The Cryosphere
The Cryosphere
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Articles | Volume 18, issue 9
Articles | Volume 18, issue 9
https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-18-4463-2024
© Author(s) 2024. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-18-4463-2024
© Author(s) 2024. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Articles | Volume 18, issue 9
Research article
 | 
25 Sep 2024
Research article |  | 25 Sep 2024

The long-term sea-level commitment from Antarctica

Ann Kristin Klose, Violaine Coulon, Frank Pattyn, and Ricarda Winkelmann

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Latest update: 06 Oct 2025
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Short summary
We systematically assess the long-term sea-level response from Antarctica to warming projected over the next centuries, using two ice-sheet models. We show that this committed Antarctic sea-level contribution is substantially higher than the transient sea-level change projected for the coming decades. A low-emission scenario already poses considerable risk of multi-meter sea-level increase over the next millennia, while additional East Antarctic ice loss unfolds under the high-emission pathway.
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