlap?
L221: What are the authors relying on to make this claim about increased snowfall over cold ice shelves? This explanation makes sense from a physical standpoint, but did the authors verify an increasing trend in snowfall over these ice shelves in their RACMO simulations?
L224: Why is “near” in parentheses?
Figure 5 caption: Caption refers to figure panels by letter, but letter labels are missing from the figure.
Figure 5: Points and lines are color coded according to average snowfall rate. I do not see where mean snowfall rate is discussed in the context of the albedo-temperature relationship.
Figure 5: it is difficult to read these plots. As noted by the author in the previous paragraph, one of the more interesting pieces of information conveyed here is the slope of the albedo-temperature relationship is different among ice shelves. This is evident in the fit lines, but it is hard to distinguish the fit lines from the points. Perhaps using different color scales for the fit lines and points could help? Also, while it is not practical to label all fit lines, perhaps annotating a few lines to highlight the difference between the relatively cold and warm ice shelves could clarify things.
Figure 7 caption: delete “is” from last line.
L324: should be spelled “satellites”
L341: Might read better as “Not only does the sensible heat flux become more important … at 0 °C, but atmospheric temperatures and moisture content can also continue to rise.”