Articles | Volume 16, issue 3
https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-16-1057-2022
© Author(s) 2022. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-16-1057-2022
© Author(s) 2022. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Research article
| Highlight paper
| 
28 Mar 2022
Research article | Highlight paper |
| 28 Mar 2022
| 28 Mar 2022
Strong increase in thawing of subsea permafrost in the 22nd century caused by anthropogenic climate change
Stiig Wilkenskjeld
CORRESPONDING AUTHOR
Max Planck Institute for Meteorology, Hamburg, Germany
Frederieke Miesner
Alfred Wegener Institute Helmholz Center for Polar and Marine Research, Potsdam, Germany
Paul P. Overduin
Alfred Wegener Institute Helmholz Center for Polar and Marine Research, Potsdam, Germany
Matteo Puglini
formerly at: Max Planck Institute for Meteorology, Hamburg, Germany
formerly at: Université Libre de Bruxelles, Brussels, Belgium
Victor Brovkin
Max Planck Institute for Meteorology, Hamburg, Germany
CEN, University of Hamburg, Hamburg, Germany
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Cited
14 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Climate change and terrigenous inputs decrease the efficiency of the future Arctic Ocean’s biological carbon pump L. Oziel et al. 10.1038/s41558-024-02233-6
- Evidence for subsea permafrost in subarctic Canada linked to submarine groundwater discharge A. Normandeau et al. 10.1038/s41561-024-01497-z
- Permafrost and Freshwater Systems in the Arctic as Tipping Elements of the Climate System V. Brovkin et al. 10.1007/s10712-025-09885-9
- Subsea permafrost organic carbon stocks are large and of dominantly low reactivity F. Miesner et al. 10.1038/s41598-023-36471-z
- First Quantification of the Permafrost Heat Sink in the Earth's Climate System J. Nitzbon et al. 10.1029/2022GL102053
- Glacial isostatic adjustment reduces past and future Arctic subsea permafrost R. Creel et al. 10.1038/s41467-024-45906-8
- Coupled Changes in the Arctic Carbon Cycle Between the Land, Marine, and Social Domains X. Wu et al. 10.1029/2022EF003293
- Biodegradation of Ancient Organic Carbon Fuels Seabed Methane Emission at the Arctic Continental Shelves K. You 10.1029/2023GB007999
- Representation of soil hydrology in permafrost regions may explain large part of inter-model spread in simulated Arctic and subarctic climate P. de Vrese et al. 10.5194/tc-17-2095-2023
- How academic research and news media cover climate change: a case study from Chile P. Cortés & R. Quiroga 10.3389/fcomm.2023.1226432
- Mapping subsea permafrost around Tuktoyaktuk Island (Northwest Territories, Canada) using electrical resistivity tomography E. Erkens et al. 10.5194/tc-19-997-2025
- Subsea Methane Hydrates: Origin and Monitoring the Impacts of Global Warming V. Cheverda et al. 10.3390/app122311929
- Subsea permafrost and associated methane hydrate stability zone: how long can they survive in the future? V. Malakhova & A. Eliseev 10.1007/s00704-023-04804-7
- Strong increase in thawing of subsea permafrost in the 22nd century caused by anthropogenic climate change S. Wilkenskjeld et al. 10.5194/tc-16-1057-2022
12 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Climate change and terrigenous inputs decrease the efficiency of the future Arctic Ocean’s biological carbon pump L. Oziel et al. 10.1038/s41558-024-02233-6
- Evidence for subsea permafrost in subarctic Canada linked to submarine groundwater discharge A. Normandeau et al. 10.1038/s41561-024-01497-z
- Permafrost and Freshwater Systems in the Arctic as Tipping Elements of the Climate System V. Brovkin et al. 10.1007/s10712-025-09885-9
- Subsea permafrost organic carbon stocks are large and of dominantly low reactivity F. Miesner et al. 10.1038/s41598-023-36471-z
- First Quantification of the Permafrost Heat Sink in the Earth's Climate System J. Nitzbon et al. 10.1029/2022GL102053
- Glacial isostatic adjustment reduces past and future Arctic subsea permafrost R. Creel et al. 10.1038/s41467-024-45906-8
- Coupled Changes in the Arctic Carbon Cycle Between the Land, Marine, and Social Domains X. Wu et al. 10.1029/2022EF003293
- Biodegradation of Ancient Organic Carbon Fuels Seabed Methane Emission at the Arctic Continental Shelves K. You 10.1029/2023GB007999
- Representation of soil hydrology in permafrost regions may explain large part of inter-model spread in simulated Arctic and subarctic climate P. de Vrese et al. 10.5194/tc-17-2095-2023
- How academic research and news media cover climate change: a case study from Chile P. Cortés & R. Quiroga 10.3389/fcomm.2023.1226432
- Mapping subsea permafrost around Tuktoyaktuk Island (Northwest Territories, Canada) using electrical resistivity tomography E. Erkens et al. 10.5194/tc-19-997-2025
- Subsea Methane Hydrates: Origin and Monitoring the Impacts of Global Warming V. Cheverda et al. 10.3390/app122311929
2 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Subsea permafrost and associated methane hydrate stability zone: how long can they survive in the future? V. Malakhova & A. Eliseev 10.1007/s00704-023-04804-7
- Strong increase in thawing of subsea permafrost in the 22nd century caused by anthropogenic climate change S. Wilkenskjeld et al. 10.5194/tc-16-1057-2022
Latest update: 10 Jul 2025
Short summary
Thawing permafrost releases carbon to the atmosphere, enhancing global warming. Part of the permafrost soils have been flooded by rising sea levels since the last ice age, becoming subsea permafrost (SSPF). The SSPF is less studied than the part on land. In this study we use a global model to obtain rates of thawing of SSPF under different future climate scenarios until the year 3000. After the year 2100 the scenarios strongly diverge, closely connected to the eventual disappearance of sea ice.
Thawing permafrost releases carbon to the atmosphere, enhancing global warming. Part of the...
