Articles | Volume 13, issue 1
https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-13-79-2019
© Author(s) 2019. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-13-79-2019
© Author(s) 2019. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Research article
| 
10 Jan 2019
Research article |
| 10 Jan 2019
| 10 Jan 2019
Arctic sea-ice-free season projected to extend into autumn
Marion Lebrun
CORRESPONDING AUTHOR
Sorbonne Université, LOCEAN-IPSL, CNRS/IRD/MNHN, Paris, France
Martin Vancoppenolle
Sorbonne Université, LOCEAN-IPSL, CNRS/IRD/MNHN, Paris, France
Gurvan Madec
Sorbonne Université, LOCEAN-IPSL, CNRS/IRD/MNHN, Paris, France
François Massonnet
Earth and Life Institute, Université catholique de Louvain, Louvain-la-Neuve, Belgium
Earth Sciences Department, Barcelona Supercomputing Center, Barcelona, Spain
Viewed
Total article views: 5,880 (including HTML, PDF, and XML)
Cumulative views and downloads
(calculated since 02 May 2018)
| HTML | XML | Total | Supplement | BibTeX | EndNote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4,201 | 1,526 | 153 | 5,880 | 674 | 139 | 213 |
- HTML: 4,201
- PDF: 1,526
- XML: 153
- Total: 5,880
- Supplement: 674
- BibTeX: 139
- EndNote: 213
Total article views: 4,629 (including HTML, PDF, and XML)
Cumulative views and downloads
(calculated since 10 Jan 2019)
| HTML | XML | Total | Supplement | BibTeX | EndNote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3,529 | 954 | 146 | 4,629 | 406 | 135 | 206 |
- HTML: 3,529
- PDF: 954
- XML: 146
- Total: 4,629
- Supplement: 406
- BibTeX: 135
- EndNote: 206
Total article views: 1,251 (including HTML, PDF, and XML)
Cumulative views and downloads
(calculated since 02 May 2018)
| HTML | XML | Total | Supplement | BibTeX | EndNote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 672 | 572 | 7 | 1,251 | 268 | 4 | 7 |
- HTML: 672
- PDF: 572
- XML: 7
- Total: 1,251
- Supplement: 268
- BibTeX: 4
- EndNote: 7
Viewed (geographical distribution)
Total article views: 5,880 (including HTML, PDF, and XML)
Thereof 5,041 with geography defined
and 839 with unknown origin.
Total article views: 4,629 (including HTML, PDF, and XML)
Thereof 3,959 with geography defined
and 670 with unknown origin.
Total article views: 1,251 (including HTML, PDF, and XML)
Thereof 1,082 with geography defined
and 169 with unknown origin.
| Country | # | Views | % |
|---|
| Country | # | Views | % |
|---|
| Country | # | Views | % |
|---|
| Total: | 0 |
| HTML: | 0 |
| PDF: | 0 |
| XML: | 0 |
- 1
1
| Total: | 0 |
| HTML: | 0 |
| PDF: | 0 |
| XML: | 0 |
- 1
1
| Total: | 0 |
| HTML: | 0 |
| PDF: | 0 |
| XML: | 0 |
- 1
1
Cited
28 citations as recorded by crossref.
- The Emerging Arctic Shipping Corridors C. Min et al.
- The Seasonal and Regional Transition to an Ice‐Free Arctic M. Årthun et al.
- A New Perspective on Four Decades of Changes in Arctic Sea Ice from Satellite Observations X. Wang et al.
- The observed evolution of Arctic amplification over the past 45 years M. Serreze et al.
- Winter arctic sea ice volume decline: uncertainties reduced using passive microwave-based sea ice thickness C. Soriot et al.
- Preparing the New Phase of Argo: Scientific Achievements of the NAOS Project P. Le Traon et al.
- Sources of seasonal sea-ice bias for CMIP6 models in the Hudson Bay Complex A. Crawford et al.
- Drivers of Antarctic sea ice advance K. Himmich et al.
- Tara Polaris expeditions: Sustained decadal observations of the coupled Arctic system in rapid transition M. Ardyna et al.
- Advanced Algorithm for Continuous Melt Onset Detection on Arctic Sea Ice J. Kim et al.
- Mechanisms for the link between onset and duration of open water in the Kara Sea C. Dong et al.
- Arctic Warming: Cascading Climate Impacts and Global Consequences I. Malik et al.
- Interannual and Decadal Variability of Sea Surface Temperature and Sea Ice Concentration in the Barents Sea B. Mohamed et al.
- Robustness of future atmospheric circulation changes over the EURO-CORDEX domain T. Ozturk et al.
- Optimizing sea ice parameters mitigates the underestimation of Arctic marine access in CMIP6 climate models C. Min et al.
- The role of upper-ocean heat content in the regional variability of Arctic sea ice at sub-seasonal timescales E. Bianco et al.
