Articles | Volume 9, issue 3
https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-9-945-2015
© Author(s) 2015. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-9-945-2015
© Author(s) 2015. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
Research article
| 
07 May 2015
Research article |
| 07 May 2015
Future climate and surface mass balance of Svalbard glaciers in an RCP8.5 climate scenario: a study with the regional climate model MAR forced by MIROC5
C. Lang
CORRESPONDING AUTHOR
Département de Géographie, Université de Liège, Liège, Belgium
X. Fettweis
Département de Géographie, Université de Liège, Liège, Belgium
M. Erpicum
Département de Géographie, Université de Liège, Liège, Belgium
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Cited
23 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Spatial and Temporal Variability of Glacier Surface Velocities and Outlet Areas on James Ross Island, Northern Antarctic Peninsula S. Lippl et al. 10.3390/geosciences9090374
- Application of a two-step approach for mapping ice thickness to various glacier types on Svalbard J. Fürst et al. 10.5194/tc-11-2003-2017
- Contrasting seasonal changes in total and intense precipitation in the European Alps from 1903 to 2010 M. Ménégoz et al. 10.5194/hess-24-5355-2020
- Future evolution of the hydroclimatic conditions favouring floods in the south‐east of Belgium by 2100 using a regional climate model C. Wyard et al. 10.1002/joc.6642
- Brief communication: Impact of the recent atmospheric circulation change in summer on the future surface mass balance of the Greenland Ice Sheet A. Delhasse et al. 10.5194/tc-12-3409-2018
- Brief communication: Evaluation of the near-surface climate in ERA5 over the Greenland Ice Sheet A. Delhasse et al. 10.5194/tc-14-957-2020
- A two-dimensional glacier–fjord coupled model applied to estimate submarine melt rates and front position changes of Hansbreen, Svalbard E. DE ANDRÉS et al. 10.1017/jog.2018.61
- A Review of Recent Updates of Sea-Level Projections at Global and Regional Scales A. Slangen et al. 10.1007/s10712-016-9374-2
- Delineation of groundwater provenance in Arctic environment using isotopic compositions of water and sulphate A. Szynkiewicz et al. 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2019.124232
- Rising Oceans Guaranteed: Arctic Land Ice Loss and Sea Level Rise T. Moon et al. 10.1007/s40641-018-0107-0
- Estimation of the Antarctic surface mass balance using the regional climate model MAR (1979–2015) and identification of dominant processes C. Agosta et al. 10.5194/tc-13-281-2019
- Soil Organic Carbon Storage in Australian Wheat Cropping Systems in Response to Climate Change from 1990 to 2060 Q. Li et al. 10.3390/land11101683
- Precipitation Evolution over Belgium by 2100 and Sensitivity to Convective Schemes Using the Regional Climate Model MAR S. Doutreloup et al. 10.3390/atmos10060321
- Diagnosing the decline in climatic mass balance of glaciers in Svalbard over 1957–2014 T. Østby et al. 10.5194/tc-11-191-2017
- Combining monitoring and modelling approaches for BaP characterization over a petrochemical area N. Domínguez-Morueco et al. 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2018.12.202
- Interannual variability of summer surface mass balance and surface melting in the Amundsen sector, West Antarctica M. Donat-Magnin et al. 10.5194/tc-14-229-2020
- ‘Little Ice Age’ glacier extent and subsequent retreat in Svalbard archipelago R. Martín-Moreno et al. 10.1177/0959683617693904
- Meteorology and summer net radiation of an Arctic alpine glacier: Svenbreen, Svalbard J. Małecki 10.1002/joc.6062
- Accelerating future mass loss of Svalbard glaciers from a multi-model ensemble W. van Pelt et al. 10.1017/jog.2021.2
- Recent Progress in Understanding and Projecting Regional and Global Mean Sea Level Change P. Clark et al. 10.1007/s40641-015-0024-4
- Monte Carlo modelling projects the loss of most land-terminating glaciers on Svalbard in the 21st century under RCP 8.5 forcing M. Möller et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/11/9/094006
- The climatic mass balance of Svalbard glaciers: a 10-year simulation with a coupled atmosphere–glacier mass balance model K. Aas et al. 10.5194/tc-10-1089-2016
