Articles | Volume 16, issue 10
https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-16-4291-2022
© Author(s) 2022. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-16-4291-2022
© Author(s) 2022. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
The predictive power of ice sheet models and the regional sensitivity of ice loss to basal sliding parameterisations: a case study of Pine Island and Thwaites glaciers, West Antarctica
Jowan M. Barnes
CORRESPONDING AUTHOR
Department of Geography and Environmental Sciences, Northumbria University, Newcastle upon Tyne, UK
G. Hilmar Gudmundsson
Department of Geography and Environmental Sciences, Northumbria University, Newcastle upon Tyne, UK
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Cited
18 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Seven-year variation in glacier surface velocity at Narsap Sermia in Southwest Greenland S. Jung & S. Hong 10.1080/15481603.2023.2207301
- Present-day mass loss rates are a precursor for West Antarctic Ice Sheet collapse T. van den Akker et al. 10.5194/tc-19-283-2025
- Ocean warming as a trigger for irreversible retreat of the Antarctic ice sheet E. Hill et al. 10.1038/s41558-024-02134-8
- Calibrated sea level contribution from the Amundsen Sea sector, West Antarctica, under RCP8.5 and Paris 2C scenarios S. Rosier et al. 10.5194/tc-19-2527-2025
- Multifidelity uncertainty quantification for ice sheet simulations N. Aretz et al. 10.1007/s10596-024-10329-3
- A framework for time-dependent ice sheet uncertainty quantification, applied to three West Antarctic ice streams B. Recinos et al. 10.5194/tc-17-4241-2023
- Sensitivity to forecast surface mass balance outweighs sensitivity to basal sliding descriptions for 21st century mass loss from three major Greenland outlet glaciers J. Carr et al. 10.5194/tc-18-2719-2024
- Assessing the sensitivity of the Vanderford Glacier, East Antarctica, to basal melt and calving L. Bird et al. 10.5194/tc-19-955-2025
- Characteristics of dynamic thickness change across diverse outlet glacier geometries and basal conditions D. Yang et al. 10.1017/jog.2024.50
- Two-way coupling between ice flow and channelized subglacial drainage enhances modeled marine-ice-sheet retreat G. Lu & J. Kingslake 10.5194/tc-18-5301-2024
- Regularization and L-curves in ice sheet inverse models: a case study in the Filchner–Ronne catchment M. Wolovick et al. 10.5194/tc-17-5027-2023
- The contribution of Humboldt Glacier, northern Greenland, to sea-level rise through 2100 constrained by recent observations of speedup and retreat T. Hillebrand et al. 10.5194/tc-16-4679-2022
- Responses of the Pine Island and Thwaites glaciers to melt and sliding parameterizations I. Joughin et al. 10.5194/tc-18-2583-2024
- ISMIP6-based Antarctic projections to 2100: simulations with the BISICLES ice sheet model J. O'Neill et al. 10.5194/tc-19-541-2025
- Validating ensemble historical simulations of Upernavik Isstrøm (1985–2019) using observations of surface velocity and elevation E. Jager et al. 10.1017/jog.2024.10
- Limited Impact of Thwaites Ice Shelf on Future Ice Loss From Antarctica G. Gudmundsson et al. 10.1029/2023GL102880
- Improved basal drag of the West Antarctic Ice Sheet from L-curve analysis of inverse models utilizing subglacial hydrology simulations L. Höyns et al. 10.5194/tc-19-2133-2025
- The extreme yet transient nature of glacial erosion H. Patton et al. 10.1038/s41467-022-35072-0
18 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Seven-year variation in glacier surface velocity at Narsap Sermia in Southwest Greenland S. Jung & S. Hong 10.1080/15481603.2023.2207301
- Present-day mass loss rates are a precursor for West Antarctic Ice Sheet collapse T. van den Akker et al. 10.5194/tc-19-283-2025
- Ocean warming as a trigger for irreversible retreat of the Antarctic ice sheet E. Hill et al. 10.1038/s41558-024-02134-8
- Calibrated sea level contribution from the Amundsen Sea sector, West Antarctica, under RCP8.5 and Paris 2C scenarios S. Rosier et al. 10.5194/tc-19-2527-2025
- Multifidelity uncertainty quantification for ice sheet simulations N. Aretz et al. 10.1007/s10596-024-10329-3
- A framework for time-dependent ice sheet uncertainty quantification, applied to three West Antarctic ice streams B. Recinos et al. 10.5194/tc-17-4241-2023
- Sensitivity to forecast surface mass balance outweighs sensitivity to basal sliding descriptions for 21st century mass loss from three major Greenland outlet glaciers J. Carr et al. 10.5194/tc-18-2719-2024
- Assessing the sensitivity of the Vanderford Glacier, East Antarctica, to basal melt and calving L. Bird et al. 10.5194/tc-19-955-2025
- Characteristics of dynamic thickness change across diverse outlet glacier geometries and basal conditions D. Yang et al. 10.1017/jog.2024.50
- Two-way coupling between ice flow and channelized subglacial drainage enhances modeled marine-ice-sheet retreat G. Lu & J. Kingslake 10.5194/tc-18-5301-2024
- Regularization and L-curves in ice sheet inverse models: a case study in the Filchner–Ronne catchment M. Wolovick et al. 10.5194/tc-17-5027-2023
- The contribution of Humboldt Glacier, northern Greenland, to sea-level rise through 2100 constrained by recent observations of speedup and retreat T. Hillebrand et al. 10.5194/tc-16-4679-2022
- Responses of the Pine Island and Thwaites glaciers to melt and sliding parameterizations I. Joughin et al. 10.5194/tc-18-2583-2024
- ISMIP6-based Antarctic projections to 2100: simulations with the BISICLES ice sheet model J. O'Neill et al. 10.5194/tc-19-541-2025
- Validating ensemble historical simulations of Upernavik Isstrøm (1985–2019) using observations of surface velocity and elevation E. Jager et al. 10.1017/jog.2024.10
- Limited Impact of Thwaites Ice Shelf on Future Ice Loss From Antarctica G. Gudmundsson et al. 10.1029/2023GL102880
- Improved basal drag of the West Antarctic Ice Sheet from L-curve analysis of inverse models utilizing subglacial hydrology simulations L. Höyns et al. 10.5194/tc-19-2133-2025
- The extreme yet transient nature of glacial erosion H. Patton et al. 10.1038/s41467-022-35072-0
Latest update: 24 Jul 2025
Short summary
Models must represent how glaciers slide along the bed, but there are many ways to do so. In this paper, several sliding laws are tested and found to affect different regions of the Antarctic Ice Sheet in different ways and at different speeds. However, the variability in ice volume loss due to sliding-law choices is low compared to other factors, so limited empirical knowledge of sliding does not prevent us from making predictions of how an ice sheet will evolve.
Models must represent how glaciers slide along the bed, but there are many ways to do so. In...