Articles | Volume 14, issue 9
The Cryosphere, 14, 3071–3096, 2020
https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-14-3071-2020

Special issue: The Ice Sheet Model Intercomparison Project for CMIP6...

The Cryosphere, 14, 3071–3096, 2020
https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-14-3071-2020

Research article 17 Sep 2020

Research article | 17 Sep 2020

The future sea-level contribution of the Greenland ice sheet: a multi-model ensemble study of ISMIP6

Heiko Goelzer et al.

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Latest update: 26 Jan 2022
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Short summary
In this paper we use a large ensemble of Greenland ice sheet models forced by six different global climate models to project ice sheet changes and sea-level rise contributions over the 21st century. The results for two different greenhouse gas concentration scenarios indicate that the Greenland ice sheet will continue to lose mass until 2100, with contributions to sea-level rise of 90 ± 50 mm and 32 ± 17 mm for the high (RCP8.5) and low (RCP2.6) scenario, respectively.