Articles | Volume 20, issue 8
https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-20-4681-2026
https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-20-4681-2026
Research article
 | 
24 Aug 2026
Research article |  | 24 Aug 2026

Modeling the Distribution of Mountain Permafrost in Chile

Alexander Brenning, Guillermo F. Azócar, Pablo Iribarren Anacona, Kenji Yoshikawa, Gino Casassa, Pedro Straub-Bustamante, Duilio Fonseca-Gallardo, and Jorge Huenante

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Cited articles

Apaloo, J., Brenning, A., and Bodin, X.: Interactions between seasonal snow cover, ground surface temperature and topography (Andes of Santiago, Chile), Permafrost Periglac., 23, 277–291, https://doi.org/10.1002/ppp.1753, 2012.  a, b, c
Arenson, L. U., Harrington, J. S., Koenig, C. E. M., and Wainstein, P. A.: Mountain permafrost hydrology – A practical review following studies from the Andes, Geosciences, 12, 48, https://doi.org/10.3390/geosciences12020048, 2022. a
Azócar, G. F. and Brenning, A.: Hydrological and geomorphological significance of rock glaciers in the Dry Andes, Chile (27°–33° S), Permafrost Periglac., 21, 42–53, https://doi.org/10.1002/ppp.669, 2010. a
Azócar, G. F., Brenning, A., and Bodin, X.: Permafrost distribution modelling in the semi-arid Chilean Andes, The Cryosphere, 11, 877–890, https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-11-877-2017, 2017. a, b, c, d, e, f, g, h, i, j, k, l, m, n, o, p, q, r, s, t, u
Azócar, G., Iribarren, P., Pedro, S. B., Fonseca-Gallardo, D., Brenning, A., Yoshikawa, K., Casassa, G., and Huenante, J.: Modeling the Distribution of Mountain Permafrost in Chile, Dirección General de Aguas (DGA), Chile, Zenodo [data set], https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.19342541, 2022. a, b
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Short summary
We created the first empirically calibrated high-resolution map of mountain permafrost distribution in mainland Chile. Using field evidence from rock glaciers and boreholes with climate and terrain data, we found that more than 8000 km², mainly in the dry Andes of northern and central Chile, offer suitable conditions. Permafrost affects water resources, slope stability, and infrastructure, and our model provides a baseline for planning and future research under climate change.
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