Ensemble numerical simulation of permafrost thermal regimes over the Tibetan Plateau using the Flexible Permafrost Model: 1950–2023
Wen Sunand Bin Cao
Wen Sun
State Key Laboratory of Tibetan Plateau Earth System Environment and Resources (TPESER), National Tibetan Plateau Data Center (TPDC), Institute of Tibetan Plateau Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China
State Key Laboratory of Tibetan Plateau Earth System Environment and Resources (TPESER), National Tibetan Plateau Data Center (TPDC), Institute of Tibetan Plateau Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China
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Total article views: 9,981 (including HTML, PDF, and XML)
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Total article views: 1,320 (including HTML, PDF, and XML)
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Total article views: 8,661 (including HTML, PDF, and XML)
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Understanding the dynamics of permafrost heavily relies on process-based simulations. In this study, we introduce a new model specifically designed for permafrost applications, the Flexible Permafrost Model (FPM). This model serves as an adaptable framework for implementing innovative permafrost-related physics. Long-term ensemble simulations indicate that the permafrost temperature increased at a rate of 0.11 °C dec-1 since 1980 with a decreased area of ∼12.4 % over the Tibetan Plateau.
Understanding the dynamics of permafrost heavily relies on process-based simulations. In this...