Articles | Volume 11, issue 1
https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-11-331-2017
© Author(s) 2017. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-11-331-2017
© Author(s) 2017. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
Research article
| 
01 Feb 2017
Research article |
| 01 Feb 2017
Future snow? A spatial-probabilistic assessment of the extraordinarily low snowpacks of 2014 and 2015 in the Oregon Cascades
Centro de Estudios Avanzados en Zonas Áridas, Universidad de La
Serena, Raul Bitran 1305, La Serena, Chile
College of College of Earth, Ocean, and Atmospheric Sciences, Oregon
State University, 104 CEOAS Admin Bldg, Corvallis, OR 97331-5503, USA
Travis R. Roth
College of College of Earth, Ocean, and Atmospheric Sciences, Oregon
State University, 104 CEOAS Admin Bldg, Corvallis, OR 97331-5503, USA
Anne W. Nolin
College of College of Earth, Ocean, and Atmospheric Sciences, Oregon
State University, 104 CEOAS Admin Bldg, Corvallis, OR 97331-5503, USA
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Cited
20 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Resilience: insights from the U.S. LongTerm Ecological Research Network J. Cowles et al. 10.1002/ecs2.3434
- Are Model Transferability And Complexity Antithetical? Insights From Validation of a Variable‐Complexity Empirical Snow Model in Space and Time A. Lute & C. Luce 10.1002/2017WR020752
- Quantitative Assessment of the Influences of Snow Drought on Forest and Grass Growth in Mid-High Latitude Regions by Using Remote Sensing H. Lou et al. 10.3390/rs13040668
- The Influence of Cloudiness on Hydrologic Fluctuations in the Mountains of the Western United States E. Sumargo & D. Cayan 10.1029/2018WR022687
- Snow Drought Risk and Susceptibility in the Western United States and Southwestern Canada J. Dierauer et al. 10.1029/2018WR023229
- Quantifying the early snowmelt event of 2015 in the Cascade Mountains, USA by developing and validating MODIS-based snowmelt timing maps D. O’Leary et al. 10.1007/s11707-018-0719-7
- Is snow drought a messenger for the upcoming severe drought period? A case study in the Upper Mississippi River Basin S. Yeşilköy et al. 10.1016/j.atmosres.2024.107553
- Snowmelt response to simulated warming across a large elevation gradient, southern Sierra Nevada, California K. Musselman et al. 10.5194/tc-11-2847-2017
- A long‐term perspective on microclimate and spring plant phenology in the Western Cascades S. Ward et al. 10.1002/ecs2.2451
- Characterizing Maritime Snow Canopy Interception in Forested Mountains T. Roth & A. Nolin 10.1029/2018WR024089
- The Severity of the 2014–2015 Snow Drought in the Oregon Cascades in a Multicentury Context L. Dye et al. 10.1029/2022WR032875
- Snow cover mapped daily at 30 meters resolution using a fusion of multi-temporal MODIS NDSI data and Landsat surface reflectance Z. Mityók et al. 10.1080/07038992.2018.1538775
- Exploring the Origins of Snow Drought in the Northern Sierra Nevada, California B. Hatchett & D. McEvoy 10.1175/EI-D-17-0027.1
- Climate vulnerability assessment for Pacific salmon and steelhead in the California Current Large Marine Ecosystem L. Crozier et al. 10.1371/journal.pone.0217711
- A multi-century, tree-ring-derived perspective of the North Cascades (USA) 2014–2016 snow drought G. Harley et al. 10.1007/s10584-020-02719-0
- Leaf-level physiology in four subalpine plants in tephra-impacted forests during drought A. Watt et al. 10.1139/cjfr-2017-0361
- New snow metrics for a warming world A. Nolin et al. 10.1002/hyp.14262
- Climate change impacts on snow and streamflow drought regimes in four ecoregions of British Columbia J. Dierauer et al. 10.1080/07011784.2021.1960894
- Hypsometric control on glacier mass balance sensitivity in Alaska and northwest Canada D. McGrath et al. 10.1002/2016EF000479
