Articles | Volume 12, issue 12
https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-12-3861-2018
https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-12-3861-2018
Research article
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11 Dec 2018
Research article | Highlight paper |  | 11 Dec 2018

Retreat of Thwaites Glacier, West Antarctica, over the next 100 years using various ice flow models, ice shelf melt scenarios and basal friction laws

Hongju Yu, Eric Rignot, Helene Seroussi, and Mathieu Morlighem

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Short summary
Thwaites Glacier, West Antarctica, has experienced rapid grounding line retreat and mass loss in the past decades. In this study, we simulate the evolution of Thwaites Glacier over the next century using different model configurations. Overall, we estimate a 5 mm contribution to global sea level rise from Thwaites Glacier in the next 30 years. However, a 300 % uncertainty is found over the next 100 years, ranging from 14 to 42 mm, depending on the model setup.