Articles | Volume 16, issue 5
https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-16-2103-2022
© Author(s) 2022. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-16-2103-2022
© Author(s) 2022. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Estimating a mean transport velocity in the marginal ice zone using ice–ocean prediction systems
Graig Sutherland
CORRESPONDING AUTHOR
Environmental Numerical Prediction Research, Environment and Climate Change Canada, Dorval, QC, Canada
Victor de Aguiar
Norwegian Meteorological Institute, Bergen, Norway
Department of Physics and Technology, UiT The Arctic University of Norway, Tromsø, Norway
Lars-Robert Hole
Norwegian Meteorological Institute, Bergen, Norway
Jean Rabault
Norwegian Meteorological Institute, Oslo, Norway
Department of Mathematics, University of Oslo, Oslo, Norway
Mohammed Dabboor
Environmental Numerical Prediction Research, Environment and Climate Change Canada, Dorval, QC, Canada
Øyvind Breivik
Norwegian Meteorological Institute, Bergen, Norway
Geophysical Institute, University of Bergen, Bergen, Norway
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Jean Rabault, Trygve Halsne, Ana Carrasco, Anton Korosov, Joey Voermans, Patrik Bohlinger, Jens Boldingh Debernard, Malte Müller, Øyvind Breivik, Takehiko Nose, Gaute Hope, Fabrice Collard, Sylvain Herlédan, Tsubasa Kodaira, Nick Hughes, Qin Zhang, Kai Haakon Christensen, Alexander Babanin, Lars Willas Dreyer, Cyril Palerme, Lotfi Aouf, Konstantinos Christakos, Atle Jensen, Johannes Röhrs, Aleksey Marchenko, Graig Sutherland, Trygve Kvåle Løken, and Takuji Waseda
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2401.07619, https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2401.07619, 2024
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We observe strongly modulated waves-in-ice significant wave height using buoys deployed East of Svalbard. We show that these observations likely cannot be explained by wave-current interaction or tide-induced modulation alone. We also demonstrate a strong correlation between the waves height modulation, and the rate of sea ice convergence. Therefore, our data suggest that the rate of sea ice convergence and divergence may modulate wave in ice energy dissipation.
Alvise Benetazzo, Trygve Halsne, Øyvind Breivik, Kjersti Opstad Strand, Adrian H. Callaghan, Francesco Barbariol, Silvio Davison, Filippo Bergamasco, Cristobal Molina, and Mauro Bastianini
Ocean Sci., 20, 639–660, https://doi.org/10.5194/os-20-639-2024, https://doi.org/10.5194/os-20-639-2024, 2024
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We investigated the behaviour of air bubble plumes in the upper ocean in various stormy conditions. We conducted a field experiment in the North Adriatic Sea using high-resolution sonar. We found that bubble penetration depths respond rapidly to wind and wave forcings and can be triggered by the cooling of the water masses. We also found a strong connection between bubble depths and theoretical CO2 gas transfer. Our findings have implications for air–sea interaction studies.
Are Frode Kvanum, Cyril Palerme, Malte Müller, Jean Rabault, and Nick Hughes
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2023-3107, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2023-3107, 2024
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Recent studies have shown that machine learning models are effective at predicting sea ice concentration, yet few have explored the development of such models in an operational context. In this study, we present the development of a machine learning forecasting system which can predict sea ice concentration at 1 km resolution, up to 3 days ahead using real time operational data. The developed forecasts predict the sea ice edge position with a better accuracy than physical and baseline forecasts.
Trygve Halsne, Kai Håkon Christensen, Gaute Hope, and Øyvind Breivik
Geosci. Model Dev., 16, 6515–6530, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-16-6515-2023, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-16-6515-2023, 2023
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Surface waves that propagate in oceanic or coastal environments get influenced by their surroundings. Changes in the ambient current or the depth profile affect the wave propagation path, and the change in wave direction is called refraction. Some analytical solutions to the governing equations exist under ideal conditions, but for realistic situations, the equations must be solved numerically. Here we present such a numerical solver under an open-source license.
