The Cryosphere
The Cryosphere
TC
Articles | Volume 18, issue 12
Articles | Volume 18, issue 12
https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-18-5865-2024
© Author(s) 2024. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-18-5865-2024
© Author(s) 2024. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Articles | Volume 18, issue 12
Research article
 | 
13 Dec 2024
Research article |  | 13 Dec 2024

Future permafrost degradation under climate change in a headwater catchment of central Siberia: quantitative assessment with a mechanistic modelling approach

Thibault Xavier, Laurent Orgogozo, Anatoly S. Prokushkin, Esteban Alonso-González, Simon Gascoin, and Oleg S. Pokrovsky

Viewed

Total article views: 3,095 (including HTML, PDF, and XML)
HTML PDF XML Total Supplement BibTeX EndNote
2,602 409 84 3,095 161 87 134
  • HTML: 2,602
  • PDF: 409
  • XML: 84
  • Total: 3,095
  • Supplement: 161
  • BibTeX: 87
  • EndNote: 134
Views and downloads (calculated since 08 Feb 2024)
Cumulative views and downloads (calculated since 08 Feb 2024)

Viewed (geographical distribution)

Total article views: 3,095 (including HTML, PDF, and XML) Thereof 2,989 with geography defined and 106 with unknown origin.
Country # Views %
  • 1
1
 
 
 
 
Latest update: 13 Apr 2026
Download
Short summary
Permafrost (permanently frozen soil at depth) is thawing as a result of climate change. However, estimating its future degradation is particularly challenging due to the complex multi-physical processes involved. In this work, we designed and ran numerical simulations for months on a supercomputer to quantify the impact of climate change in a forested valley of central Siberia. There, climate change could increase the thickness of the seasonally thawed soil layer in summer by up to 65 % by 2100.
Read more
Share