Articles | Volume 17, issue 7
https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-17-2563-2023
© Author(s) 2023. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-17-2563-2023
© Author(s) 2023. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Research article
| 
03 Jul 2023
Research article |
| 03 Jul 2023
| 03 Jul 2023
Revisiting temperature sensitivity: how does Antarctic precipitation change with temperature?
Center for Earth System Research and Sustainability (CEN), Institute of Oceanography, Universität Hamburg, Hamburg, Germany
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK), Member of the Leibniz Association, P.O. Box 60 12 03, 14412 Potsdam, Germany
Institute of Physics and Astronomy, University of Potsdam, Karl-Liebknecht-Str. 24–25, 14476 Potsdam, Germany
Dirk Notz
Center for Earth System Research and Sustainability (CEN), Institute of Oceanography, Universität Hamburg, Hamburg, Germany
Ricarda Winkelmann
CORRESPONDING AUTHOR
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK), Member of the Leibniz Association, P.O. Box 60 12 03, 14412 Potsdam, Germany
Institute of Physics and Astronomy, University of Potsdam, Karl-Liebknecht-Str. 24–25, 14476 Potsdam, Germany
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27 citations as recorded by crossref.
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- An overview of observed changes in precipitation totals and extremes over global land, with a focus on Africa T. Yate & G. Ren https://doi.org/10.1016/j.earscirev.2025.105063
- Variability of extreme precipitation in West Antarctica and its response to the Amundsen Sea Low changes L. Pysarenko et al. https://doi.org/10.33275/1727-7485.2.2023.716
- Annual variation of temperature and mass balance of first-year and second-year land-fast sea ice in Prydz Bay, East Antarctica D. Zhao et al. https://doi.org/10.1017/jog.2025.10064
- Polar fieldwork in the 21st century: Early Career Researchers considerations regarding safety and sustainability A. Moraru et al. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pclm.0000415
- Extreme precipitation associated with atmospheric rivers over West Antarctic ice shelves: insights from kilometre-scale regional climate modelling E. Gilbert et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-19-597-2025
- Uncertainty in Antarctic precipitation projections under global warming K. Man et al. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ae2ca9
- Penguins at the freshwater–marine boundary: Overlooked ecological linkages and climate-change risks R. Quilestino-Olario https://doi.org/10.1016/j.avrs.2026.100386
- Continued continental weathering during snowball earth mitigated greenhouse gas buildup and prolonged global glaciation S. Kadoya & M. Melwani Daswani https://doi.org/10.1016/j.epsl.2026.119837
- Disentangling bacterial diversity and biogeography in snow-covered regions J. da Silva et al. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11274-026-04918-w
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- Recent increase in the surface mass balance in central East Antarctica is unprecedented for the last 2000 years A. Ekaykin et al. https://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-024-01355-1
- Bathymetry-constrained impact of relative sea-level change on basal melting in Antarctica M. Kreuzer et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-19-1181-2025
- Is the surface mass balance in inland East Antarctica decreasing? (with reference to D. Wang’s paper in the “Nature Geoscience” journal) A. Ekaykin https://doi.org/10.30758/0555-2648-2025-71-3-311-317
- Mapping tipping risks from Antarctic ice basins under global warming R. Winkelmann et al. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-025-02554-0
- Calibrated sea level contribution from the Amundsen Sea sector, West Antarctica, under RCP8.5 and Paris 2C scenarios S. Rosier et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-19-2527-2025
- First results of the polar regional climate model RACMO2.4 C. van Dalum et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-18-4065-2024
- Antarctic meteorites threatened by climate warming V. Tollenaar et al. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-024-01954-y
- Projections of precipitation and temperatures in Greenland and the impact of spatially uniform anomalies on the evolution of the ice sheet N. Bochow et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-18-5825-2024
- Data-Driven Baseline Analysis of Climate Variability at an Antarctic AWS (2020–2024) A. Ashok et al. https://doi.org/10.3390/digital5040050
- Subglacial valleys preserved in the highlands of south and east Greenland record restricted ice extent during past warmer climates G. Paxman et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-18-1467-2024
- Continental breakup–driven uplift instigated East Antarctic Ice Sheet formation T. Gernon et al. https://doi.org/10.1126/science.adz6758
- Antarctic Ice Sheet tipping in the last 800,000 years warns of future ice loss D. Chandler et al. https://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-025-02366-2
27 citations as recorded by crossref.
