The Cryosphere
The Cryosphere
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Articles | Volume 19, issue 11
Articles | Volume 19, issue 11
https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-19-6023-2025
© Author(s) 2025. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-19-6023-2025
© Author(s) 2025. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Articles | Volume 19, issue 11
Research article
 | 
20 Nov 2025
Research article |  | 20 Nov 2025

Future changes in Antarctic near-surface winds: regional variability and key drivers under a high-emission scenario

Cécile Davrinche, Anaïs Orsi, Charles Amory, Christoph Kittel, and Cécile Agosta

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Short summary
We analyse changes in Antarctic winter surface winds projected by 4 models. Depending on the area and model, changes on the continent by 2100 reveal opposing trends. Nevertheless, models agree on a strengthening of surface winds in Adélie Land for example and a weakening in some other areas such as the Amundsen region. We attribute the strengthening of near-surface winds to changes in the large-sale atmospheric circulation and the weakening to changes in the structure of the lower atmosphere.
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