Articles | Volume 19, issue 9
https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-19-3693-2025
https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-19-3693-2025
Research article
 | 
11 Sep 2025
Research article |  | 11 Sep 2025

Model-based analysis of solute transport and potential carbon mineralization in the active layer of a hillslope underlain by permafrost with seasonal variability and climate change

Alexandra Hamm, Erik Schytt Mannerfelt, Aaron A. Mohammed, Scott L. Painter, Ethan T. Coon, and Andrew Frampton

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Cited articles

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Atchley, A. L., Painter, S. L., Harp, D. R., Coon, E. T., Wilson, C. J., Liljedahl, A. K., and Romanovsky, V. E.: Using field observations to inform thermal hydrology models of permafrost dynamics with ATS (v0.83), Geosci. Model Dev., 8, 2701–2722, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-8-2701-2015, 2015. a, b, c, d
Bense, V. F., Ferguson, G., and Kooi, H.: Evolution of shallow groundwater flow systems in areas of degrading permafrost, Geophys. Res. Lett., 36, L22401, https://doi.org/10.1029/2009GL039225, 2009. a
Bense, V. F., Kooi, H., Ferguson, G., and Read, T.: Permafrost degradation as a control on hydrogeological regime shifts in a warming climate, J. Geophys. Res.-Earth, 117, 2011JF002143, https://doi.org/10.1029/2011JF002143, 2012. a
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Short summary
The fate of thawing permafrost carbon is essential for understanding the permafrost–climate feedback and projections of future climate. Here we study transport of organic carbon by groundwater in the active layer of a hillslope model. We find that carbon transport velocities and microbial mineralization rates are strongly dependent on liquid saturation in the seasonally thawed active layer. In a warming climate, the rate at which permafrost thaws determines how fast carbon can be transported.
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