Manuel Aghito, Loris Calgaro, Knut-Frode Dagestad, Christian Ferrarin, Antonio Marcomini, Øyvind Breivik, and Lars Robert Hole
Geosci. Model Dev., 16, 2477–2494, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-16-2477-2023, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-16-2477-2023, 2023
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The newly developed ChemicalDrift model can simulate the transport and fate of chemicals in the ocean and in coastal regions. The model combines ocean physics, including transport due to currents, turbulence due to surface winds and the sinking of particles to the sea floor, with ocean chemistry, such as the partitioning, the degradation and the evaporation of chemicals. The model will be utilized for risk assessment of ocean and sea-floor contamination from pollutants emitted from shipping.
Lars R. Hole, Knut-Frode Dagestad, Johannes Röhrs, Cecilie Wettre, Vassiliki H. Kourafalou, Ioannis Androulidakis, Matthieu Le Hénaff, Heesook Kang, and Oscar Garcia-Pineda
Ocean Sci. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/os-2018-130, https://doi.org/10.5194/os-2018-130, 2018
Revised manuscript not accepted
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This study shows how the Mississippi river influenced the spreading of oil in the Gulf of Mexico after the DeepWater Horizon disaster. High resolution numerical models for ocean and atmosphere circulation are used to force an oil drift model. The circulation is totally different when river input is removed in the ocean model. The study also showcase the importance of the choice of oil droplet size distribution. Model output is compared with satellite observation of surface oil.
Knut-Frode Dagestad, Johannes Röhrs, Øyvind Breivik, and Bjørn Ådlandsvik
Geosci. Model Dev., 11, 1405–1420, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-11-1405-2018, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-11-1405-2018, 2018
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We have developed a computer code with ability to predict how various substances and objects drift in the ocean. This may be used to, e.g. predict the drift of oil to aid cleanup operations, the drift of man-over-board or lifeboats to aid search and rescue operations, or the drift of fish eggs and larvae to understand and manage fish stocks. This new code merges all such applications into one software tool, allowing to optimise and channel any available resources and developments.
Kai Håkon Christensen, Ana Carrasco, Jean-Raymond Bidlot, and Øyvind Breivik
Ocean Sci., 13, 589–597, https://doi.org/10.5194/os-13-589-2017, https://doi.org/10.5194/os-13-589-2017, 2017
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In this note we investigate when and where we would expect the bottom to influence the dynamics of surface waves. In deep water, where the presence of the bottom is not felt by the waves, modelers can use a simpler description of wave-mean flow interactions; hence, the results are relevant for coupled wave-ocean modeling systems. The most pronounced influence is on the Northwest Shelf during winter, and can sometimes be significant even far from the coast.
Tjarda J. Roberts, Marina Dütsch, Lars R. Hole, and Paul B. Voss
Atmos. Chem. Phys., 16, 12383–12396, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-16-12383-2016, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-16-12383-2016, 2016
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We present Controlled Meteorological (CMET) balloon flights in the Arctic. CMETs are a novel balloon that can be controlled (by satellite link) to change altitude during the flight and remain in the troposphere up to several days. We performed automated repeated soundings in the Arctic boundary layer during the flight and compared the observations (temperature, humidity, wind) to output from two atmospheric models. CMETs are a valuable tool for probing the lower atmosphere in remote regions.
Related subject area
Discipline: Sea ice | Subject: Atmospheric Interactions
Dynamic and thermodynamic processes related to sea-ice surface melt advance in the Laptev Sea and East Siberian Sea
Effects of Arctic sea-ice concentration on turbulent surface fluxes in four atmospheric reanalyses
Attributing near-surface atmospheric trends in the Fram Strait region to regional sea ice conditions
Decadal changes in the leading patterns of sea level pressure in the Arctic and their impacts on the sea ice variability in boreal summer
Contributions of advection and melting processes to the decline in sea ice in the Pacific sector of the Arctic Ocean
Potential faster Arctic sea ice retreat triggered by snowflakes' greenhouse effect
Atmospheric influences on the anomalous 2016 Antarctic sea ice decay
Hongjie Liang and Wen Zhou
The Cryosphere, 18, 3559–3569, https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-18-3559-2024, https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-18-3559-2024, 2024
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This study identifies the metric of springtime sea-ice surface melt advance in the Laptev Sea and East Siberian Sea, which can be defined on the same date each year and has the potential to be used in the practical seasonal prediction of summer sea ice cover instead of average melt onset. Detailed analysis of dynamic and thermodynamic processes related to different melt advance scenarios in this region imply considerable interannual and interdecadal variability in springtime conditions.
