Retreat of Thwaites Glacier, West Antarctica, over the next 100 years using various ice flow models, ice shelf melt scenarios and basal friction laws

Yu, Hongju; Rignot, Eric; Seroussi, Helene; Morlighem, Mathieu

doi:https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-12-3861-2018

Articles | Volume 12, issue 12

https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-12-3861-2018

© Author(s) 2018. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.

https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-12-3861-2018

© Author(s) 2018. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.

Articles | Volume 12, issue 12

Research article

| Highlight paper

|

11 Dec 2018

Research article | Highlight paper |

| 11 Dec 2018

Retreat of Thwaites Glacier, West Antarctica, over the next 100 years using various ice flow models, ice shelf melt scenarios and basal friction laws

Hongju Yu, Eric Rignot, Helene Seroussi, and Mathieu Morlighem

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Final revised paper (published on 11 Dec 2018)
Preprint (discussion started on 09 Aug 2018)

Interactive discussion

Status: closed

AC: Author comment | RC: Referee comment | SC: Short comment | EC: Editor comment

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- Supplement

RC1: 'review of tc-2018-104', Stephen Cornford, 20 Sep 2018
RC2: 'Review of "Retreat of Thwaites Glacier, West Antarctica, over the next 100 years using various ice flow models, ice shelf melt scenarios and basal friction laws" by Hongju Yu and Colleagues', Lionel Favier, 16 Oct 2018
AC1: 'Response to reviewers' comments', Hongju Yu, 09 Nov 2018

Peer-review completion

AR: Author's response | RR: Referee report | ED: Editor decision

AR by Hongju Yu on behalf of the Authors (09 Nov 2018) Author's response Manuscript

ED: Publish subject to technical corrections (20 Nov 2018) by Nanna Bjørnholt Karlsson

AR by Hongju Yu on behalf of the Authors (25 Nov 2018) Manuscript

Short summary

Thwaites Glacier, West Antarctica, has experienced rapid grounding line retreat and mass loss in the past decades. In this study, we simulate the evolution of Thwaites Glacier over the next century using different model configurations. Overall, we estimate a 5 mm contribution to global sea level rise from Thwaites Glacier in the next 30 years. However, a 300 % uncertainty is found over the next 100 years, ranging from 14 to 42 mm, depending on the model setup.