Articles | Volume 14, issue 10
https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-14-3309-2020
© Author(s) 2020. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Special issue:
https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-14-3309-2020
© Author(s) 2020. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Sensitivity of Greenland ice sheet projections to spatial resolution in higher-order simulations: the Alfred Wegener Institute (AWI) contribution to ISMIP6 Greenland using the Ice-sheet and Sea-level System Model (ISSM)
Alfred-Wegener-Institut Helmholtz-Zentrum für Polar- und Meeresforschung, Bremerhaven, Germany
Heiko Goelzer
Institute for Marine and Atmospheric research (IMAU), Utrecht University, Utrecht, the Netherlands
Laboratoire de Glaciologie, Université Libre de Bruxelles, Brussels, Belgium
NORCE Norwegian Research Centre, Bjerknes Centre for Climate Research, Bergen, Norway
Angelika Humbert
Alfred-Wegener-Institut Helmholtz-Zentrum für Polar- und Meeresforschung, Bremerhaven, Germany
Faculty of Geosciences, University of Bremen, Bremen, Germany
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17 citations as recorded by crossref.
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- A Semi-Empirical Framework for ice sheet response analysis under Oceanic forcing in Antarctica and Greenland X. Luo & T. Lin 10.1007/s00382-022-06317-x
- Calculations of extreme sea level rise scenarios are strongly dependent on ice sheet model resolution C. Williams et al. 10.1038/s43247-025-02010-z
- Arctic observations and sustainable development goals – Contributions and examples from ERA-PLANET iCUPE data S. Noe et al. 10.1016/j.envsci.2022.02.034
- Historically consistent mass loss projections of the Greenland ice sheet C. Rahlves et al. 10.5194/tc-19-1205-2025
- Elastic deformation plays a non-negligible role in Greenland’s outlet glacier flow J. Christmann et al. 10.1038/s43247-021-00296-3
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- Model weighting for ISMIP6-Greenland based on observations and similarity among models X. Luo & S. Nowicki 10.1017/aog.2025.10010
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- Recent and future variability of the ice-sheet catchment of Sermeq Kujalleq (Jakobshavn Isbræ), Greenland A. Løkkegaard et al. 10.1017/jog.2024.73
- An Empirical Seasonal Rainfall Forecasting Model for the Northeast Region of Brazil R. da Rocha Júnior et al. 10.3390/w13121613
- A scalability study of the Ice-sheet and Sea-level System Model (ISSM, version 4.18) Y. Fischler et al. 10.5194/gmd-15-3753-2022
- Exploring grid sensitivity in an ice sheet model: A case study of the Amery Ice Shelf Q. Wang et al. 10.1016/j.accre.2024.12.001
- Ubiquitous acceleration in Greenland Ice Sheet calving from 1985 to 2022 C. Greene et al. 10.1038/s41586-023-06863-2
- Sensitivity of Greenland ice sheet projections to spatial resolution in higher-order simulations: the Alfred Wegener Institute (AWI) contribution to ISMIP6 Greenland using the Ice-sheet and Sea-level System Model (ISSM) M. Rückamp et al. 10.5194/tc-14-3309-2020
16 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Challenges in predicting Greenland supraglacial lake drainages at the regional scale K. Poinar & L. Andrews 10.5194/tc-15-1455-2021
- Exploring the Greenland Ice Sheet’s response to future atmospheric warming-threshold scenarios over 200 years A. Delhasse et al. 10.5194/tc-19-4459-2025
- A Semi-Empirical Framework for ice sheet response analysis under Oceanic forcing in Antarctica and Greenland X. Luo & T. Lin 10.1007/s00382-022-06317-x
- Calculations of extreme sea level rise scenarios are strongly dependent on ice sheet model resolution C. Williams et al. 10.1038/s43247-025-02010-z
- Arctic observations and sustainable development goals – Contributions and examples from ERA-PLANET iCUPE data S. Noe et al. 10.1016/j.envsci.2022.02.034
- Historically consistent mass loss projections of the Greenland ice sheet C. Rahlves et al. 10.5194/tc-19-1205-2025
- Elastic deformation plays a non-negligible role in Greenland’s outlet glacier flow J. Christmann et al. 10.1038/s43247-021-00296-3
- Indication of high basal melting at the EastGRIP drill site on the Northeast Greenland Ice Stream O. Zeising & A. Humbert 10.5194/tc-15-3119-2021
- Model weighting for ISMIP6-Greenland based on observations and similarity among models X. Luo & S. Nowicki 10.1017/aog.2025.10010
- Calving front monitoring at a subseasonal resolution: a deep learning application for Greenland glaciers E. Loebel et al. 10.5194/tc-18-3315-2024
- Marine ice sheet experiments with the Community Ice Sheet Model G. Leguy et al. 10.5194/tc-15-3229-2021
- Recent and future variability of the ice-sheet catchment of Sermeq Kujalleq (Jakobshavn Isbræ), Greenland A. Løkkegaard et al. 10.1017/jog.2024.73
- An Empirical Seasonal Rainfall Forecasting Model for the Northeast Region of Brazil R. da Rocha Júnior et al. 10.3390/w13121613
- A scalability study of the Ice-sheet and Sea-level System Model (ISSM, version 4.18) Y. Fischler et al. 10.5194/gmd-15-3753-2022
- Exploring grid sensitivity in an ice sheet model: A case study of the Amery Ice Shelf Q. Wang et al. 10.1016/j.accre.2024.12.001
- Ubiquitous acceleration in Greenland Ice Sheet calving from 1985 to 2022 C. Greene et al. 10.1038/s41586-023-06863-2
Latest update: 19 Oct 2025
Short summary
Estimates of future sea-level contribution from the Greenland ice sheet have a large uncertainty based on different origins. We conduct numerical experiments to test the sensitivity of Greenland ice sheet projections to spatial resolution. Simulations with a higher resolution unveil up to 5 % more sea-level rise compared to coarser resolutions. The sensitivity depends on the magnitude of outlet glacier retreat. When no retreat is enforced, the sensitivity exhibits an inverse behaviour.
Estimates of future sea-level contribution from the Greenland ice sheet have a large uncertainty...
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