Articles | Volume 19, issue 10
https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-19-5157-2025
https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-19-5157-2025
Research article
 | 
29 Oct 2025
Research article |  | 29 Oct 2025

Emulating the expansion of Antarctic perennial firn aquifers in the 21st century

Sanne B. M. Veldhuijsen, Willem Jan van de Berg, Peter Kuipers Munneke, Nicolaj Hansen, Fredrik Boberg, Christoph Kittel, Charles Amory, and Michiel R. van den Broeke

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Interactive discussion

Status: closed

Comment types: AC – author | RC – referee | CC – community | EC – editor | CEC – chief editor | : Report abuse
  • CC1: 'Comment on egusphere-2024-2855', Irina Overeem, 14 Nov 2024
  • RC1: 'Comment on egusphere-2024-2855', Devon Dunmire, 22 Nov 2024
  • RC2: 'Comment on egusphere-2024-2855', Anonymous Referee #2, 21 Dec 2024

Peer review completion

AR: Author's response | RR: Referee report | ED: Editor decision | EF: Editorial file upload
ED: Publish subject to revisions (further review by editor and referees) (26 Feb 2025) by Kaitlin Keegan
AR by Sanne Veldhuijsen on behalf of the Authors (11 Mar 2025)  Author's response   Author's tracked changes   Manuscript 
ED: Publish subject to revisions (further review by editor and referees) (31 Mar 2025) by Kaitlin Keegan
AR by Sanne Veldhuijsen on behalf of the Authors (09 May 2025)  Author's response   Author's tracked changes   Manuscript 
ED: Publish subject to minor revisions (review by editor) (30 May 2025) by Kaitlin Keegan
AR by Sanne Veldhuijsen on behalf of the Authors (21 Jun 2025)  Author's response   Manuscript 
EF by Mario Ebel (23 Jun 2025)  Author's tracked changes 
ED: Publish as is (16 Jul 2025) by Kaitlin Keegan
AR by Sanne Veldhuijsen on behalf of the Authors (24 Jul 2025)  Manuscript 
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Short summary
Perennial firn aquifers (PFAs), year-round bodies of liquid water within firns, can potentially impact ice-shelf and ice-sheet stability. We developed a fast XGBoost firn emulator to predict the 21st-century distribution of PFAs in Antarctica for 12 climatic forcing datasets. Our findings suggest that, in low-emission scenarios, PFAs remain confined to the Antarctic Peninsula. However, in a high-emission scenario, PFAs are projected to expand to a region in West Antarctica and East Antarctica.
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