Articles | Volume 20, issue 2
https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-20-1339-2026
© Author(s) 2026. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-20-1339-2026
© Author(s) 2026. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Research article
| 
25 Feb 2026
Research article |
| 25 Feb 2026
| 25 Feb 2026
CMIP6 climate model spread outweighs glacier model spread in 21st-century drought buffering projections
Cryospheric Sciences Lab, NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, Greenbelt, MD, USA
GESTAR-II Cooperative Agreement, Morgan State University, Baltimore, MD, USA
Finn Wimberly
Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution, Woods Hole, MA, USA
Sloan Coats
Department of Earth Sciences, University of Hawaii at Manoa, Honolulu, HI, USA
Jonathan Mackay
Environmental Science Centre, British Geological Survey, Keyworth, UK
Erik Holmgren
Department of Space, Earth and Environment, Chalmers University of Technology, Gothenburg, Sweden
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Short summary
Runoff from glaciers can be an important water source in mountain regions. Global climate models used to understand future changes in the water cycle do not include glacier changes. We simulated glacier change in all available glacier models using information from global climate models as input. We found that for analysis of future drought, it is more important to understand the climate input than to use all available glacier models together.
Runoff from glaciers can be an important water source in mountain regions. Global climate models...
