The Cryosphere
The Cryosphere
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Articles | Volume 15, issue 8
Articles | Volume 15, issue 8
https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-15-3615-2021
© Author(s) 2021. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Special issue:
https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-15-3615-2021
© Author(s) 2021. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Articles | Volume 15, issue 8
Research article
 | 
06 Aug 2021
Research article |  | 06 Aug 2021

Significant additional Antarctic warming in atmospheric bias-corrected ARPEGE projections with respect to control run

Julien Beaumet, Michel Déqué, Gerhard Krinner, Cécile Agosta, Antoinette Alias, and Vincent Favier

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Latest update: 08 May 2025
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Short summary
We use empirical run-time bias correction (also called flux correction) to correct the systematic errors of the ARPEGE atmospheric climate model. When applying the method to future climate projections, we found a lesser poleward shift and an intensification of the maximum of westerly winds present in the southern high latitudes. This yields a significant additional warming of +0.6 to +0.9 K of the Antarctic Ice Sheet with respect to non-corrected control projections using the RCP8.5 scenario.
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Improving the contribution of the land cryosphere to sea level...