Articles | Volume 12, issue 12
The Cryosphere, 12, 3861–3876, 2018
https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-12-3861-2018
The Cryosphere, 12, 3861–3876, 2018
https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-12-3861-2018

Research article 11 Dec 2018

Research article | 11 Dec 2018

Retreat of Thwaites Glacier, West Antarctica, over the next 100 years using various ice flow models, ice shelf melt scenarios and basal friction laws

Hongju Yu et al.

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AR by Hongju Yu on behalf of the Authors (09 Nov 2018)  Author's response    Manuscript
ED: Publish subject to technical corrections (20 Nov 2018) by Nanna Bjørnholt Karlsson
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Short summary
Thwaites Glacier, West Antarctica, has experienced rapid grounding line retreat and mass loss in the past decades. In this study, we simulate the evolution of Thwaites Glacier over the next century using different model configurations. Overall, we estimate a 5 mm contribution to global sea level rise from Thwaites Glacier in the next 30 years. However, a 300 % uncertainty is found over the next 100 years, ranging from 14 to 42 mm, depending on the model setup.