Medium-range predictability of early summer sea ice thickness distribution in the East Siberian Sea based on the TOPAZ4 ice–ocean data assimilation system

Nakanowatari, Takuya; Inoue, Jun; Sato, Kazutoshi; Bertino, Laurent; Xie, Jiping; Matsueda, Mio; Yamagami, Akio; Sugimura, Takeshi; Yabuki, Hironori; Otsuka, Natsuhiko

doi:https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-12-2005-2018

Articles | Volume 12, issue 6

https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-12-2005-2018

© Author(s) 2018. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.

https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-12-2005-2018

© Author(s) 2018. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.

Articles | Volume 12, issue 6

Research article

|

15 Jun 2018

Research article |

| 15 Jun 2018

Medium-range predictability of early summer sea ice thickness distribution in the East Siberian Sea based on the TOPAZ4 ice–ocean data assimilation system

Takuya Nakanowatari, Jun Inoue, Kazutoshi Sato, Laurent Bertino, Jiping Xie, Mio Matsueda, Akio Yamagami, Takeshi Sugimura, Hironori Yabuki, and Natsuhiko Otsuka

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Final revised paper (published on 15 Jun 2018)
Preprint (discussion started on 01 Feb 2018)

Interactive discussion

Status: closed

AC: Author comment | RC: Referee comment | SC: Short comment | EC: Editor comment

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RC1: 'Review of MS No.: tc-2018-25', Anonymous Referee #1, 11 Mar 2018
- AC2: 'Responses to reviewer #1 comments', Takuya Nakanowatari, 24 Apr 2018
RC2: 'Review of "Medium-range predictability of early summer sea ice thickness distribution in the East Siberian Sea: Importance of dynamical and thermodynamic melting processes” by Nakanowatari et al.', Anonymous Referee #2, 15 Mar 2018
- AC3: 'Responses to reviewer #2 comments', Takuya Nakanowatari, 24 Apr 2018
RC3: 'Review on "Medium-range predictability of early summer sea ice thickness distribution in the Eastern Siberian Sea: Importance of dynamical and thermodynamic melting processes" by T. Nakanowatari et al.', Anonymous Referee #3, 19 Mar 2018
- AC4: 'Responses to reviewer #3 comments', Takuya Nakanowatari, 24 Apr 2018
AC1: 'Revised manuscript', Takuya Nakanowatari, 24 Apr 2018

Peer-review completion

AR: Author's response | RR: Referee report | ED: Editor decision

AR by Takuya Nakanowatari on behalf of the Authors (24 Apr 2018) Manuscript

ED: Publish subject to minor revisions (review by editor) (03 May 2018) by John Yackel

AR by Takuya Nakanowatari on behalf of the Authors (09 May 2018) Author's response Manuscript

ED: Publish as is (10 May 2018) by John Yackel

AR by Takuya Nakanowatari on behalf of the Authors (15 May 2018)

Short summary

Medium-range predictability of early summer sea ice thickness in the East Siberian Sea was examined, based on TOPAZ4 forecast data. Statistical examination indicates that the estimate drops abruptly at 4 days, which is related to dynamical process controlled by synoptic-scale atmospheric fluctuations such as an Arctic cyclone. For longer lead times (> 4 days), the thermodynamic melting process takes over, which represents most of the remaining prediction.