Articles | Volume 15, issue 8
https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-15-3637-2021
https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-15-3637-2021
Research article
 | 
06 Aug 2021
Research article |  | 06 Aug 2021

The 21st-century fate of the Mocho-Choshuenco ice cap in southern Chile

Matthias Scheiter, Marius Schaefer, Eduardo Flández, Deniz Bozkurt, and Ralf Greve

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Latest update: 20 Jul 2024
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Short summary
We simulate the current state and future evolution of the Mocho-Choshuenco ice cap in southern Chile (40°S, 72°W) with the ice-sheet model SICOPOLIS. Under different global warming scenarios, we project ice mass losses between 56 % and 97 % by the end of the 21st century. We quantify the uncertainties based on an ensemble of climate models and on the temperature dependence of the equilibrium line altitude. Our results suggest a considerable deglaciation in southern Chile in the next 80 years.