Articles | Volume 20, issue 5
https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-20-3151-2026
© Author(s) 2026. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-20-3151-2026
© Author(s) 2026. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Research article
| 
29 May 2026
Research article |
| 29 May 2026
| 29 May 2026
Increasing precipitation due to climate change could partially offset the impact of warming on glacier loss in the monsoon-influenced Himalaya until 2100 CE
Anya M. Schlich-Davies
Priestley International Centre for Climate, School of Earth and Environment, University of Leeds, Leeds, UK
Department of Earth Science, University of Bergen and Bjerknes Centre for Climate Research, Bergen, Norway
Andrew N. Ross
Priestley International Centre for Climate, School of Earth and Environment, University of Leeds, Leeds, UK
Duncan J. Quincey
School of Geography, University of Leeds, Leeds, UK
Vivi K. Pedersen
Department of Geoscience, Aarhus University, Aarhus C, Denmark
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Léa Rodari, Audrey Margirier, Ann V. Rowan, Christoph Schmidt, Remy Veness, Charlotte S. Curry, Alex C. Scoffield, Christiaan R. Diemont, Faye Perchanok, Guillaume Jouvet, Vivi Pedersen, Derek Fabel, and Georgina E. King
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-1536, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-1536, 2026
This preprint is open for discussion and under review for Earth Surface Dynamics (ESurf).
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By combining innovative dating techniques and glacier modelling, we studied how sediment is produced, transported, and stored within the Mer de Glace catchment in the French Alps. We show that whilst sediment is transported through the glacier in less than a millennium, some sediment can be stored for many thousands of years before being re-entrained into glacial transport. This long-term storage affects how landscapes evolve and how climate signals are preserved during deglaciation.
William J. Dow, Amanda C. Maycock, Andrew N. Ross, Ryan S. Williams, and Thomas J. Bracegirdle
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-1179, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-1179, 2026
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This study aims to advance understanding of the atmospheric drivers of extreme warm days across the Antarctic Peninsula during summer. We find that these days are linked to a range of large-scale atmospheric circulation patterns. Using a statistical method, we grouped similar events and compared their wind, temperature and pressure features, showing clear differences spatially and temporally. Understanding these dynamics improves understanding of the processes that drive these extreme events.
Sunil N. Oulkar, Matthew W. Peacey, Michael Mitrev, Duncan J. Quincey, Bryn Hubbard, Tom Matthews, Ankita S. Oulkar, Katie E. Miles, and Ann V. Rowan
Geosci. Instrum. Method. Data Syst., 15, 75–88, https://doi.org/10.5194/gi-15-75-2026, https://doi.org/10.5194/gi-15-75-2026, 2026
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We designed and tested a system that can record and send data in near real time from extreme and remote locations, such as Mount Everest. Using solar power and satellite communication, the system worked reliably at high altitude, showing it can be applied in other remote regions. This approach will help scientists collect vital information on how the environment is changing in areas that are normally very difficult to study.
Gustav Jungdal-Olesen, Jane Lund Andersen, Andreas Born, and Vivi Kathrine Pedersen
The Cryosphere, 18, 1517–1532, https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-18-1517-2024, https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-18-1517-2024, 2024
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We explore how the shape of the land and underwater features in Scandinavia affected the former Scandinavian ice sheet over time. Using a computer model, we simulate how the ice sheet evolved during different stages of landscape development. We discovered that early glaciations were limited in size by underwater landforms, but as these changed, the ice sheet expanded more rapidly. Our findings highlight the importance of considering landscape changes when studying ice-sheet history.
Anna Wendleder, Jasmin Bramboeck, Jamie Izzard, Thilo Erbertseder, Pablo d'Angelo, Andreas Schmitt, Duncan J. Quincey, Christoph Mayer, and Matthias H. Braun
The Cryosphere, 18, 1085–1103, https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-18-1085-2024, https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-18-1085-2024, 2024
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This study analyses the basal sliding and the hydrological drainage of Baltoro Glacier, Pakistan. The surface velocity was characterized by a spring speed-up, summer peak, and autumn speed-up. Snow melt has the largest impact on the spring speed-up, summer velocity peak, and the transition from inefficient to efficient drainage. Drainage from supraglacial lakes contributed to the fall speed-up. Increased summer temperatures will intensify the magnitude of meltwater and thus surface velocities.
