Research article
| Highlight paper
21 Dec 2015
Research article
| Highlight paper
| 21 Dec 2015
Committed retreat of Smith, Pope, and Kohler Glaciers over the next 30 years inferred by transient model calibration
D. N. Goldberg et al.
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Cited
34 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Assimilation of surface observations in a transient marine ice sheet model using an ensemble Kalman filter F. Gillet-Chaulet 10.5194/tc-14-811-2020
- An approach to computing discrete adjoints for MPI-parallelized models applied to Ice Sheet System Model 4.11 E. Larour et al. 10.5194/gmd-9-3907-2016
- An ice sheet model validation framework for the Greenland ice sheet S. Price et al. 10.5194/gmd-10-255-2017
- SICOPOLIS-AD v1: an open-source adjoint modeling framework for ice sheet simulation enabled by the algorithmic differentiation tool OpenAD L. Logan et al. 10.5194/gmd-13-1845-2020
- Widespread Moulin Formation During Supraglacial Lake Drainages in Greenland M. Hoffman et al. 10.1002/2017GL075659
- Four-decade record of pervasive grounding line retreat along the Bellingshausen margin of West Antarctica F. Christie et al. 10.1002/2016GL068972
- The paradigm shift in Antarctic ice sheet modelling F. Pattyn 10.1038/s41467-018-05003-z
- Committed retreat: controls on glacier disequilibrium in a warming climate J. CHRISTIAN et al. 10.1017/jog.2018.57
- ISMIP6 Antarctica: a multi-model ensemble of the Antarctic ice sheet evolution over the 21st century H. Seroussi et al. 10.5194/tc-14-3033-2020
- Retreat of Thwaites Glacier, West Antarctica, over the next 100 years using various ice flow models, ice shelf melt scenarios and basal friction laws H. Yu et al. 10.5194/tc-12-3861-2018
- Melt at grounding line controls observed and future retreat of Smith, Pope, and Kohler glaciers D. Lilien et al. 10.5194/tc-13-2817-2019
- Increased ice flow in Western Palmer Land linked to ocean melting A. Hogg et al. 10.1002/2016GL072110
- Progress in Numerical Modeling of Antarctic Ice-Sheet Dynamics F. Pattyn et al. 10.1007/s40641-017-0069-7
- Joint Inversion for Surface Accumulation Rate and Geothermal Heat Flow From Ice‐Penetrating Radar Observations at Dome A, East Antarctica. Part I: Model Description, Data Constraints, and Inversion Results M. Wolovick et al. 10.1029/2020JF005937
- Bathymetric Influences on Antarctic Ice‐Shelf Melt Rates D. Goldberg et al. 10.1029/2020JC016370
- Future Evolution of Greenland's Marine‐Terminating Outlet Glaciers G. Catania et al. 10.1029/2018JF004873
- Antarctic ice sheet response to sudden and sustained ice-shelf collapse (ABUMIP) S. Sun et al. 10.1017/jog.2020.67
- Source-to-source adjoint Algorithmic Differentiation of an ice sheet model written in C L. Hascoët & M. Morlighem 10.1080/10556788.2017.1396600
- Mass balance of the ice sheets and glaciers – Progress since AR5 and challenges E. Hanna et al. 10.1016/j.earscirev.2019.102976
- Recent Progress in Greenland Ice Sheet Modelling H. Goelzer et al. 10.1007/s40641-017-0073-y
- initMIP-Antarctica: an ice sheet model initialization experiment of ISMIP6 H. Seroussi et al. 10.5194/tc-13-1441-2019
- Modeling the Response of Nioghalvfjerdsfjorden and Zachariae Isstrøm Glaciers, Greenland, to Ocean Forcing Over the Next Century Y. Choi et al. 10.1002/2017GL075174
- Sensitivity of ice sheet surface velocity and elevation to variations in basal friction and topography in the full Stokes and shallow-shelf approximation frameworks using adjoint equations G. Cheng et al. 10.5194/tc-15-715-2021
