Articles | Volume 13, issue 2
https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-13-469-2019
https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-13-469-2019
Research article
 | 
08 Feb 2019
Research article |  | 08 Feb 2019

Robust uncertainty assessment of the spatio-temporal transferability of glacier mass and energy balance models

Tobias Zolles, Fabien Maussion, Stephan Peter Galos, Wolfgang Gurgiser, and Lindsey Nicholson

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Short summary
A mass and energy balance model was subjected to sensitivity and uncertainty analysis on two different Alpine glaciers. The global sensitivity analysis allowed for a mass balance measurement independent assessment of the model sensitivity and functioned as a reduction of the model free parameter space. A novel approach of a multi-objective optimization estimates the uncertainty of the simulated mass balance and the energy fluxes. The final model uncertainty is up to 1300 kg m−3 per year.