Articles | Volume 20, issue 11
https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-20-6501-2026
https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-20-6501-2026
Research article
 | 
12 Nov 2026
Research article |  | 12 Nov 2026

Multi-sensor satellite analysis reveals latitudinal and morphometric controls on ice phenology across 31 000 lakes on the Alaska North Slope

Alexander L. Nguyen, Cesar G. Lopez, Jennifer Melara-Valle, Eliza Ross, Alexander S. Bradley, Maggie R. Limbeck, Claire C. Masteller, and Roger J. Michaelides

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Cited articles

Arp, C. D., Jones, B. M., Urban, F. E., and Grosse, G.: Hydrogeomorphic processes of thermokarst lakes with grounded-ice and floating-ice regimes on the Arctic coastal plain, Alaska, Hydrol. Process., 25, 2422–2438, https://doi.org/10.1002/hyp.8019, 2011. 
Arp, C. D., Jones, B. M., Liljedahl, A. K., Hinkel, K. M., and Welker, J. A.: Depth, ice thickness, and ice-out timing cause divergent hydrologic responses among Arctic lakes, Water Resour. Res., 51, 9379–9401, https://doi.org/10.1002/2015WR017362, 2015. 
Ashton, G. D.: River and Lake Ice Engineering, Water Resources Publications, Littleton, CO, ISBN 9780918334596, 1986. 
Bartsch, A., Pointner, G., Leibman, M. O., Dvornikov, Y. A., Khomutov, A. V., and Trofaier, A. M.: Circumpolar mapping of ground-fast lake ice, Front. Earth Sci., 5, 12, https://doi.org/10.3389/feart.2017.00012, 2017. 
Bartsch, A., Strozzi, T., and Nitze, I.: Permafrost Monitoring from Space, Surv. Geophysics, 44, 1579–1613 https://doi.org/10.1007/s10712-023-09770-3, 2023. 
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Short summary
Arctic lakes undergo freezing and thawing, but the timing and duration of these events across large areas is not well known. Using a machine learning model applied to satellite imagery, we successfully identify lake ice conditions on over 30 000 lakes in Alaska with high accuracy. Our results indicate that latitude is an important control on lake ice conditions, with secondary effects from lake size and shape. These findings have implications for future greenhouse gas emissions in the Arctic.
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