- Parameter sensitivity analysis of dynamic ice sheet models – numerical computations G. Cheng & P. Lötstedt 10.5194/tc-14-673-2020
- How Accurately Should We Model Ice Shelf Melt Rates? D. Goldberg et al. 10.1029/2018GL080383
- The contrasting response of outlet glaciers to interior and ocean forcing J. Christian et al. 10.5194/tc-14-2515-2020
- Investigating the internal structure of the Antarctic ice sheet: the utility of isochrones for spatiotemporal ice-sheet model calibration J. Sutter et al. 10.5194/tc-15-3839-2021
- Simulating the evolution of Hardangerjøkulen ice cap in southern Norway since the mid-Holocene and its sensitivity to climate change H. Åkesson et al. 10.5194/tc-11-281-2017
- Data‐Driven Inference of the Mechanics of Slip Along Glacier Beds Using Physics‐Informed Neural Networks: Case Study on Rutford Ice Stream, Antarctica B. Riel et al. 10.1029/2021MS002621
- Experimental protocol for sea level projections from ISMIP6 stand-alone ice sheet models S. Nowicki et al. 10.5194/tc-14-2331-2020
- Changes in flow of Crosson and Dotson ice shelves, West Antarctica, in response to elevated melt D. Lilien et al. 10.5194/tc-12-1415-2018
- High-Resolution Mass Trends of the Antarctic Ice Sheet through a Spectral Combination of Satellite Gravimetry and Radar Altimetry Observations I. Sasgen et al. 10.3390/rs11020144
- fenics_ice 1.0: a framework for quantifying initialization uncertainty for time-dependent ice sheet models C. Koziol et al. 10.5194/gmd-14-5843-2021
- Grounding line retreat of Pope, Smith, and Kohler Glaciers, West Antarctica, measured with Sentinel-1a radar interferometry data B. Scheuchl et al. 10.1002/2016GL069287
33 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Assimilation of surface observations in a transient marine ice sheet model using an ensemble Kalman filter F. Gillet-Chaulet 10.5194/tc-14-811-2020
- An approach to computing discrete adjoints for MPI-parallelized models applied to Ice Sheet System Model 4.11 E. Larour et al. 10.5194/gmd-9-3907-2016
- An ice sheet model validation framework for the Greenland ice sheet S. Price et al. 10.5194/gmd-10-255-2017
- SICOPOLIS-AD v1: an open-source adjoint modeling framework for ice sheet simulation enabled by the algorithmic differentiation tool OpenAD L. Logan et al. 10.5194/gmd-13-1845-2020
- Widespread Moulin Formation During Supraglacial Lake Drainages in Greenland M. Hoffman et al. 10.1002/2017GL075659
- Four-decade record of pervasive grounding line retreat along the Bellingshausen margin of West Antarctica F. Christie et al. 10.1002/2016GL068972
- The paradigm shift in Antarctic ice sheet modelling F. Pattyn 10.1038/s41467-018-05003-z
- Committed retreat: controls on glacier disequilibrium in a warming climate J. CHRISTIAN et al. 10.1017/jog.2018.57
- ISMIP6 Antarctica: a multi-model ensemble of the Antarctic ice sheet evolution over the 21st century H. Seroussi et al. 10.5194/tc-14-3033-2020
- Retreat of Thwaites Glacier, West Antarctica, over the next 100 years using various ice flow models, ice shelf melt scenarios and basal friction laws H. Yu et al. 10.5194/tc-12-3861-2018
- Melt at grounding line controls observed and future retreat of Smith, Pope, and Kohler glaciers D. Lilien et al. 10.5194/tc-13-2817-2019
- Increased ice flow in Western Palmer Land linked to ocean melting A. Hogg et al. 10.1002/2016GL072110
- Progress in Numerical Modeling of Antarctic Ice-Sheet Dynamics F. Pattyn et al. 10.1007/s40641-017-0069-7