- Stable climate and surface mass balance in Svalbard over 1979–2013 despite the Arctic warming C. Lang et al. 10.5194/tc-9-83-2015
22 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Spatial and Temporal Variability of Glacier Surface Velocities and Outlet Areas on James Ross Island, Northern Antarctic Peninsula S. Lippl et al. 10.3390/geosciences9090374
- Application of a two-step approach for mapping ice thickness to various glacier types on Svalbard J. Fürst et al. 10.5194/tc-11-2003-2017
- Contrasting seasonal changes in total and intense precipitation in the European Alps from 1903 to 2010 M. Ménégoz et al. 10.5194/hess-24-5355-2020
- Future evolution of the hydroclimatic conditions favouring floods in the south‐east of Belgium by 2100 using a regional climate model C. Wyard et al. 10.1002/joc.6642
- Brief communication: Impact of the recent atmospheric circulation change in summer on the future surface mass balance of the Greenland Ice Sheet A. Delhasse et al. 10.5194/tc-12-3409-2018
- Brief communication: Evaluation of the near-surface climate in ERA5 over the Greenland Ice Sheet A. Delhasse et al. 10.5194/tc-14-957-2020
- A two-dimensional glacier–fjord coupled model applied to estimate submarine melt rates and front position changes of Hansbreen, Svalbard E. DE ANDRÉS et al. 10.1017/jog.2018.61
- A Review of Recent Updates of Sea-Level Projections at Global and Regional Scales A. Slangen et al. 10.1007/s10712-016-9374-2
- Delineation of groundwater provenance in Arctic environment using isotopic compositions of water and sulphate A. Szynkiewicz et al. 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2019.124232
- Rising Oceans Guaranteed: Arctic Land Ice Loss and Sea Level Rise T. Moon et al. 10.1007/s40641-018-0107-0
- Estimation of the Antarctic surface mass balance using the regional climate model MAR (1979–2015) and identification of dominant processes C. Agosta et al. 10.5194/tc-13-281-2019
- Soil Organic Carbon Storage in Australian Wheat Cropping Systems in Response to Climate Change from 1990 to 2060 Q. Li et al. 10.3390/land11101683
- Precipitation Evolution over Belgium by 2100 and Sensitivity to Convective Schemes Using the Regional Climate Model MAR S. Doutreloup et al. 10.3390/atmos10060321
- Diagnosing the decline in climatic mass balance of glaciers in Svalbard over 1957–2014 T. Østby et al. 10.5194/tc-11-191-2017
- Combining monitoring and modelling approaches for BaP characterization over a petrochemical area N. Domínguez-Morueco et al. 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2018.12.202
- Interannual variability of summer surface mass balance and surface melting in the Amundsen sector, West Antarctica M. Donat-Magnin et al. 10.5194/tc-14-229-2020
- ‘Little Ice Age’ glacier extent and subsequent retreat in Svalbard archipelago R. Martín-Moreno et al. 10.1177/0959683617693904
- Meteorology and summer net radiation of an Arctic alpine glacier: Svenbreen, Svalbard J. Małecki 10.1002/joc.6062
- Accelerating future mass loss of Svalbard glaciers from a multi-model ensemble W. van Pelt et al. 10.1017/jog.2021.2
- Recent Progress in Understanding and Projecting Regional and Global Mean Sea Level Change P. Clark et al. 10.1007/s40641-015-0024-4
- Monte Carlo modelling projects the loss of most land-terminating glaciers on Svalbard in the 21st century under RCP 8.5 forcing M. Möller et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/11/9/094006
- The climatic mass balance of Svalbard glaciers: a 10-year simulation with a coupled atmosphere–glacier mass balance model K. Aas et al. 10.5194/tc-10-1089-2016
1 citations as recorded by crossref.
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Short summary
We simulated the 21st century Svalbard SMB with the regional model MAR (RCP8.5 scenario). Melt is projected to increase gently up to 2050 and then dramatically increase, with a larger increase in the south of the archipelago. This difference is due to larger ice albedo decrease in the south causing larger increase of absorbed solar radiation. The ablation area is projected to disappear over the entire Svalbard by 2085. The SMB decrease compared to present is projected to contribute 7mm to SLR.
We simulated the 21st century Svalbard SMB with the regional model MAR (RCP8.5 scenario). Melt...
