Articles | Volume 19, issue 12
https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-19-6673-2025
© Author(s) 2025. This work is distributed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
A history-matching analysis of the Antarctic Ice Sheet since the last interglacial – Part 2: Glacial isostatic adjustment
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- Final revised paper (published on 09 Dec 2025)
- Supplement to the final revised paper
- Preprint (discussion started on 16 Dec 2024)
- Supplement to the preprint
Interactive discussion
Status: closed
Comment types: AC – author | RC – referee | CC – community | EC – editor | CEC – chief editor
| : Report abuse
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RC1: 'Comment on egusphere-2024-3268', Anonymous Referee #1, 06 Jan 2025
- AC1: 'Reply on RC1', Benoit Lecavalier, 02 Jun 2025
- AC3: 'Reply on RC1', Benoit Lecavalier, 19 Sep 2025
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RC2: 'Comment on egusphere-2024-3268', Anonymous Referee #2, 24 Feb 2025
- AC2: 'Reply on RC2', Benoit Lecavalier, 02 Jun 2025
- AC4: 'Reply on RC2', Benoit Lecavalier, 19 Sep 2025
Peer review completion
AR – Author's response | RR – Referee report | ED – Editor decision | EF – Editorial file upload
ED: Publish subject to revisions (further review by editor and referees) (07 Jul 2025) by Arjen Stroeven
AR by Benoit Lecavalier on behalf of the Authors (19 Sep 2025)
Author's response
Author's tracked changes
Manuscript
ED: Publish subject to technical corrections (11 Oct 2025) by Arjen Stroeven
AR by Benoit Lecavalier on behalf of the Authors (19 Oct 2025)
Author's response
Manuscript
The work of Lecavalier and Tarasov assesses uncertainties in the solid Earth's response to loading and unloading of ice (and consequently the oceans) in the Antarctic. The authors show that there is a much larger uncertainty and different spatial patterns than previously estimated by the more popular Glacial Isostatic Adjustment (GIA) models, which are used to estimate the present-day AIS mass balance. Their assessment is done by history-matching a large ensemble of simulations using the Glacial Systems Model (GSM), producing a Not-Ruled-Out-Yet (NROY) subset that is further used as input to adhoc simulations of GIA using a more faithful solid-Earth model. The GSM ensemble is the same presented in a companion paper. They further use the NROY ensemble results to discuss implications for the climate and GIA (including when that means a limitation of the used forcings or solid-Earth models and parameter ranges).
Overall, the paper structure is mostly clear and easy to follow with just some points where the text could be improved, sometimes by rewriting confusing paragraphs, sometimes by clarifying some technical parts. Below I make some general remarks with suggestions to improve the overall state of the paper before it can be published, provide technical/editorial suggestions line by line, and finally comment on how to improve some of the figures presented.
I hope the authors find my comments useful, and I look forward to seeing a revised and improved version of this manuscript.
General remarks
Line-by-line comments
L29-34: This feels more like a sequence of bullet points written in-line instead of proper text. Please rewrite and give it a proper flow for the reader, as it is hard (even if still possible) to follow the implications of one to another
L37: Please add a comma after "that" so the sentence actually states that it was your study that adequately explored the uncertainties, and not the previous studies.
L58: There's an extra ":" at the end of the line
L63: Is the author's last name really "A"? I could not find it in the reference list
L128-129: "ensemble parameter controlled three shell viscosity structure": some hyphenation needs to be done here so the reader can properly understand what is going on...
L186: Either "Antarctica" or "the Antarctic"
L195: A full stop works better than a comma after "matching"
L263: It is not clear which criteria were used to choose the HVSS. What counts as "High Variance" in this subset?
L323: Please change "Although" for "However"
L397: There's an extra "is" that does not make sense in this sentence
L438-440: It would be useful for the reader if this sentence was discussed more in terms of climate than "degrees of freedom", i.e., what kind of atmospheric, ocean, and basal conditions not captured in GSM would be necessary to fit the vertical motion estimates at sites 8426 and 8502?
L480: What is the difference between the minimum score and the joint minimum score? Is the GPS score not included in the former? If so, please clarify that in the text.
L515: I believe it should be "reliance on three reference..."
L562: Here you state that the ensemble comprises 9,292 simulations, whereas in L16 and L255 it is stated 9,293. Please double check which one is correct
L571-579: I struggle to see how this paragraph fits in the Conclusions section. It reads much better without it, but I do understand that this relevant information. I'd suggest the authors to either rewrite it, or to move this to the previous section, making the appropriate changes so it fits in the text. This is related to my general comment #4
Figures
Figure 1: Please add to the caption what the abbreviations in the legend mean (paleoExt, paleoH, paleoRSL). In the text, only paleoH is explained
Figure 4 and all others in similar style: It looks like the grounding line shown is that of present day. I would recommend changing to that of one of the reference simulations, so the figures can better illustrate the solid-Earth response to changes in ice loading/unloading
Figs 4 and S3: What is the significance of a RSL value where ice is grounded? If nothing, wouldn't it be clearer to mask out values where the ice is grounded in all ensemble members for each of the time slices? I would imagine this can be addressed in combination with a solution to my comment above.