Guanyu Li, Mingyang Lv, Duncan J. Quincey, Liam S. Taylor, Xinwu Li, Shiyong Yan, Yidan Sun, and Huadong Guo
The Cryosphere, 17, 2891–2907, https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-17-2891-2023, https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-17-2891-2023, 2023
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Kyagar Glacier in the Karakoram is well known for its surge history and its frequent blocking of the downstream valley, leading to a series of high-magnitude glacial lake outburst floods. Using it as a test bed, we develop a new approach for quantifying surge behaviour using successive digital elevation models. This method could be applied to other surge studies. Combined with the results from optical satellite images, we also reconstruct the surge process in unprecedented detail.
William Stanley Torgerson, Juliane Schwendike, Andrew Ross, and Chris Short
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2023-1272, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2023-1272, 2023
Preprint archived
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Two types of fluctuations were studied in Hurricane Irma (2017) using model simulations. The first type of fluctuation, the eyewall replacement cycle, has a Hurricane’s eyewall replaced by a second outer eyewall that develops further out. The other type of fluctuation has no replacement of the eyewall but a disruption to its structure instead.
William Torgerson, Juliane Schwendike, Andrew Ross, and Chris J. Short
Weather Clim. Dynam., 4, 331–359, https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-4-331-2023, https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-4-331-2023, 2023
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We investigated intensity fluctuations that occurred during the rapid intensification of Hurricane Irma (2017) to understand their effects on the storm structure. Using high-resolution model simulations, we found that the fluctuations were caused by local regions of strong ascent just outside the eyewall that disrupted the storm, leading to a larger and more symmetrical storm eye. This alters the location and intensity of the strongest winds in the storm and hence the storm's impact.
Liam S. Taylor, Duncan J. Quincey, and Mark W. Smith
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 23, 329–341, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-23-329-2023, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-23-329-2023, 2023
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Hazards from glaciers are becoming more likely as the climate warms, which poses a threat to communities living beneath them. We have developed a new camera system which can capture regular, high-quality 3D models to monitor small changes in glaciers which could be indicative of a future hazard. This system is far cheaper than more typical camera sensors yet produces very similar quality data. We suggest that deploying these cameras near glaciers could assist in warning communities of hazards.
Christopher D. Stringer, Jonathan L. Carrivick, Duncan J. Quincey, and Daniel Nývlt
Earth Syst. Sci. Data Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-2022-250, https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-2022-250, 2022
Revised manuscript not accepted
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Glaciers in Antarctica have been decreasing in size at a fast rate, leading to the expansion of proglacial areas, with wide-ranging ecological implications. Several global land-cover maps exist, but they do not include Antarctica. We map land cover types across West Antarctica and the McMurdo Dry Valleys to a high degree of accuracy (77.0 %). We highlight the spatial variation in land cover and emphasise the need for more field data.
Gregoire Guillet, Owen King, Mingyang Lv, Sajid Ghuffar, Douglas Benn, Duncan Quincey, and Tobias Bolch
The Cryosphere, 16, 603–623, https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-16-603-2022, https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-16-603-2022, 2022
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Surging glaciers show cyclical changes in flow behavior – between slow and fast flow – and can have drastic impacts on settlements in their vicinity.
One of the clusters of surging glaciers worldwide is High Mountain Asia (HMA).
We present an inventory of surging glaciers in HMA, identified from satellite imagery. We show that the number of surging glaciers was underestimated and that they represent 20 % of the area covered by glaciers in HMA, before discussing new physics for glacier surges.
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Short summary
Glaciers in the Himalaya are shrinking in response to climate change. We use a glacier model to explore how future changes in precipitation distribution will drive the evolution of Khumbu Glacier in Nepal until 2100 CE. We find that, when compared to the impacts of climate warming alone, the combined effect of warming and the resulting increase in precipitation (rain and snowfall) could offset up to half of the glacier loss expected by the end of this Century.
Glaciers in the Himalaya are shrinking in response to climate change. We use a glacier model to...