- The PolarRES dataset: a state-of-the-art regional climate model ensemble for understanding Antarctic climate E. Gilbert et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-20-2629-2026
- Atmospheric rivers and winter sea ice drive recent reversal in Antarctic ice mass loss M. Kolbe et al. https://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-026-03242-3
- 21st century change in precipitation on the Greenland Ice Sheet using high resolution regional climate models F. Boberg et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-20-2947-2026
- An overview of observed changes in precipitation totals and extremes over global land, with a focus on Africa T. Yate & G. Ren https://doi.org/10.1016/j.earscirev.2025.105063
- Variability of extreme precipitation in West Antarctica and its response to the Amundsen Sea Low changes L. Pysarenko et al. https://doi.org/10.33275/1727-7485.2.2023.716
- Annual variation of temperature and mass balance of first-year and second-year land-fast sea ice in Prydz Bay, East Antarctica D. Zhao et al. https://doi.org/10.1017/jog.2025.10064
- Polar fieldwork in the 21st century: Early Career Researchers considerations regarding safety and sustainability A. Moraru et al. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pclm.0000415
- Extreme precipitation associated with atmospheric rivers over West Antarctic ice shelves: insights from kilometre-scale regional climate modelling E. Gilbert et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-19-597-2025
- Uncertainty in Antarctic precipitation projections under global warming K. Man et al. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ae2ca9
- Penguins at the freshwater–marine boundary: Overlooked ecological linkages and climate-change risks R. Quilestino-Olario https://doi.org/10.1016/j.avrs.2026.100386
- Continued continental weathering during snowball earth mitigated greenhouse gas buildup and prolonged global glaciation S. Kadoya & M. Melwani Daswani https://doi.org/10.1016/j.epsl.2026.119837
- Disentangling bacterial diversity and biogeography in snow-covered regions J. da Silva et al. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11274-026-04918-w
- Impact of surface melt and brine infiltration on fracture toughness of ice shelves E. Pearce et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-20-2723-2026
- Greenland Monthly Accumulation Maps (1960–2022): A Statistical Semi-Empirical Bias-Adjustment Model J. Lindsey-Clark et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-20-1463-2026
- Bacterial community structure, adaptations and prevalence of antimicrobial resistance in bacteria from Antarctica: A review S. Tamang et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.polar.2023.101034
- Recent increase in the surface mass balance in central East Antarctica is unprecedented for the last 2000 years A. Ekaykin et al. https://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-024-01355-1
- Bathymetry-constrained impact of relative sea-level change on basal melting in Antarctica M. Kreuzer et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-19-1181-2025
- Is the surface mass balance in inland East Antarctica decreasing? (with reference to D. Wang’s paper in the “Nature Geoscience” journal) A. Ekaykin https://doi.org/10.30758/0555-2648-2025-71-3-311-317
- Mapping tipping risks from Antarctic ice basins under global warming R. Winkelmann et al. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-025-02554-0
- Calibrated sea level contribution from the Amundsen Sea sector, West Antarctica, under RCP8.5 and Paris 2C scenarios S. Rosier et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-19-2527-2025
- First results of the polar regional climate model RACMO2.4 C. van Dalum et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-18-4065-2024
- Antarctic meteorites threatened by climate warming V. Tollenaar et al. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-024-01954-y
- Projections of precipitation and temperatures in Greenland and the impact of spatially uniform anomalies on the evolution of the ice sheet N. Bochow et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-18-5825-2024
- Data-Driven Baseline Analysis of Climate Variability at an Antarctic AWS (2020–2024) A. Ashok et al. https://doi.org/10.3390/digital5040050
- Subglacial valleys preserved in the highlands of south and east Greenland record restricted ice extent during past warmer climates G. Paxman et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-18-1467-2024
- Continental breakup–driven uplift instigated East Antarctic Ice Sheet formation T. Gernon et al. https://doi.org/10.1126/science.adz6758
- Antarctic Ice Sheet tipping in the last 800,000 years warns of future ice loss D. Chandler et al. https://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-025-02366-2
Saved (final revised paper)
Latest update: 19 Jul 2026
Short summary
For future sea-level projections, approximating Antarctic precipitation increases through temperature-scaling approaches will remain important, as coupled ice-sheet simulations with regional climate models remain computationally expensive, especially on multi-centennial timescales. We here revisit the relationship between Antarctic temperature and precipitation using different scaling approaches, identifying and explaining regional differences.
For future sea-level projections, approximating Antarctic precipitation increases through...
