Articles | Volume 14, issue 2
https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-14-633-2020
© Author(s) 2020. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-14-633-2020
© Author(s) 2020. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Research article
| 
14 Feb 2020
Research article |
| 14 Feb 2020
| 14 Feb 2020
Glacial-cycle simulations of the Antarctic Ice Sheet with the Parallel Ice Sheet Model (PISM) – Part 2: Parameter ensemble analysis
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK), Member of the Leibniz Association, P.O. Box 601203, 14412 Potsdam, Germany
Ricarda Winkelmann
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK), Member of the Leibniz Association, P.O. Box 601203, 14412 Potsdam, Germany
University of Potsdam, Institute of Physics and Astronomy,
Karl-Liebknecht-Str. 24–25, 14476 Potsdam, Germany
Anders Levermann
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK), Member of the Leibniz Association, P.O. Box 601203, 14412 Potsdam, Germany
University of Potsdam, Institute of Physics and Astronomy,
Karl-Liebknecht-Str. 24–25, 14476 Potsdam, Germany
Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory, Columbia University, New York, USA
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46 citations as recorded by crossref.
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- The influence of emissions scenarios on future Antarctic ice loss is unlikely to emerge this century D. Lowry et al. 10.1038/s43247-021-00289-2
- Crystal orientation fabric anisotropy causes directional hardening of the Northeast Greenland Ice Stream T. Gerber et al. 10.1038/s41467-023-38139-8
- Abrupt Holocene ice loss due to thinning and ungrounding in the Weddell Sea Embayment M. Grieman et al. 10.1038/s41561-024-01375-8
- Geothermal heat flux is the dominant source of uncertainty in englacial-temperature-based dating of ice rise formation A. Montelli & J. Kingslake 10.5194/tc-17-195-2023
- Strategies for regional modeling of surface mass balance at the Monte Sarmiento Massif, Tierra del Fuego F. Temme et al. 10.5194/tc-17-2343-2023
- The stability of present-day Antarctic grounding lines – Part 2: Onset of irreversible retreat of Amundsen Sea glaciers under current climate on centennial timescales cannot be excluded R. Reese et al. 10.5194/tc-17-3761-2023
- An ensemble of Antarctic deglacial simulations constrained by geological observations M. Pittard et al. 10.1016/j.quascirev.2022.107800
- The role of history and strength of the oceanic forcing in sea level projections from Antarctica with the Parallel Ice Sheet Model R. Reese et al. 10.5194/tc-14-3097-2020
- Range of 21st century ice mass changes in the Filchner-Ronne region of Antarctica A. Johnson et al. 10.1017/jog.2023.10
- Deglaciation and abrupt events in a coupled comprehensive atmosphere–ocean–ice-sheet–solid-earth model U. Mikolajewicz et al. 10.5194/cp-21-719-2025
- GEORGIA: A Graph Neural Network Based EmulatOR for Glacial Isostatic Adjustment Y. Lin et al. 10.1029/2023GL103672
- Accelerating glacier volume loss on Juneau Icefield driven by hypsometry and melt-accelerating feedbacks B. Davies et al. 10.1038/s41467-024-49269-y
- Antarctic Ice Sheet tipping in the last 800,000 years warns of future ice loss D. Chandler et al. 10.1038/s43247-025-02366-2
- Sea-level fingerprinting technique: A window into meltwater pulse 1 A and constraints from Antarctica W. Baba & J. Pattanaik 10.1016/j.gloplacha.2025.104793
- A thicker Antarctic ice stream during the mid-Pliocene warm period M. Mas e Braga et al. 10.1038/s43247-023-00983-3
- Investigating the internal structure of the Antarctic ice sheet: the utility of isochrones for spatiotemporal ice-sheet model calibration J. Sutter et al. 10.5194/tc-15-3839-2021
- The future of Upernavik Isstrøm through the ISMIP6 framework: sensitivity analysis and Bayesian calibration of ensemble prediction E. Jager et al. 10.5194/tc-18-5519-2024
- Global mean sea level likely higher than present during the holocene R. Creel et al. 10.1038/s41467-024-54535-0
- Overshooting the critical threshold for the Greenland ice sheet N. Bochow et al. 10.1038/s41586-023-06503-9
- Modeling the climate sensitivity of Patagonian glaciers and their responses to climatic change during the global last glacial maximum Q. Yan et al. 10.1016/j.quascirev.2022.107582
- Feedback mechanisms controlling Antarctic glacial-cycle dynamics simulated with a coupled ice sheet–solid Earth model T. Albrecht et al. 10.5194/tc-18-4233-2024
- Review article: Existing and potential evidence for Holocene grounding line retreat and readvance in Antarctica J. Johnson et al. 10.5194/tc-16-1543-2022
- Behavioural tendencies of the last British–Irish Ice Sheet revealed by data–model comparison J. Ely et al. 10.1002/jqs.3628
- Ocean cavity regime shift reversed West Antarctic grounding line retreat in the late Holocene D. Lowry et al. 10.1038/s41467-024-47369-3
- Description and validation of the ice-sheet model Yelmo (version 1.0) A. Robinson et al. 10.5194/gmd-13-2805-2020
- The influence of present-day regional surface mass balance uncertainties on the future evolution of the Antarctic Ice Sheet C. Wirths et al. 10.5194/tc-18-4435-2024
- Modelling Last Glacial Maximum ice cap with the Parallel Ice Sheet Model to infer palaeoclimate in south‐west Turkey A. Candaş et al. 10.1002/jqs.3239
- Holocene thinning of Darwin and Hatherton glaciers, Antarctica, and implications for grounding-line retreat in the Ross Sea T. Hillebrand et al. 10.5194/tc-15-3329-2021
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- A Greenland-wide empirical reconstruction of paleo ice sheet retreat informed by ice extent markers: PaleoGrIS version 1.0 T. Leger et al. 10.5194/cp-20-701-2024
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- Glacial-cycle simulations of the Antarctic Ice Sheet with the Parallel Ice Sheet Model (PISM) – Part 1: Boundary conditions and climatic forcing T. Albrecht et al. 10.5194/tc-14-599-2020
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Latest update: 06 Jul 2025
Short summary
A large ensemble of glacial-cycle simulations of the Antarctic Ice Sheet with the Parallel Ice Sheet Model (PISM) was analyzed in which four relevant model parameters were systematically varied. These parameters were selected in a companion study and are associated with uncertainties in ice dynamics, climatic forcing, basal sliding and solid Earth deformation. For each ensemble member a statistical score is computed, which enables calibrating the model against both modern and geologic data.
A large ensemble of glacial-cycle simulations of the Antarctic Ice Sheet with the Parallel Ice...