- Shifts in the physical environment in the Pacific Arctic and implications for ecological timing and conditions M. Baker et al.
- Arctic amplification, and its seasonal migration, over a wide range of abrupt CO2 forcing Y. Liang et al.
- Clouds Increasingly Influence Arctic Sea Surface Temperatures as CO2 Rises A. Sledd et al.
- Delay in Arctic Sea Ice Freeze-Up Linked to Early Summer Sea Ice Loss: Evidence from Satellite Observations L. Zheng et al.
- Meiofauna as a valuable bioindicator of climate change in the polar regions F. Leasi et al.
- Seasonal transition dates can reveal biases in Arctic sea ice simulations A. Smith et al.
- Arctic open-water periods are projected to lengthen dramatically by 2100 A. Crawford et al.
- Projections of an ice-free Arctic Ocean A. Jahn et al.
- Limited effects of UVBR on primary productivity and photosynthetic pigment composition in the Greenland Sea M. Olofsson et al.
- Looking back to the future—micro- and nanoplankton diversity in the Greenland Sea M. Olofsson & A. Wulff
- Arctic regional changes revealed by clustering of sea-ice observations A. Simon et al.
- Understanding the Physical Forcings Behind the Biogeochemical Productivity of the Hudson Bay Complex I. Deschepper et al.
28 citations as recorded by crossref.
- The Emerging Arctic Shipping Corridors C. Min et al.
- The Seasonal and Regional Transition to an Ice‐Free Arctic M. Årthun et al.
- A New Perspective on Four Decades of Changes in Arctic Sea Ice from Satellite Observations X. Wang et al.
- The observed evolution of Arctic amplification over the past 45 years M. Serreze et al.
- Winter arctic sea ice volume decline: uncertainties reduced using passive microwave-based sea ice thickness C. Soriot et al.
- Preparing the New Phase of Argo: Scientific Achievements of the NAOS Project P. Le Traon et al.
- Sources of seasonal sea-ice bias for CMIP6 models in the Hudson Bay Complex A. Crawford et al.
- Drivers of Antarctic sea ice advance K. Himmich et al.
- Tara Polaris expeditions: Sustained decadal observations of the coupled Arctic system in rapid transition M. Ardyna et al.
- Advanced Algorithm for Continuous Melt Onset Detection on Arctic Sea Ice J. Kim et al.
- Mechanisms for the link between onset and duration of open water in the Kara Sea C. Dong et al.
- Arctic Warming: Cascading Climate Impacts and Global Consequences I. Malik et al.
- Interannual and Decadal Variability of Sea Surface Temperature and Sea Ice Concentration in the Barents Sea B. Mohamed et al.
- Robustness of future atmospheric circulation changes over the EURO-CORDEX domain T. Ozturk et al.
- Optimizing sea ice parameters mitigates the underestimation of Arctic marine access in CMIP6 climate models C. Min et al.
- The role of upper-ocean heat content in the regional variability of Arctic sea ice at sub-seasonal timescales E. Bianco et al.
- Shifts in the physical environment in the Pacific Arctic and implications for ecological timing and conditions M. Baker et al.
- Arctic amplification, and its seasonal migration, over a wide range of abrupt CO2 forcing Y. Liang et al.
- Clouds Increasingly Influence Arctic Sea Surface Temperatures as CO2 Rises A. Sledd et al.
- Delay in Arctic Sea Ice Freeze-Up Linked to Early Summer Sea Ice Loss: Evidence from Satellite Observations L. Zheng et al.
- Meiofauna as a valuable bioindicator of climate change in the polar regions F. Leasi et al.
- Seasonal transition dates can reveal biases in Arctic sea ice simulations A. Smith et al.
- Arctic open-water periods are projected to lengthen dramatically by 2100 A. Crawford et al.
- Projections of an ice-free Arctic Ocean A. Jahn et al.
- Limited effects of UVBR on primary productivity and photosynthetic pigment composition in the Greenland Sea M. Olofsson et al.
- Looking back to the future—micro- and nanoplankton diversity in the Greenland Sea M. Olofsson & A. Wulff
- Arctic regional changes revealed by clustering of sea-ice observations A. Simon et al.
- Understanding the Physical Forcings Behind the Biogeochemical Productivity of the Hudson Bay Complex I. Deschepper et al.
Saved (final revised paper)
Latest update: 16 May 2026
Short summary
The present analysis shows that the increase in the Arctic ice-free season duration will be asymmetrical, with later autumn freeze-up contributing about twice as much as earlier spring retreat. This feature is robustly found in a hierarchy of climate models and is consistent with a simple mechanism: solar energy is absorbed more efficiently than it can be released in non-solar form and should emerge out of variability within the next few decades.
The present analysis shows that the increase in the Arctic ice-free season duration will be...