Tereza Uhlíková, Timo Vihma, Alexey Yu Karpechko, and Petteri Uotila
The Cryosphere, 18, 957–976, https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-18-957-2024, https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-18-957-2024, 2024
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A prerequisite for understanding the local, regional, and hemispherical impacts of Arctic sea-ice decline on the atmosphere is to quantify the effects of sea-ice concentration (SIC) on the sensible and latent heat fluxes in the Arctic. We analyse these effects utilising four data sets called atmospheric reanalyses, and we evaluate uncertainties in these effects arising from inter-reanalysis differences in SIC and in the sensitivity of the latent and sensible heat fluxes to SIC.
Amelie U. Schmitt and Christof Lüpkes
The Cryosphere, 17, 3115–3136, https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-17-3115-2023, https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-17-3115-2023, 2023
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In the last few decades, the region between Greenland and Svalbard has experienced the largest loss of Arctic sea ice in winter. We analyze how changes in air temperature, humidity and wind in this region differ for winds that originate from sea ice covered areas and from the open ocean. The largest impacts of sea ice cover are found for temperatures close to the ice edge and up to a distance of 500 km. Up to two-thirds of the observed temperature variability is related to sea ice changes.
Nakbin Choi, Kyu-Myong Kim, Young-Kwon Lim, and Myong-In Lee
The Cryosphere, 13, 3007–3021, https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-13-3007-2019, https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-13-3007-2019, 2019
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This study compares the decadal changes of the leading patterns of sea level pressure between the early (1982–1997) and the recent (1998–2017) periods as well as their influences on the Arctic sea ice extent (SIE) variability. The correlation between the Arctic Dipole (AD) mode and SIE becomes significant in the recent period, not in the past, due to its spatial pattern change. This tends to enhance meridional wind over the Fram Strait and sea ice discharge to the Atlantic.
Haibo Bi, Qinghua Yang, Xi Liang, Liang Zhang, Yunhe Wang, Yu Liang, and Haijun Huang
The Cryosphere, 13, 1423–1439, https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-13-1423-2019, https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-13-1423-2019, 2019
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The Arctic sea ice extent is diminishing, which is deemed an immediate response to a warmer Earth. However, quantitative estimates about the contribution due to transport and melt to the sea ice loss are still vague. This study mainly utilizes satellite observations to quantify the dynamic and thermodynamic aspects of ice loss for nearly 40 years (1979–2016). In addition, the potential impacts on ice reduction due to different atmospheric circulation pattern are highlighted.
Jui-Lin Frank Li, Mark Richardson, Wei-Liang Lee, Eric Fetzer, Graeme Stephens, Jonathan Jiang, Yulan Hong, Yi-Hui Wang, Jia-Yuh Yu, and Yinghui Liu
The Cryosphere, 13, 969–980, https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-13-969-2019, https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-13-969-2019, 2019
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Observed summer Arctic sea ice retreat has been faster than simulated by the average CMIP5 models, most of which exclude falling ice particles from their radiative calculations.
We use controlled CESM1-CAM5 simulations to show for the first time that snowflakes' radiative effects can accelerate sea ice retreat. September retreat rates are doubled above current CO2 levels, highlighting falling ice radiative effects as a high priority for inclusion in future modelling of the Arctic.
Elisabeth Schlosser, F. Alexander Haumann, and Marilyn N. Raphael
The Cryosphere, 12, 1103–1119, https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-12-1103-2018, https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-12-1103-2018, 2018
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The atmospheric influence on the unusually early and strong decrease in Antarctic sea ice in the austral spring 2016 was investigated using data from the global forecast model of the European Centre for Medium-range Weather Forecasts. Weather situations related to warm, northerly flow conditions in the regions with large negative anomalies in sea ice extent and area were frequent and explain to a large part the observed melting. Additionally, oceanic influences might play a role.
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Short summary
The marginal ice zone (MIZ), which is the transition region between the open ocean and the dense pack ice, is a very dynamic region comprising a mixture of ice and ocean conditions. Using novel drifters deployed in various ice conditions in the MIZ, several material transport models are tested with two operational ice–ocean prediction systems. A new general transport equation, which uses both the ice and ocean solutions, is developed that reduces the error in drift prediction for our case study.
The marginal ice zone (MIZ), which is the transition region between the open ocean and the dense...