- Joint Inversion for Surface Accumulation Rate and Geothermal Heat Flow From Ice‐Penetrating Radar Observations at Dome A, East Antarctica. Part I: Model Description, Data Constraints, and Inversion Results M. Wolovick et al. 10.1029/2020JF005937
- Bathymetric Influences on Antarctic Ice‐Shelf Melt Rates D. Goldberg et al. 10.1029/2020JC016370
- Future Evolution of Greenland's Marine‐Terminating Outlet Glaciers G. Catania et al. 10.1029/2018JF004873
- Antarctic ice sheet response to sudden and sustained ice-shelf collapse (ABUMIP) S. Sun et al. 10.1017/jog.2020.67
- Source-to-source adjoint Algorithmic Differentiation of an ice sheet model written in C L. Hascoët & M. Morlighem 10.1080/10556788.2017.1396600
- Mass balance of the ice sheets and glaciers – Progress since AR5 and challenges E. Hanna et al. 10.1016/j.earscirev.2019.102976
- Recent Progress in Greenland Ice Sheet Modelling H. Goelzer et al. 10.1007/s40641-017-0073-y
- initMIP-Antarctica: an ice sheet model initialization experiment of ISMIP6 H. Seroussi et al. 10.5194/tc-13-1441-2019
- Modeling the Response of Nioghalvfjerdsfjorden and Zachariae Isstrøm Glaciers, Greenland, to Ocean Forcing Over the Next Century Y. Choi et al. 10.1002/2017GL075174
- Sensitivity of ice sheet surface velocity and elevation to variations in basal friction and topography in the full Stokes and shallow-shelf approximation frameworks using adjoint equations G. Cheng et al. 10.5194/tc-15-715-2021
- Parameter sensitivity analysis of dynamic ice sheet models – numerical computations G. Cheng & P. Lötstedt 10.5194/tc-14-673-2020
- How Accurately Should We Model Ice Shelf Melt Rates? D. Goldberg et al. 10.1029/2018GL080383
- The contrasting response of outlet glaciers to interior and ocean forcing J. Christian et al. 10.5194/tc-14-2515-2020
- Investigating the internal structure of the Antarctic ice sheet: the utility of isochrones for spatiotemporal ice-sheet model calibration J. Sutter et al. 10.5194/tc-15-3839-2021
- Simulating the evolution of Hardangerjøkulen ice cap in southern Norway since the mid-Holocene and its sensitivity to climate change H. Åkesson et al. 10.5194/tc-11-281-2017
- Data‐Driven Inference of the Mechanics of Slip Along Glacier Beds Using Physics‐Informed Neural Networks: Case Study on Rutford Ice Stream, Antarctica B. Riel et al. 10.1029/2021MS002621
- Experimental protocol for sea level projections from ISMIP6 stand-alone ice sheet models S. Nowicki et al. 10.5194/tc-14-2331-2020
- Changes in flow of Crosson and Dotson ice shelves, West Antarctica, in response to elevated melt D. Lilien et al. 10.5194/tc-12-1415-2018
- High-Resolution Mass Trends of the Antarctic Ice Sheet through a Spectral Combination of Satellite Gravimetry and Radar Altimetry Observations I. Sasgen et al. 10.3390/rs11020144
- fenics_ice 1.0: a framework for quantifying initialization uncertainty for time-dependent ice sheet models C. Koziol et al. 10.5194/gmd-14-5843-2021
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Latest update: 06 Feb 2023
Short summary
We calibrate a time-dependent ice model through optimal fit to transient observations of surface elevation and velocity, a novel procedure in glaciology and in particular for an ice stream with a dynamic grounding line. We show this procedure gives a level of confidence in model projections that cannot be achieved through more commonly used glaciological data assimilation methods. We show that Smith Glacier is in a state of retreat regardless of climatic forcing for the next several decades.
We calibrate a time-dependent ice model through optimal fit to transient observations of surface...