Articles | Volume 13, issue 2
https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-13-469-2019
© Author(s) 2019. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-13-469-2019
© Author(s) 2019. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Research article
| 
08 Feb 2019
Research article |
| 08 Feb 2019
| 08 Feb 2019
Robust uncertainty assessment of the spatio-temporal transferability of glacier mass and energy balance models
Department of Atmospheric and Cryospheric Sciences, Universität Innsbruck, Innsbruck, Austria
Institute for Geosciences, University of Bergen, Bergen, Norway
Bjerknes Centre for Climate Research, Bergen, Norway
Fabien Maussion
Department of Atmospheric and Cryospheric Sciences, Universität Innsbruck, Innsbruck, Austria
Stephan Peter Galos
Department of Atmospheric and Cryospheric Sciences, Universität Innsbruck, Innsbruck, Austria
Wolfgang Gurgiser
Department of Atmospheric and Cryospheric Sciences, Universität Innsbruck, Innsbruck, Austria
Lindsey Nicholson
Department of Atmospheric and Cryospheric Sciences, Universität Innsbruck, Innsbruck, Austria
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Cited
18 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Sensitivity of the Greenland surface mass and energy balance to uncertainties in key model parameters T. Zolles & A. Born https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-15-2917-2021
- Operational and experimental snow observation systems in the upper Rofental: data from 2017 to 2023 M. Warscher et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-16-3579-2024
- Surface energy and mass balance of Mera Glacier (Nepal, Central Himalaya) and their sensitivity to temperature and precipitation A. Khadka et al. https://doi.org/10.1017/jog.2024.42
- Strategies for regional modeling of surface mass balance at the Monte Sarmiento Massif, Tierra del Fuego F. Temme et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-17-2343-2023
- Response of glaciers to future climate change in the Beida River catchment, northeast Tibetan Plateau S. Wang et al. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11629-022-7352-3
- Spatiotemporal mass-balance variability of Jostedalsbreen Ice Cap, Norway, revealed by a temperature-index model using Bayesian inference K. Sjursen et al. https://doi.org/10.1017/aog.2024.41
- Snow model comparison to simulate snow depth evolution and sublimation at point scale in the semi-arid Andes of Chile A. Voordendag et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-15-4241-2021
- Modern air, englacial and permafrost temperatures at high altitude on Mt Ortles (3905 m a.s.l.), in the eastern European Alps L. Carturan et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-15-4661-2023
- Assessment of precipitation type discrimination methods on glacier of Qilian Mountains J. Chen et al. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11629-023-8198-z
- Indus River Basin Glacier Melt at the Subbasin Scale A. Giese et al. https://doi.org/10.3389/feart.2022.767411
- Fountain scheduling strategies for improving water-use efficiency of artificial ice reservoirs (Ice stupas) S. Balasubramanian et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.coldregions.2022.103706
- Modelling glacier mass balance and climate sensitivity in the context of sparse observations: application to Saskatchewan Glacier, western Canada C. Kinnard et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-16-3071-2022
- Modelling accumulation of a high-altitude Himalayan glacier B. Graves et al. https://doi.org/10.1017/jog.2026.10147
- Empirical glacier mass-balance models for South America S. Mutz & J. Aschauer https://doi.org/10.1017/jog.2022.6
- Bayesian parameter estimation in glacier mass-balance modelling using observations with distinct temporal resolutions and uncertainties K. Sjursen et al. https://doi.org/10.1017/jog.2023.62
- Response of glacier modelling parameters to time, space, and model complexity: Examples from eastern slopes of Canadian Rocky Mountains G. Silwal et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2023.162156
- Sources of uncertainty in Greenland surface mass balance in the 21st century K. Holube et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-16-315-2022
- Influence of Meteorological Conditions on Artificial Ice Reservoir (Icestupa) Evolution S. Balasubramanian et al. https://doi.org/10.3389/feart.2021.771342
18 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Sensitivity of the Greenland surface mass and energy balance to uncertainties in key model parameters T. Zolles & A. Born https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-15-2917-2021
- Operational and experimental snow observation systems in the upper Rofental: data from 2017 to 2023 M. Warscher et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-16-3579-2024
- Surface energy and mass balance of Mera Glacier (Nepal, Central Himalaya) and their sensitivity to temperature and precipitation A. Khadka et al. https://doi.org/10.1017/jog.2024.42
- Strategies for regional modeling of surface mass balance at the Monte Sarmiento Massif, Tierra del Fuego F. Temme et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-17-2343-2023
- Response of glaciers to future climate change in the Beida River catchment, northeast Tibetan Plateau S. Wang et al. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11629-022-7352-3
- Spatiotemporal mass-balance variability of Jostedalsbreen Ice Cap, Norway, revealed by a temperature-index model using Bayesian inference K. Sjursen et al. https://doi.org/10.1017/aog.2024.41
- Snow model comparison to simulate snow depth evolution and sublimation at point scale in the semi-arid Andes of Chile A. Voordendag et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-15-4241-2021
- Modern air, englacial and permafrost temperatures at high altitude on Mt Ortles (3905 m a.s.l.), in the eastern European Alps L. Carturan et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-15-4661-2023
- Assessment of precipitation type discrimination methods on glacier of Qilian Mountains J. Chen et al. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11629-023-8198-z
- Indus River Basin Glacier Melt at the Subbasin Scale A. Giese et al. https://doi.org/10.3389/feart.2022.767411
- Fountain scheduling strategies for improving water-use efficiency of artificial ice reservoirs (Ice stupas) S. Balasubramanian et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.coldregions.2022.103706
- Modelling glacier mass balance and climate sensitivity in the context of sparse observations: application to Saskatchewan Glacier, western Canada C. Kinnard et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-16-3071-2022
- Modelling accumulation of a high-altitude Himalayan glacier B. Graves et al. https://doi.org/10.1017/jog.2026.10147
- Empirical glacier mass-balance models for South America S. Mutz & J. Aschauer https://doi.org/10.1017/jog.2022.6
- Bayesian parameter estimation in glacier mass-balance modelling using observations with distinct temporal resolutions and uncertainties K. Sjursen et al. https://doi.org/10.1017/jog.2023.62
- Response of glacier modelling parameters to time, space, and model complexity: Examples from eastern slopes of Canadian Rocky Mountains G. Silwal et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2023.162156
- Sources of uncertainty in Greenland surface mass balance in the 21st century K. Holube et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-16-315-2022
- Influence of Meteorological Conditions on Artificial Ice Reservoir (Icestupa) Evolution S. Balasubramanian et al. https://doi.org/10.3389/feart.2021.771342
Saved (final revised paper)
Latest update: 09 Jun 2026
Short summary
A mass and energy balance model was subjected to sensitivity and uncertainty analysis on two different Alpine glaciers. The global sensitivity analysis allowed for a mass balance measurement independent assessment of the model sensitivity and functioned as a reduction of the model free parameter space. A novel approach of a multi-objective optimization estimates the uncertainty of the simulated mass balance and the energy fluxes. The final model uncertainty is up to 1300 kg m−3 per year.
A mass and energy balance model was subjected to sensitivity and uncertainty analysis on two...
