Articles | Volume 20, issue 3
https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-20-1867-2026
https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-20-1867-2026
Research article
 | 
01 Apr 2026
Research article |  | 01 Apr 2026

Past and future changes in avalanche problems in northern Norway estimated with machine-learning models

Kai-Uwe Eiselt and Rune Grand Graversen

Data sets

Data and models for the article "Past and future changes in avalanche problems in northern Norway estimated with machine-learning models" Kai-Uwe Eiselt https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.19185230

Model code and software

Avalanche Danger Prediction Python Library Kai-Uwe Eiselt https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.19185871

Download
Short summary
We train machine-learning models to predict avalanche problems from meteorological and snow-cover data in northern Norway. A major part of the work is the estimation of avalanche-problem changes throughout the 21st century based on future climate projections. We find that while the avalanche danger generally declines towards 2100, the avalanche characteristics will likely change, meaning fewer dry but more wet avalanches, having potential implications for the avalanche-danger forecast quality.
Share