Articles | Volume 15, issue 3
The Cryosphere, 15, 1399–1422, 2021
https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-15-1399-2021
The Cryosphere, 15, 1399–1422, 2021
https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-15-1399-2021
Research article
19 Mar 2021
Research article | 19 Mar 2021

Effects of multi-scale heterogeneity on the simulated evolution of ice-rich permafrost lowlands under a warming climate

Jan Nitzbon et al.

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Latest update: 19 May 2022
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Short summary
We used a numerical model to investigate how small-scale landscape heterogeneities affect permafrost thaw under climate-warming scenarios. Our results show that representing small-scale heterogeneities in the model can decide whether a landscape is water-logged or well-drained in the future. This in turn affects how fast permafrost thaws under warming. Our research emphasizes the importance of considering small-scale processes in model assessments of permafrost thaw under climate change.