Articles | Volume 10, issue 3
https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-10-1191-2016
© Author(s) 2016. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-10-1191-2016
© Author(s) 2016. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
Research article
| 
03 Jun 2016
Research article |
| 03 Jun 2016
Time forecast of a break-off event from a hanging glacier
Jérome Faillettaz
CORRESPONDING AUTHOR
3G, UZH, University of Zürich, Zürich, Switzerland
Martin Funk
VAW, ETHZ, Zürich, Switzerland
Marco Vagliasindi
Fondazione Montagna Sicura, Courmayeur, Aosta Valley, Italy
Viewed
Total article views: 3,404 (including HTML, PDF, and XML)
Cumulative views and downloads
(calculated since 17 Sep 2015)
| HTML | XML | Total | BibTeX | EndNote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1,916 | 1,295 | 193 | 3,404 | 225 | 206 |
- HTML: 1,916
- PDF: 1,295
- XML: 193
- Total: 3,404
- BibTeX: 225
- EndNote: 206
Total article views: 2,802 (including HTML, PDF, and XML)
Cumulative views and downloads
(calculated since 03 Jun 2016)
| HTML | XML | Total | BibTeX | EndNote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1,610 | 1,028 | 164 | 2,802 | 199 | 182 |
- HTML: 1,610
- PDF: 1,028
- XML: 164
- Total: 2,802
- BibTeX: 199
- EndNote: 182
Total article views: 602 (including HTML, PDF, and XML)
Cumulative views and downloads
(calculated since 17 Sep 2015)
| HTML | XML | Total | BibTeX | EndNote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 306 | 267 | 29 | 602 | 26 | 24 |
- HTML: 306
- PDF: 267
- XML: 29
- Total: 602
- BibTeX: 26
- EndNote: 24
Cited
20 citations as recorded by crossref.
- A decade of detailed observations (2008–2018) in steep bedrock permafrost at the Matterhorn Hörnligrat (Zermatt, CH) S. Weber et al. 10.5194/essd-11-1203-2019
- The use of terrestrial monoscopic time-lapse cameras for surveying glacier flow velocity N. Dematteis et al. 10.1016/j.coldregions.2024.104185
- Analysis of the hazard caused by ice avalanches from the hanging glacier on the Eiger west face S. Margreth et al. 10.1016/j.coldregions.2017.05.012
- Classification and kinematics of the Planpincieux Glacier break-offs using photographic time-lapse analysis D. Giordan et al. 10.1017/jog.2019.99
- Characteristics of Acoustic Emissions from Soil Subjected to Confined Uniaxial Compression M. Naderi-Boldaji et al. 10.2136/vzj2017.02.0049
- Ice Aprons in the Mont-Blanc Massif (Western European Alps): Topographic Characteristics and Relations with Other Types of Glaciers S. Kaushik et al. 10.2139/ssrn.4051434
- Ice Aprons in the Mont Blanc Massif (Western European Alps): Topographic Characteristics and Relations with Glaciers and Other Types of Perennial Surface Ice Features S. Kaushik et al. 10.3390/rs14215557
- Climbing Mont Blanc (4808 m a.s.l.): What Are the Risks in the Grand Couloir Du Goûter and On the North Face of Mont Blanc Du Tacul? L. Ravanel et al. 10.4000/rga.11765
- Ten-Year Monitoring of the Grandes Jorasses Glaciers Kinematics. Limits, Potentialities, and Possible Applications of Different Monitoring Systems N. Dematteis et al. 10.3390/rs13153005
- Rapid mass loss and disappearance of summer-accumulation type hanging glacier C. Xu et al. 10.1016/j.accre.2021.11.001
- Unified failure model for landslides, rockbursts, glaciers, and volcanoes Q. Lei & D. Sornette 10.1038/s43247-025-02369-z
- Diagnosis and Prediction of IIGPS’ Countries Bubble Crashes during BREXIT B. Ghosh et al. 10.3390/math9091003
- Reconstruction and Characterisation of Past and the Most Recent Slope Failure Events at the 2021 Rock-Ice Avalanche Site in Chamoli, Indian Himalaya A. Bhardwaj & L. Sam 10.3390/rs14040949
- Evaluating possible glacial modification in the Martian tropics near Gale crater using a new U-shaped valley metric J. Williams et al. 10.1016/j.geomorph.2024.109454
- Dynamics and related hazards of the Belvedere Glacier in the Italian Alps: a review J. Kropáček et al. 10.14712/23361980.2024.21
- Ascension du mont Blanc (4808 m) : quels risques prend-on dans le Grand Couloir du Goûter et dans la face nord du mont Blanc du Tacul ? L. Ravanel et al. 10.4000/rga.11728
- Modeling Snow Failure Behavior and Concurrent Acoustic Emissions Signatures With a Fiber Bundle Model A. Capelli et al. 10.1029/2019GL082382
- Evidences of Bedrock Forcing on Glacier Morphodynamics: A Case Study in Italian Alps N. Dematteis et al. 10.3389/feart.2022.793546
- Avalanche hazard mapping in Langtang, Nepal Y. ITO et al. 10.5331/bgr.23A01
- Review article: Snow and ice avalanches in high mountain Asia – scientific, local and indigenous knowledge A. Acharya et al. 10.5194/nhess-23-2569-2023
20 citations as recorded by crossref.
