Articles | Volume 16, issue 7
https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-16-2655-2022
© Author(s) 2022. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-16-2655-2022
© Author(s) 2022. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Research article
| Highlight paper
| 
07 Jul 2022
Research article | Highlight paper |
| 07 Jul 2022
| 07 Jul 2022
Clouds drive differences in future surface melt over the Antarctic ice shelves
Department of Geography, UR SPHERES, University of Liège, Liège, Belgium
Institut des Géosciences de l’Environnement (IGE), Université Grenoble Alpes/CNRS/IRD/G-INP, Grenoble, France
Charles Amory
Institut des Géosciences de l’Environnement (IGE), Université Grenoble Alpes/CNRS/IRD/G-INP, Grenoble, France
Stefan Hofer
Department of Geosciences, University of Oslo, Oslo, Norway
Cécile Agosta
Laboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l'Environnement, LSCE-IPSL, CEA-CNRS-UVSQ, Université Paris-Saclay, Gif-sur-Yvette, France
Nicolas C. Jourdain
Institut des Géosciences de l’Environnement (IGE), Université Grenoble Alpes/CNRS/IRD/G-INP, Grenoble, France
Ella Gilbert
British Antarctic Survey, High Cross, Madingley Road, Cambridge CB3 0ET, UK
Louis Le Toumelin
Université Grenoble Alpes, Université de Toulouse, Météo-France, CNRS, CNRM, Centre d’Études de la Neige, Grenoble, France
Étienne Vignon
Laboratoire de Météorologie Dynamique, IPSL, Sorbone Université, École Polytechnique, CNRS, UMR 8539, Paris, France
Hubert Gallée
Institut des Géosciences de l’Environnement (IGE), Université Grenoble Alpes/CNRS/IRD/G-INP, Grenoble, France
Xavier Fettweis
Department of Geography, UR SPHERES, University of Liège, Liège, Belgium
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Cited
25 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Enhancing Cloud Detection in Polar Regions Using Combined Spectral and Textural Features for Landsat 8/9 OLI Imagery X. Shen et al.
- Atmospheric blocking and temperatures in the Antarctic Peninsula D. Bozkurt et al.
- Supraglacial lake evolution and its drivers in Dronning Maud Land, East Antarctica A. Mahagaonkar et al.
- The evolution of future Antarctic surface melt using PISM-dEBM-simple J. Garbe et al.
- Extreme precipitation associated with atmospheric rivers over West Antarctic ice shelves: insights from kilometre-scale regional climate modelling E. Gilbert et al.
- Seasonal changes in black carbon footprint on the Antarctic Peninsula due to rising shipborne tourism and forest fires N. Magalhães et al.
- Temperature and moisture transport during atmospheric blocking patterns around the Antarctic Peninsula D. Bozkurt et al.
- Firn on ice sheets C. Amory et al.
- Expansion of Antarctic surface melt through the 21st century Y. Zheng et al.
- Control of the temperature signal in Antarctic proxies by snowfall dynamics A. Servettaz et al.
- Empirical classification of dry-wet snow status in Antarctica using multi-frequency passive microwave observations M. Leduc-Leballeur et al.
- Ice Shelf Basal Melt Rates in the Amundsen Sea at the End of the 21st Century N. Jourdain et al.
- Spatiotemporal variability in surface radiation and energy budget in the Earth's three poles over the past 20 years P. Yu et al.
- The Antarctic Peninsula under present day climate and future low, medium-high and very high emissions scenarios B. Davies et al.
- Inclusion of the ECMWF ecRad radiation scheme (v1.5.0) in the MAR (v3.14), regional evaluation for Belgium, and assessment of surface shortwave spectral fluxes at Uccle J. Grailet et al.
- Changes in Antarctic surface conditions and potential for ice shelf hydrofracturing from 1850 to 2200 N. Jourdain et al.
- Drivers of anomalous surface melting over Ingrid Christensen Coast, East Antarctica E. Gayathri & C. Laluraj
- Coupled models may help clarify the drivers of observed icesheet melt season shift: comments on Liang et al. (2023) X. Fettweis
- Uncertainty in the projected Antarctic contribution to sea level due to internal climate variability J. Caillet et al.
