Articles | Volume 15, issue 2
https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-15-633-2021
© Author(s) 2021. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-15-633-2021
© Author(s) 2021. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Research article
| 
10 Feb 2021
Research article |
| 10 Feb 2021
| 10 Feb 2021
ISMIP6-based projections of ocean-forced Antarctic Ice Sheet evolution using the Community Ice Sheet Model
Climate and Global Dynamics Laboratory, National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO, USA
Gunter R. Leguy
Climate and Global Dynamics Laboratory, National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO, USA
Nicolas C. Jourdain
Univ. Grenoble Alpes/CNRS/IRD/G-INP, IGE, Grenoble, France
Xylar Asay-Davis
Los Alamos National Laboratory, Los Alamos, NM, USA
Hélène Seroussi
Jet Propulsion Laboratory, California Institute of Technology, Pasadena, CA, USA
Sophie Nowicki
NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, Greenbelt, MD, USA
University at Buffalo, Buffalo, NY, USA
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Cited
16 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Statistical emulation of a perturbed basal melt ensemble of an ice sheet model to better quantify Antarctic sea level rise uncertainties M. Berdahl et al. 10.5194/tc-15-2683-2021
- Sea ice-free corridors for large swell to reach Antarctic ice shelves N. Teder et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/ac5edd
- Compensating errors in inversions for subglacial bed roughness: same steady state, different dynamic response C. Berends et al. 10.5194/tc-17-1585-2023
- Assessing ice sheet models against the landform record: The Likelihood of Accordant Lineations Analysis (LALA) tool R. Archer et al. 10.1002/esp.5658
- A Semi-Empirical Framework for ice sheet response analysis under Oceanic forcing in Antarctica and Greenland X. Luo & T. Lin 10.1007/s00382-022-06317-x
- A comparison of the stability and performance of depth-integrated ice-dynamics solvers A. Robinson et al. 10.5194/tc-16-689-2022
- Future projections for the Antarctic ice sheet until the year 2300 with a climate-index method R. Greve et al. 10.1017/jog.2023.41
- Modelling landfast sea ice and its influence on ocean–ice interactions in the area of the Totten Glacier, East Antarctica G. Van Achter et al. 10.1016/j.ocemod.2021.101920
- An assessment of basal melt parameterisations for Antarctic ice shelves C. Burgard et al. 10.5194/tc-16-4931-2022
- Mass loss of the Antarctic ice sheet until the year 3000 under a sustained late-21st-century climate C. Chambers et al. 10.1017/jog.2021.124
- Evaluating different geothermal heat-flow maps as basal boundary conditions during spin-up of the Greenland ice sheet T. Zhang et al. 10.5194/tc-18-387-2024
- Insights into the vulnerability of Antarctic glaciers from the ISMIP6 ice sheet model ensemble and associated uncertainty H. Seroussi et al. 10.5194/tc-17-5197-2023
- Exploring ice sheet model sensitivity to ocean thermal forcing and basal sliding using the Community Ice Sheet Model (CISM) M. Berdahl et al. 10.5194/tc-17-1513-2023
- Marine ice sheet experiments with the Community Ice Sheet Model G. Leguy et al. 10.5194/tc-15-3229-2021
- West Antarctic Ice Sheet Dynamics in the Amundsen Sea Sector since the Late Miocene—Tying IODP Expedition 379 Results to Seismic Data J. Gille-Petzoldt et al. 10.3389/feart.2022.976703
- ISMIP6 Antarctica: a multi-model ensemble of the Antarctic ice sheet evolution over the 21st century H. Seroussi et al. 10.5194/tc-14-3033-2020
15 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Statistical emulation of a perturbed basal melt ensemble of an ice sheet model to better quantify Antarctic sea level rise uncertainties M. Berdahl et al. 10.5194/tc-15-2683-2021
- Sea ice-free corridors for large swell to reach Antarctic ice shelves N. Teder et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/ac5edd
- Compensating errors in inversions for subglacial bed roughness: same steady state, different dynamic response C. Berends et al. 10.5194/tc-17-1585-2023
- Assessing ice sheet models against the landform record: The Likelihood of Accordant Lineations Analysis (LALA) tool R. Archer et al. 10.1002/esp.5658
- A Semi-Empirical Framework for ice sheet response analysis under Oceanic forcing in Antarctica and Greenland X. Luo & T. Lin 10.1007/s00382-022-06317-x
- A comparison of the stability and performance of depth-integrated ice-dynamics solvers A. Robinson et al. 10.5194/tc-16-689-2022
- Future projections for the Antarctic ice sheet until the year 2300 with a climate-index method R. Greve et al. 10.1017/jog.2023.41
- Modelling landfast sea ice and its influence on ocean–ice interactions in the area of the Totten Glacier, East Antarctica G. Van Achter et al. 10.1016/j.ocemod.2021.101920
- An assessment of basal melt parameterisations for Antarctic ice shelves C. Burgard et al. 10.5194/tc-16-4931-2022
- Mass loss of the Antarctic ice sheet until the year 3000 under a sustained late-21st-century climate C. Chambers et al. 10.1017/jog.2021.124
- Evaluating different geothermal heat-flow maps as basal boundary conditions during spin-up of the Greenland ice sheet T. Zhang et al. 10.5194/tc-18-387-2024
- Insights into the vulnerability of Antarctic glaciers from the ISMIP6 ice sheet model ensemble and associated uncertainty H. Seroussi et al. 10.5194/tc-17-5197-2023
- Exploring ice sheet model sensitivity to ocean thermal forcing and basal sliding using the Community Ice Sheet Model (CISM) M. Berdahl et al. 10.5194/tc-17-1513-2023
- Marine ice sheet experiments with the Community Ice Sheet Model G. Leguy et al. 10.5194/tc-15-3229-2021
- West Antarctic Ice Sheet Dynamics in the Amundsen Sea Sector since the Late Miocene—Tying IODP Expedition 379 Results to Seismic Data J. Gille-Petzoldt et al. 10.3389/feart.2022.976703
1 citations as recorded by crossref.
Latest update: 18 Apr 2024
Short summary
This paper describes Antarctic climate change experiments in which the Community Ice Sheet Model is forced with ocean warming predicted by global climate models. Generally, ice loss begins slowly, accelerates by 2100, and then continues unabated, with widespread retreat of the West Antarctic Ice Sheet. The mass loss by 2500 varies from about 150 to 1300 mm of equivalent sea level rise, based on the predicted ocean warming and assumptions about how this warming drives melting beneath ice shelves.
This paper describes Antarctic climate change experiments in which the Community Ice Sheet Model...
