Articles | Volume 19, issue 8
https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-19-3259-2025
https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-19-3259-2025
Research article
 | 
26 Aug 2025
Research article |  | 26 Aug 2025

Seasonality and scenario dependence of rapid Arctic sea ice loss events in CMIP6 simulations

Annelies Sticker, François Massonnet, Thierry Fichefet, Patricia DeRepentigny, Alexandra Jahn, David Docquier, Christopher Wyburn-Powell, Daphne Quint, Erica Shivers, and Makayla Ortiz

Data sets

Sea Ice Trends and Climatologies from SMMR and SSM/I-SSMIS J. Stroeve and W. N. Meier https://doi.org/10.5067/IJ0T7HFHB9Y6

CMIP6 WCRP https://esgf-node.ipsl.upmc.fr/search/cmip6-ipsl/

PIOMAS Arctic Sea Ice Volume Reanalysis version 2.1 Polar Science Center http://psc.apl.uw.edu/research/projects/arctic-sea-ice-volume-anomaly/data/

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Short summary
Our study analyzes rapid ice loss events (RILEs) in the Arctic, which are significant reductions in sea ice extent. RILEs are expected throughout the year, varying in frequency and duration with the seasons. Our research gives a year-round analysis of their characteristics in climate models and suggests that summer RILEs could begin before the middle of the century. Understanding these events is crucial as they can have profound impacts on the Arctic environment.
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