The Cryosphere
The Cryosphere
TC
Articles | Volume 13, issue 1
Articles | Volume 13, issue 1
https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-13-113-2019
© Author(s) 2019. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-13-113-2019
© Author(s) 2019. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Articles | Volume 13, issue 1
Research article
 | 
14 Jan 2019
Research article |  | 14 Jan 2019

Past and future interannual variability in Arctic sea ice in coupled climate models

John R. Mioduszewski, Stephen Vavrus, Muyin Wang, Marika Holland, and Laura Landrum

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Short summary
Arctic sea ice is projected to thin substantially in every season by the end of the 21st century with a corresponding increase in its interannual variability as the rate of ice loss peaks. This typically occurs when the mean ice thickness falls between 0.2 and 0.6 m. The high variability in both growth and melt processes is the primary factor resulting in increased ice variability. This study emphasizes the importance of short-term variations in ice cover within the mean downward trend.
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