Articles | Volume 19, issue 7
https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-19-2695-2025
https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-19-2695-2025
Research article
 | 
29 Jul 2025
Research article |  | 29 Jul 2025

Sea level rise contribution from Ryder Glacier in northern Greenland varies by an order of magnitude by 2300 depending on future emissions

Felicity A. Holmes, Jamie Barnett, Henning Åkesson, Mathieu Morlighem, Johan Nilsson, Nina Kirchner, and Martin Jakobsson

Data sets

Peak refreezing in the Greenland firn layer under future warming scenarios Brice Noël et al. https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.7100706

Model code and software

ISSM source code v4.22 Ice Sheet and Sea Level System Model development team https://github.com/ISSMteam/ISSM

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Short summary
Northern Greenland contains some of the ice sheet's last remaining glaciers with floating ice tongues. One of these is Ryder Glacier, which has been relatively stable in recent decades, in contrast to nearby glaciers. Here, we use a computer model to simulate Ryder Glacier until 2300 under both a low- and a high-emissions scenario. Very high levels of surface melt under a high-emissions future lead to a sea level rise contribution that is an order of magnitude higher than under a low-emissions future.
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