Articles | Volume 18, issue 4
https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-18-2161-2024
https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-18-2161-2024
Research article
 | 
30 Apr 2024
Research article |  | 30 Apr 2024

Improving short-term sea ice concentration forecasts using deep learning

Cyril Palerme, Thomas Lavergne, Jozef Rusin, Arne Melsom, Julien Brajard, Are Frode Kvanum, Atle Macdonald Sørensen, Laurent Bertino, and Malte Müller

Model code and software

cyrilpalerme/Calibration_of_short_term_SIC_forecasts: Improving short-term sea ice concentration forecasts using deep learning (v1.0.0) C. Palerme https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.11071206

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Short summary

Sea ice forecasts are operationally produced using physically based models, but these forecasts are often not accurate enough for maritime operations. In this study, we developed a statistical correction technique using machine learning in order to improve the skill of short-term (up to 10 d) sea ice concentration forecasts produced by the TOPAZ4 model. This technique allows for the reduction of errors from the TOPAZ4 sea ice concentration forecasts by 41 % on average.