- A decade of detailed observations (2008–2018) in steep bedrock permafrost at the Matterhorn Hörnligrat (Zermatt, CH) S. Weber et al. 10.5194/essd-11-1203-2019
- The use of terrestrial monoscopic time-lapse cameras for surveying glacier flow velocity N. Dematteis et al. 10.1016/j.coldregions.2024.104185
- Analysis of the hazard caused by ice avalanches from the hanging glacier on the Eiger west face S. Margreth et al. 10.1016/j.coldregions.2017.05.012
- Classification and kinematics of the Planpincieux Glacier break-offs using photographic time-lapse analysis D. Giordan et al. 10.1017/jog.2019.99
- Characteristics of Acoustic Emissions from Soil Subjected to Confined Uniaxial Compression M. Naderi-Boldaji et al. 10.2136/vzj2017.02.0049
- Ice Aprons in the Mont-Blanc Massif (Western European Alps): Topographic Characteristics and Relations with Other Types of Glaciers S. Kaushik et al. 10.2139/ssrn.4051434
- Ice Aprons in the Mont Blanc Massif (Western European Alps): Topographic Characteristics and Relations with Glaciers and Other Types of Perennial Surface Ice Features S. Kaushik et al. 10.3390/rs14215557
- Climbing Mont Blanc (4808 m a.s.l.): What Are the Risks in the Grand Couloir Du Goûter and On the North Face of Mont Blanc Du Tacul? L. Ravanel et al. 10.4000/rga.11765
- Ten-Year Monitoring of the Grandes Jorasses Glaciers Kinematics. Limits, Potentialities, and Possible Applications of Different Monitoring Systems N. Dematteis et al. 10.3390/rs13153005
- Rapid mass loss and disappearance of summer-accumulation type hanging glacier C. Xu et al. 10.1016/j.accre.2021.11.001
- Unified failure model for landslides, rockbursts, glaciers, and volcanoes Q. Lei & D. Sornette 10.1038/s43247-025-02369-z
- Diagnosis and Prediction of IIGPS’ Countries Bubble Crashes during BREXIT B. Ghosh et al. 10.3390/math9091003
- Reconstruction and Characterisation of Past and the Most Recent Slope Failure Events at the 2021 Rock-Ice Avalanche Site in Chamoli, Indian Himalaya A. Bhardwaj & L. Sam 10.3390/rs14040949
- Evaluating possible glacial modification in the Martian tropics near Gale crater using a new U-shaped valley metric J. Williams et al. 10.1016/j.geomorph.2024.109454
- Dynamics and related hazards of the Belvedere Glacier in the Italian Alps: a review J. Kropáček et al. 10.14712/23361980.2024.21
- Ascension du mont Blanc (4808 m) : quels risques prend-on dans le Grand Couloir du Goûter et dans la face nord du mont Blanc du Tacul ? L. Ravanel et al. 10.4000/rga.11728
- Modeling Snow Failure Behavior and Concurrent Acoustic Emissions Signatures With a Fiber Bundle Model A. Capelli et al. 10.1029/2019GL082382
- Evidences of Bedrock Forcing on Glacier Morphodynamics: A Case Study in Italian Alps N. Dematteis et al. 10.3389/feart.2022.793546
- Avalanche hazard mapping in Langtang, Nepal Y. ITO et al. 10.5331/bgr.23A01
- Review article: Snow and ice avalanches in high mountain Asia – scientific, local and indigenous knowledge A. Acharya et al. 10.5194/nhess-23-2569-2023
Saved (preprint)
Latest update: 02 Jul 2025
Short summary
The break-off of a cold hanging glacier could be successfully predicted 10 days in advance thanks to very accurate surface displacement measurements taken right up to the final event.
This break-off event also confirmed that surface displacements experience a power law acceleration along with superimposed log-periodic oscillations prior to the final rupture.
This paper describes the methods used to achieve a satisfactory time forecast in real time.
The break-off of a cold hanging glacier could be successfully predicted 10 days in advance...