- Forest impacts on snow accumulation and ablation across an elevation gradient in a temperate montane environment T. Roth & A. Nolin 10.5194/hess-21-5427-2017
20 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Resilience: insights from the U.S. LongTerm Ecological Research Network J. Cowles et al. 10.1002/ecs2.3434
- Are Model Transferability And Complexity Antithetical? Insights From Validation of a Variable‐Complexity Empirical Snow Model in Space and Time A. Lute & C. Luce 10.1002/2017WR020752
- Quantitative Assessment of the Influences of Snow Drought on Forest and Grass Growth in Mid-High Latitude Regions by Using Remote Sensing H. Lou et al. 10.3390/rs13040668
- The Influence of Cloudiness on Hydrologic Fluctuations in the Mountains of the Western United States E. Sumargo & D. Cayan 10.1029/2018WR022687
- Snow Drought Risk and Susceptibility in the Western United States and Southwestern Canada J. Dierauer et al. 10.1029/2018WR023229
- Quantifying the early snowmelt event of 2015 in the Cascade Mountains, USA by developing and validating MODIS-based snowmelt timing maps D. O’Leary et al. 10.1007/s11707-018-0719-7
- Is snow drought a messenger for the upcoming severe drought period? A case study in the Upper Mississippi River Basin S. Yeşilköy et al. 10.1016/j.atmosres.2024.107553
- Snowmelt response to simulated warming across a large elevation gradient, southern Sierra Nevada, California K. Musselman et al. 10.5194/tc-11-2847-2017
- A long‐term perspective on microclimate and spring plant phenology in the Western Cascades S. Ward et al. 10.1002/ecs2.2451
- Characterizing Maritime Snow Canopy Interception in Forested Mountains T. Roth & A. Nolin 10.1029/2018WR024089
- The Severity of the 2014–2015 Snow Drought in the Oregon Cascades in a Multicentury Context L. Dye et al. 10.1029/2022WR032875
- Snow cover mapped daily at 30 meters resolution using a fusion of multi-temporal MODIS NDSI data and Landsat surface reflectance Z. Mityók et al. 10.1080/07038992.2018.1538775
- Exploring the Origins of Snow Drought in the Northern Sierra Nevada, California B. Hatchett & D. McEvoy 10.1175/EI-D-17-0027.1
- Climate vulnerability assessment for Pacific salmon and steelhead in the California Current Large Marine Ecosystem L. Crozier et al. 10.1371/journal.pone.0217711
- A multi-century, tree-ring-derived perspective of the North Cascades (USA) 2014–2016 snow drought G. Harley et al. 10.1007/s10584-020-02719-0
- Leaf-level physiology in four subalpine plants in tephra-impacted forests during drought A. Watt et al. 10.1139/cjfr-2017-0361
- New snow metrics for a warming world A. Nolin et al. 10.1002/hyp.14262
- Climate change impacts on snow and streamflow drought regimes in four ecoregions of British Columbia J. Dierauer et al. 10.1080/07011784.2021.1960894
- Hypsometric control on glacier mass balance sensitivity in Alaska and northwest Canada D. McGrath et al. 10.1002/2016EF000479
- Forest impacts on snow accumulation and ablation across an elevation gradient in a temperate montane environment T. Roth & A. Nolin 10.5194/hess-21-5427-2017
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Latest update: 23 Nov 2024
Short summary
We present an innovative approach to quantify basin-wide snowpack using calculations of spatial exceedance probability. Our method quantifies how the extraordinarily low snowpacks of 2014 and 2015 in the Pacific Northwest of the United States compare to snowpacks in warmer conditions and the probability that similar snowpacks will occur. We present these extraordinarily low snowpacks as snow analogs to develop anticipatory capacity for natural resource management under warmer conditions.
We present an innovative approach to quantify basin-wide snowpack using calculations of spatial...
