Articles | Volume 16, issue 9
The Cryosphere, 16, 3469–3488, 2022
The Cryosphere, 16, 3469–3488, 2022
Research article
01 Sep 2022
Research article | 01 Sep 2022

Natural climate variability is an important aspect of future projections of snow water resources and rain-on-snow events

Michael Schirmer et al.

Data sets

Multiple realizations of daily snow water equivalent, surface water input and liquid precipitation projections for mid- and late-century Michael Schirmer, Adam Winstral, Tobias Jonas, Paolo Burlando, and Nadav Peleg

Short summary
Rain is highly variable in time at a given location so that there can be both wet and dry climate periods. In this study, we quantify the effects of this natural climate variability and other sources of uncertainty on changes in flooding events due to rain on snow (ROS) caused by climate change. For ROS events with a significant contribution of snowmelt to runoff, the change due to climate was too small to draw firm conclusions about whether there are more ROS events of this important type.