Articles | Volume 20, issue 4
https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-20-2295-2026
https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-20-2295-2026
Research article
 | 
21 Apr 2026
Research article |  | 21 Apr 2026

Identification and correction of snow depth bias in ERA5 datasets over Central Europe using machine learning

Gabiel Stachura and Zbigniew Ustrnul

Cited articles

Baba, M. W., Boudhar, A., Gascoin, S., Hanich, L., Marchane, A., and Chehbouni, A.: Assessment of MERRA-2 and ERA5 to Model the Snow Water Equivalent in the High Atlas (1981–2019), Water, 13, 890, https://doi.org/10.3390/w13070890, 2021. 
Benito, B.: BlasBenito/collinear: CRAN release v1.0.1, Zenodo [code], https://doi.org/10.5281/ZENODO.10039489, 2023. 
Bochenek, B. and Ustrnul, Z.: Machine Learning in Weather Prediction and Climate Analyses – Applications and Perspectives, Atmosphere, 13, 180, https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos13020180, 2022. 
Boehmke, B. C. and Greenwell, B.: Hands-on machine learning with R, CRC Press, Taylor & Francis Group, Boca Raton London New York, p. 1, https://doi.org/10.1201/9780367816377, 2020. 
Breiman, L.: Random Forests, Mach. Learn., 45, 5–32, https://doi.org/10.1023/A:1010933404324, 2001. 
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Short summary
Reanalyses still struggle to accurately estimate snow depth, mostly because their horizontal resolution is beyond the spatial scale of snow variability. A comparison of two Copernicus reanalyses ERA5 and ERA5-Land reveals systematic errors and highlights the importance of data assimilation. A Random Forests model is able to reduce the systematic error by around a half. Spatial downscaling in complex terrain reflects mainly elevation dependence but also shadowing effect of surrounding topography.
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