Articles | Volume 13, issue 1
The Cryosphere, 13, 113–124, 2019
https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-13-113-2019
The Cryosphere, 13, 113–124, 2019
https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-13-113-2019

Research article 14 Jan 2019

Research article | 14 Jan 2019

Past and future interannual variability in Arctic sea ice in coupled climate models

John R. Mioduszewski et al.

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Short summary
Arctic sea ice is projected to thin substantially in every season by the end of the 21st century with a corresponding increase in its interannual variability as the rate of ice loss peaks. This typically occurs when the mean ice thickness falls between 0.2 and 0.6 m. The high variability in both growth and melt processes is the primary factor resulting in increased ice variability. This study emphasizes the importance of short-term variations in ice cover within the mean downward trend.