Articles | Volume 11, issue 1
https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-11-331-2017
https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-11-331-2017
Research article
 | 
01 Feb 2017
Research article |  | 01 Feb 2017

Future snow? A spatial-probabilistic assessment of the extraordinarily low snowpacks of 2014 and 2015 in the Oregon Cascades

Eric A. Sproles, Travis R. Roth, and Anne W. Nolin

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Short summary
We present an innovative approach to quantify basin-wide snowpack using calculations of spatial exceedance probability. Our method quantifies how the extraordinarily low snowpacks of 2014 and 2015 in the Pacific Northwest of the United States compare to snowpacks in warmer conditions and the probability that similar snowpacks will occur. We present these extraordinarily low snowpacks as snow analogs to develop anticipatory capacity for natural resource management under warmer conditions.