Articles | Volume 19, issue 10
https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-19-4835-2025
https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-19-4835-2025
Research article
 | 
21 Oct 2025
Research article |  | 21 Oct 2025

Modeling the impacts of climate trends and lake formation on the retreat of a tropical Andean glacier (1962–2020)

Tal Y. Shutkin, Bryan G. Mark, Nathan D. Stansell, Rolando Cruz Encarnación, Henry H. Brecher, Zhengyu Liu, Bidhyananda Yadav, and Forrest S. Schoessow

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Cited articles

Abdullah, T., Romshoo, S. A., and Rashid, I.: The satellite observed glacier mass changes over the Upper Indus Basin during 2000–2012, Sci. Rep., 10, 14285, https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-020-71281-7, 2020. 
Aubry-Wake, C., ZÉPhir, D., Baraer, M., McKenzie, J. M., and Mark, B. G.: Importance of longwave emissions from adjacent terrain on patterns of tropical glacier melt and recession, J. Glaciol., 64, 49–60, https://doi.org/10.1017/jog.2017.85, 2017. 
Aybar, C., Fernández, C., Huerta, A., Lavado, W., Vega, F., and Felipe-Obando, O.: Construction of a high-resolution gridded rainfall dataset for Peru from 1981 to the present day, Hydrol. Sci. J., 65, 770–785, https://doi.org/10.1080/02626667.2019.1649411, 2020. 
Baraer, M., Mark, B. G., McKenzie, J. M., Condom, T., Bury, J., Huh, K.-I., Portocarrero, C., Gómez, J., and Rathay, S.: Glacier recession and water resources in Peru's Cordillera Blanca, J. Glaciol., 58, 134–150, https://doi.org/10.3189/2012JoG11J186, 2012. 
Brecher, H. H. and Thompson, L. G.: Measurement of the Retreat of Qori Kalis Glacier in the Tropical Andes of Peru by Terrestrial Photogrammetry, Photogramm. Eng. Remote Sens., 59, 1017–1022, 1993. 
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Short summary
Queshque Glacier of Peru's tropical Andes has retreated rapidly since the mid-20th century. Using a glacier model, we show that this has primarily been driven by steady warming despite the counteracting effect of recent snowfall amounts. Independently from climatic trends, we find that the formation of a new lake at the glacier's base has further accelerated ice loss. This research demonstrates the utility of empirical glacier models for interpreting past and future changes in the tropics.
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