- Polar winter climate change: strong local effects from sea ice loss, widespread consequences from warming seas T. Naakka et al.
- Tripole-like Antarctic sea ice pattern linked to remote forcing from the Indian Ocean and Maritime Continent W. Ma et al.
- Subglacial discharge accelerates future retreat of Denman and Scott Glaciers, East Antarctica T. Pelle et al.
- Modeling the coupled and decoupled states of polar boundary-layer mixed-phase clouds É. Vignon et al.
- Variability of solar radiation and cloud cover in the Antarctic Peninsula region S. Szymszová et al.
- Katabatic and foehn winds control the distribution of supraglacial lakes in Dronning Maud Land, Antarctica A. Mahagaonkar et al.
25 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Enhancing Cloud Detection in Polar Regions Using Combined Spectral and Textural Features for Landsat 8/9 OLI Imagery X. Shen et al.
- Atmospheric blocking and temperatures in the Antarctic Peninsula D. Bozkurt et al.
- Supraglacial lake evolution and its drivers in Dronning Maud Land, East Antarctica A. Mahagaonkar et al.
- The evolution of future Antarctic surface melt using PISM-dEBM-simple J. Garbe et al.
- Extreme precipitation associated with atmospheric rivers over West Antarctic ice shelves: insights from kilometre-scale regional climate modelling E. Gilbert et al.
- Seasonal changes in black carbon footprint on the Antarctic Peninsula due to rising shipborne tourism and forest fires N. Magalhães et al.
- Temperature and moisture transport during atmospheric blocking patterns around the Antarctic Peninsula D. Bozkurt et al.
- Firn on ice sheets C. Amory et al.
- Expansion of Antarctic surface melt through the 21st century Y. Zheng et al.
- Control of the temperature signal in Antarctic proxies by snowfall dynamics A. Servettaz et al.
- Empirical classification of dry-wet snow status in Antarctica using multi-frequency passive microwave observations M. Leduc-Leballeur et al.
- Ice Shelf Basal Melt Rates in the Amundsen Sea at the End of the 21st Century N. Jourdain et al.
- Spatiotemporal variability in surface radiation and energy budget in the Earth's three poles over the past 20 years P. Yu et al.
- The Antarctic Peninsula under present day climate and future low, medium-high and very high emissions scenarios B. Davies et al.
- Inclusion of the ECMWF ecRad radiation scheme (v1.5.0) in the MAR (v3.14), regional evaluation for Belgium, and assessment of surface shortwave spectral fluxes at Uccle J. Grailet et al.
- Changes in Antarctic surface conditions and potential for ice shelf hydrofracturing from 1850 to 2200 N. Jourdain et al.
- Drivers of anomalous surface melting over Ingrid Christensen Coast, East Antarctica E. Gayathri & C. Laluraj
- Coupled models may help clarify the drivers of observed icesheet melt season shift: comments on Liang et al. (2023) X. Fettweis
- Uncertainty in the projected Antarctic contribution to sea level due to internal climate variability J. Caillet et al.
- Polar winter climate change: strong local effects from sea ice loss, widespread consequences from warming seas T. Naakka et al.
- Tripole-like Antarctic sea ice pattern linked to remote forcing from the Indian Ocean and Maritime Continent W. Ma et al.
- Subglacial discharge accelerates future retreat of Denman and Scott Glaciers, East Antarctica T. Pelle et al.
- Modeling the coupled and decoupled states of polar boundary-layer mixed-phase clouds É. Vignon et al.
- Variability of solar radiation and cloud cover in the Antarctic Peninsula region S. Szymszová et al.
- Katabatic and foehn winds control the distribution of supraglacial lakes in Dronning Maud Land, Antarctica A. Mahagaonkar et al.
Saved (final revised paper)
Latest update: 09 May 2026
Short summary
Model projections suggest large differences in future Antarctic surface melting even for similar greenhouse gas scenarios and warming rates. We show that clouds containing a larger amount of liquid water lead to stronger melt. As surface melt can trigger the collapse of the ice shelves (the safety band of the Antarctic Ice Sheet), clouds could be a major source of uncertainties in projections of sea level rise.
Model projections suggest large differences in future Antarctic surface melting even for similar...
